Portugal vs Denmark Prediction 23 March 2025
🔊 Can Denmark pull off a shock and eliminate one of the UEFA Nations League favorites? They've taken the first step by securing a narrow lead ahead of the return leg in Lisbon at the "Estádio José Alvalade". While it's not a disaster for Portugal, their recent performance was rather lackluster, raising significant concerns. Therefore, we'll explore various scenarios to make an insightful prediction.
Head-to-Head
In the Euro 2016 qualifiers, Portugal scored a single goal against Denmark both at home and away, keeping clean sheets on both occasions. The scoreline was repeated a few days ago, but this time it was Rimer's side who emerged victorious. Rasmus Højlund made the difference with a goal in the 78th minute. The match could have been easier for the team if Christian Eriksen had converted a penalty in the first half. However, getting past Diogo Costa that evening was nearly impossible. The Portuguese goalkeeper made eight saves and was named man of the match.
Head-to-head statistics Portugal - Denmark
Portugal Team Overview
In the UEFA Nations League group stage, Portugal remained unbeaten. They dropped points twice on the road, but still managed to finish top of the group with a six-point lead. The team only failed to score against Scotland, though they dominated play in that match. This was not the case against Denmark. Roberto Martinez described that game as their worst performance in recent times. The team lacked aggression and focus. However, at the Estádio José Alvalade, these issues should not be a concern.
Match Results: Portugal
Denmark Team Overview
Denmark kicked off their UEFA Nations League campaign with two victories. However, they only managed to collect two points from their next four matches, finishing second in their group. In the match against Portugal, the team showed their attacking intent with 23 shots on goal, though their finishing let them down for much of the game. It was Rasmus Højlund who emerged as the hero, scoring just nine minutes after coming off the bench. He celebrated his goal in the style of Cristiano Ronaldo, which could serve as extra motivation for Ronaldo in the return fixture. Morten Hjulmand might be looking forward to the match at “José Alvalade” more than anyone else. Unlike most of the Portuguese national team players, he plays for Sporting, so he'll feel right at home.
Match Results: Denmark
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match is Slavko Vincic from Slovenia. This season, he has officiated two international matches. In the Germany vs. Netherlands game, he handed out six yellow cards, while in the Italy vs. France clash, he showed just three.
This season, Denmark tends to receive more yellow cards (2.2 compared to 1.8). However, in their home match against Portugal, they didn't receive any cautions, and their opponents only got two yellows, which aligns with their usual statistics. Matches involving Roberto Martinez's side average 3.3 yellow cards. Therefore, a bet on total yellow cards under 4.5 seems worth considering.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Portugal have been impressive at home in terms of attacking prowess. They have scored at least two goals in nine home matches, which is the number they need to reach the semifinals. They also need to keep a clean sheet. Thus, a potential bet on Portugal total goals over 1.5 is noted.
🚩 Corner Prediction
This season, Portugal have an edge in corner kicks (7.3 compared to 5.9). In their previous head-to-head, they fell short in this regard (6:7) but managed to surpass Roberto Martinez's team's average (11.8). Therefore, a bet on total corners over 9.5 appears well-founded.
Editor's Prediction
Portugal are the favorites for the upcoming clash. The coach and players are aware of their shortcomings against Denmark, but making significant changes in just a few days seems challenging. Nonetheless, the hosts have the capability to overcome a minimal deficit and push the game into extra time. In light of this, we suggest a potential scoreline of 2-1.
In the UEFA Nations League group stage, Portugal managed to keep a clean sheet in only one match. In their previous encounter, they allowed Denmark to create several clear scoring opportunities. The Scandinavians are likely to have dangerous chances in the upcoming match as well, especially since counter-attacks could prove quite threatening from the visitors. Therefore, our key bet is - both teams to score (yes).
No comments
Betting Tips: Portugal - Denmark
in last 9 home games..svg)
in last 9 home games.in 8 of last 9 games.
in 12 of last 14 Portugal games.in 13 of last 14 Denmark games.in 12 of last 13 Denmark games (UEFA Nations League).in 7 of last 8 Denmark away games.in 16 of last 17 home games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
