France vs Turkey Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 15 November 2026

📊 Before September, France had gone two consecutive matches without beating Turkey. In Euro 2020 qualifying, Turkey won at home and drew away. That run ended in the opening round of the current group: France won 1-0 in Turkey. Kylian Mbappé scored the only goal. In the same match, the captain injured his knee and left the national team camp.

📋 France’s predicted starting XI: Maignan - Gusto, Konate, Jacquet, Truffert - Rabiot, Da Cunha - Olise, Cherki, Barcola - Doue.

📋 Turkey’s predicted starting XI: Cakir - Aydin, Demiral, Kabak, Kadioglu - Yuksek, Kokcu - Akgun, Guler, Yilmaz - Unal.

Turkey have scored more than one goal in just one of their last nine matches. In the Nations League, they have scored three goals in five rounds, the latest a free-kick by midfielder Arda Güler against Belgium. France have scored eight goals in the group, but half came in their home match against Belgium. Zidane’s side scored once in each of the other four. There were fewer than five goals in seven of Turkey’s last eight Nations League matches. We do not expect a fifth goal in Bordeaux either. Bet - Total Goals - Under 4.5 at 1.40*.

There were fewer than nine corners in six of Turkey's last seven Nations League matches. At home to Belgium, Turkey spent most of the game trailing but won only two corners, with the teams earning five between them. Zidane's side do not rely on crosses either: in Milan, while chasing the game against Italy for the last half-hour, they won only three corners, and seven were awarded in total. We expect fewer than nine corners in Bordeaux too. The bet is Total Corners - Under 8.5 at 2.90*.

Turkey have not been particularly restrained in the Nations League: they have collected 13 yellow cards in five rounds and have never finished a match with just one. Their highest tally - four - came in Belgium. Against France in September, they also had a player sent off: after a video review, Uğurcan Çakır received a straight red card for handling the ball outside the penalty area. English referee Chris Kavanagh will officiate the match in Bordeaux, and the likely scenario is clear in advance: the visitors will probably have to come from behind, and chasing the game usually leads to extra fouls. The bet is Turkey Team Total Yellow Cards - Over 1.5 at 1.47*.

France’s top scorer in the group is Michael Olise. The winger scored in four consecutive Nations League matches and has five goals in total. Away to Belgium, he came off the bench and scored the winner; in the return match, he scored twice, and in Milan, he opened the scoring. With Dembélé absent and Mbappé’s status unclear, Olise’s role in attack will only grow. The bet is Olise to score.

Away from home, Turkey have scored in the second half in six of their last seven matches. In October, they equalised in Italy after the break, although they still lost the match. France, meanwhile, conceded twice in the second half in Milan. The risk is that the hosts could overwhelm their opponents well before the final whistle. But we still expect the visitors to score at least once, and to do so in the second half. Bet - Turkey to score in the second half at 2.91*.

Turkey have lost six of their last seven matches and have not picked up a single point in the Nations League. France, meanwhile, need points: if they lose and Belgium beat Italy, they could drop to third place. Our bet wins with any home victory, even by a single goal. The bet is France to win at 1.22*.

The likely scenario is that France dominate possession and win by one or two goals, while Turkey score in reply. An early goal for the hosts would disrupt that pattern. Turkey have conceded in the first half in six of their last seven matches, and at home to Italy they were already three goals down by half-time. In that case, the visitors would have to open up, and the match could turn into a rout. If that happens, look at a big France win and four or more goals in live betting.

*The odds are approximate and may differ between bookmakers.

📌 Editor’s Prediction

Turkey rarely suffer heavy defeats away from home: they have lost by more than two goals in just one of their last 20 away matches. France rarely run up the score under Zidane - two of their three group wins have been by a single goal. Turkey also rarely leave away matches without scoring, having found the net in eight of their last nine. The risk is that Turkey have already lost twice by three goals in the current group. Still, we expect France to win without a heavy margin. Bet - Turkey - Handicap +2.5. Predicted score - 2:1.