Denmark vs Portugal Prediction 20 March 2025
🔊 Can Denmark defy the odds as the underdog in the UEFA Nations League playoffs? Bookmakers aren't putting much faith in them, even for their home match at Copenhagen's Parken Stadium. Surprising Portugal will indeed be a tough task. Only a solid defense paired with a bit of luck might lead Rimer's squad to success. It's crucial for the hosts to secure a result that keeps the second leg from becoming a mere formality. Therefore, we'll explore various scenarios to craft the most insightful prediction. It's worth noting that the winner of this tie will face either Italy or Germany in the next round.
Head-to-Head
The last time these rivals faced each other was during the Euro 2016 qualifiers in the 2014-2015 season. Portugal secured victories both at home and away, scoring a single goal in each match. Notably, Cristiano Ronaldo clinched the away win with a stoppage-time goal, earning all three points for his team.
Head-to-head statistics Denmark - Portugal
Denmark Team Overview
Denmark kicked off their Nations League campaign with two home victories. In the match against Switzerland, the turning point was the two red cards for the opposition. After each sending-off, Reimer's squad found the back of the net, securing a 2-0 win. The scoreline repeated itself against Serbia, despite the lack of clear scoring opportunities. Denmark also managed draws on the road against these same teams, which paved their way to the playoffs. Against Switzerland, they barely held on for a 2-2 draw. The encounter with Serbia was similarly challenging, but they still achieved a satisfactory result with a 0-0 draw. Notably, the Danes' only defeats came at the hands of Spain (1-0 and 2-1). For the upcoming international break, Poulsen, Dolberg, and Ba have not been called up due to injuries.
Match Results: Denmark
Portugal Team Overview
Portugal clinched victories in all their first-round group stage matches, solidifying their status as favorites. However, they managed to keep a clean sheet for the first time only in the fourth round, dropping points in Glasgow with a 0-0 draw. Following that, Martinez’s side secured their only emphatic win of the tournament, thrashing Poland 5-1. Notably, all goals came in the final half-hour, with Cristiano Ronaldo netting a brace. This victory allowed the team to secure the top spot in the group ahead of schedule. Consequently, the 1-1 draw with Croatia in the final round was unlikely to cause much disappointment. It should be noted that Otavio and Joao Cancelo, who play in the Saudi Arabian league, were not called up for this squad due to injuries. Meanwhile, Cristiano Ronaldo remains fit and aims to add to his goal tally.
Match Results: Portugal
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match is Irfan Peljto from Bosnia and Herzegovina. In this competition, he has officiated two matches, issuing a red card and awarding a penalty in each. It's no surprise that he averages 6.5 yellow cards per game.
In the Nations League, Denmark have a higher average of yellow cards (2.7 compared to 1.8). Matches involving Denmark typically see an average of 5.3 yellow cards. Considering the referee's statistics, it's worth looking at the over 4.5 total yellow cards option.
⚽ Goals Prediction
Denmark aren't known for their high-scoring games. Notably, they scored six fewer goals than Portugal in the group stage of the Nations League. However, they consistently find the net at home, scoring in 15 of their last 16 matches. On the flip side, they kept just one clean sheet in the group stage. Therefore, a reasonable prediction would be Denmark to score.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Portugal hold an advantage in corners in the Nations League, averaging 6.7 compared to Denmark's 5.2. Matches involving Portugal average 11.7 corners. Moreover, in 14 out of 15 Nations League games featuring Portugal, there were at least 10 corners. Thus, we suggest betting on over 9.5 total corners.
Editor's Prediction
Portugal boasts a wealth of attacking talent, making them the favorites in the upcoming clash. However, Denmark's squad is solid and capable of pulling off a surprise. They might find the back of the net, but are unlikely to concede many either. Our prediction for the scoreline is a potential 1-1 draw.
A win for Portugal and a draw for Denmark are equally likely outcomes, so it's worth considering the smaller markets. Martinez's side tends to win a lot of corners, and given Denmark's reliable defense, corners will be crucial in this match-up. Therefore, our key bet is on total corners over 9.5, which has occurred in 14 of Portugal's last 15 Nations League matches.
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Betting Tips: Denmark - Portugal
in 9 of last 10 home games.
in 9 of last 10 home games.
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in 6 of last 7 Irfan Peljto games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
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