Spain vs England Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 15 November 2026
🔉 Spain and England are playing for first place in the group and a more favourable Nations League knockout draw. The winners will finish first, the losers second, while a draw favours Spain. Spain only need to avoid defeat at home, while England must win to finish top. Both sides are highly motivated.
Head-to-Head
📊 Spain lead the head-to-head record 5-4, with two draws. The teams have met three times in the Nations League, with Spain winning twice, including in the current edition. These matches have been high-scoring: ten goals were scored in their last two Nations League meetings.
Head-to-head statistics Spain - England
Fifth win, but top spot is not yet guaranteed
Spain claimed their fifth win in the Nations League group stage, beating Czechia 2-0, but have not yet secured first place. Everything depends on the match against England: Spain only need to avoid defeat at home. They have scored 14 goals and conceded five in the tournament, giving them a goal difference of +9. If they lose to England, the English will have the better goal difference (currently +12), while Spain won the first meeting 3-2.
Spain will face England at the “Metropolitano” in Madrid. The national team have not played there since 2019, when they thrashed Romania 5-0 in Euro 2020 qualifying. In competitive home matches, Spain are unbeaten in 14 straight games: 13 wins and a draw. Overall, Spain have now gone 44 matches without losing in normal time.
Match Results: Spain
The chase for top spot and a lack of concentration
England have yet to play in the Nations League play-offs, but a hard-fought home win over Croatia has opened the way to the matches for the title. Their final position remains to be decided: a win is enough for first place, while any other result will leave England second. This match also matters psychologically, as they face the world champions and one of Europe’s strongest national teams.
England’s main problem is a lack of concentration. They can take the lead but do not always turn it into a win. In the third-place match, they nearly let victory slip despite leading by four goals; in the semi-final against Argentina, they lost despite leading by two. In this Nations League, England led Spain 2-1 but lost 3-2. There were anxious moments after they scored in their last match against Croatia, too, but Kane’s penalty secured the win.
Match Results: England
Latest news
Spain
Lamine Yamal and Mikel Oyarzabal did not play against Czechia, but are with the squad and could play against England. Rodri, Dani Olmo and Eric García are not in the squad.
England
Djed Spence and Ezri Konsa are training with the team. They did not play against Croatia but are fit for the match against Spain. There are no other changes to the squad.
Predicted Lineups
Spain’s predicted starting XI: Simón - Pubill, Cubarsí, Huijsen, Cucurella - Pedri, Zubimendi, Ruiz - Yamal, Oyarzabal, Baena.
England’s predicted starting XI: Pickford - Alexander-Arnold, Quansah, Burn, Hall - Anderson, Rice - Rogers, Jude Bellingham, Gordon - Kane.
⚽️ Goals prediction
Spain have conceded in 10 of their last 11 Nations League matches. England have scored in 12 consecutive Nations League matches and in 30 of their last 31 matches across all competitions. Prediction - England to score at 1.45*.
🚩 Corners prediction
Spain have taken at least five corners in 14 of their previous 16 matches. At home, Spain enjoy long spells of possession and put pressure on the opposition goal, so set pieces near the opposition penalty area are a natural consequence of that style of play. We’re backing Spain Team Total Corners - Over 4.5 at 2.39*.
🟨 Yellow cards prediction
Spain are a disciplined team: they have received no more than one yellow card in 16 of their 18 matches. Good ball control helps with this. We pick Spain Team Total Yellow Cards - Under 1.5 at 1.44*.
🚀 Player prop bet
Harry Kane scored against Croatia in the last round and has now scored seven goals in this tournament. England will look for him in the box from set pieces and during quick attacks, and the striker himself is in excellent form. Kane to score at 2.70* is a bet based on his goalscoring record and his role in England’s attack.
😱 Risky bet
England have won the second half in 8 of their 9 away matches. They improve after the break, while Spain may slow the tempo and rotate if the scoreline is comfortable. England to win the second half at 4.70* is a risky bet for this match.
🎯 Reliable bet
Spain have scored in 14 Nations League matches, including seven home matches in the competition. Even against strong opponents, they consistently create chances and almost always manage to score. Spain to Score at 1.09* is a reliable option for this match.
👀 If the match doesn't go to plan
The teams’ head-to-head matches have been high-scoring: they have scored 10 goals in their last two Nations League meetings. A bet on a low-scoring match goes against this trend. Total Goals - Under 1.5 at 3.00*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Both teams have already reached the play-offs, which should make for more open football. Spain play on the front foot at home and are unbeaten in 14 consecutive competitive matches, while England score in almost every match but suffer from lapses in concentration. Their Nations League meetings tend to produce plenty of goals, and neither side needs to sit back now. Total Goals - Over 2.5 is the main pick. Predicted score: 2:2.
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Betting Tips: Spain - England
in 8 of last 9 away games.
in 8 of last 9 home games.in last 6 home games (UEFA Nations League).
in last 10 away games.in 7 of last 8 games (UEFA Nations League).in last 5 away games (UEFA Nations League).
in 12 of last 14 home games.in last 11 games.in 6 of last 7 home games (UEFA Nations League).in last 5 games (UEFA Nations League).Comparison of Teams Stats
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