Netherlands vs Greece Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 13 November 2026
📢 In the fifth round of Nations League League A, a clash awaits that could decide who finishes top of the group. The Netherlands and Greece head into their meeting with identical records - eight points each, leaving them level at the top. Home advantage adds to the intrigue for the Netherlands, who host their direct rivals at the Johan Cruyff Arena. Who will take a crucial step towards winning the group?
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The first round ended in a thrilling draw
📊 The Netherlands and Greece have met only three times in recent years, and the Dutch still have the upper hand in this fixture. They have two wins, while the other match ended in a draw. In the first round of the current Nations League campaign, the teams played out a high-scoring draw (2:2). The result was particularly disappointing for Greece, who went into half-time two goals ahead but lost their entire lead in the second half and missed out on victory.
Head-to-head statistics Netherlands - Greece
The Netherlands are consistent, but not without problems
The Netherlands have a strong squad and are considered dark horses for the trophy at almost every major tournament. This Nations League campaign is no exception. The Oranje made a confident start to the group stage and remain unbeaten: they have won twice and drawn twice in four matches, pleasing their fans with effective attacking play. However, there have been problems too: the Netherlands have conceded in every match, so questions remain about their defensive reliability.
The coaching staff have another cause for concern: both wins came against Serbia, the group's main outsiders. The Netherlands faced the same opponents in the final match of the previous international window. Despite home support and an overwhelming advantage in play, the Oranje unexpectedly encountered serious resistance. Nevertheless, they secured a 2-1 win, maintained their unbeaten run and added three important points to their tally.
Match Results: Netherlands
Greece exceeded pre-tournament expectations
Before the start of this Nations League campaign, few expected Greece to achieve much. Even staying in League A was considered a major success for the national team, but their results show that their ambitions are much higher. Greece have gone unbeaten through four rounds, collecting eight points and entering the race for first place. However, they have slowed down a little: two wins at the start were followed by two draws.
The good news for Greece is that both matches against Germany are already behind them, meaning they will not have to face one of their main rivals again in the closing stages of the group phase. In the previous round, Greece hosted Germany and managed to secure a draw, although they were clearly second best in terms of play. The hosts had just 30% possession and were outshot 5-21, spending most of the match defending their own goal. However, organised defending and reliable goalkeeping kept the score at 0-0.
Match Results: Greece
Latest news
Netherlands
❌ Virgil van Dijk and Brian Brobbey have withdrawn from the squad due to fitness concerns. Ryan Gravenberch, Nathan Aké, Jorrel Hato and Jeremie Frimpong are also absent through injury.
Greece
❌ Christos Zafeiris and Manolis Saliakas are suspended, while Dimitris Kourbelis is a major doubt due to an ankle injury. Giannis Konstantelias is also absent from the squad with a serious knee injury.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Predicted starting XI for Netherlands: Verbruggen - J. Timber, Van Hecke, Van de Ven, Maatsen - F. de Jong, Veerman, Reijnders - Summerville, Malen, Gakpo.
📋 Predicted starting XI for Greece: Tzolakis - Retsos, Mavropanos, Koulierakis, Tsimikas - Masouras, Kourbelis, Karetsas, Kyziridis - Pavlidis, Ioannidis.
Total Goals Prediction
As we have already noted, the Netherlands are excellent in attack but regularly make mistakes in defence. In all four of their matches in the current Nations League campaign, the Oranje have both scored and conceded, regardless of the opposition’s level. The hosts will surely try to take the initiative against Greece, but the visitors are also in excellent form and can punish the Netherlands on the counter-attack. Our pick is Both Teams to Score - Yes at odds of 1.77*.
Corners Prediction
The Netherlands’ home matches in the Nations League regularly feature plenty of corners. At least nine corners were taken in seven of the Oranje’s last eight competitive home matches. Their away meeting with Greece in the first round was also high on corners: the two sides took a combined 14. Therefore, our pick is Total Corners - Over 8.5 at odds of 1.65*.
Yellow Cards Prediction
Greece have played with considerable discipline in the current Nations League campaign, rarely receiving a large number of yellow cards. Notably, in seven of their last eight Nations League matches, Greece have received no more than two yellow cards. We therefore back Greece Team Total Yellow Cards - Under 2.5.
Player Prop Bet
Cody Gakpo has been playing very effectively for Liverpool. He also played well against Germany in the first round of the Nations League and scored, but in the second round against Serbia he was injured midway through the first half and could not help his team any further. Now it is time to make amends: he needs to step up in an important match for first place. Our bet is Cody Gakpo to score at odds of 2.50*.
High-Risk Bet
Both the Netherlands and Greece score plenty of late goals. Their meeting in the first round is a case in point: the Dutch avoided defeat thanks to a goal in the 89th minute. Given the importance of the upcoming match in the standings, the contest will surely continue until the final whistle. For those willing to take a risk, we suggest a bet on a goal in the 90th minute or later at odds of 4.20*.
Safer Bet
The Netherlands have not lost a competitive match for a long time, showing remarkable consistency in their results. They are unbeaten in regulation time across 20 matches, having faced opponents of widely varying levels during that period. Given this impressive run and home advantage, a bet on Netherlands to Win or Draw at odds of 1.14* is an option.
If the Match Takes a Different Turn
The main scenario points to an entertaining match with goals at both ends, but the opposite outcome should not be ruled out. Greece will almost certainly set up in a deep defensive shape again, trying to deny the Netherlands space. The longer the hosts go without opening the scoring, the harder they will find it to break down their opponents’ packed defence. In that case, the match could produce far fewer goals than expected. Our alternative bet is at least one team not to score at odds of 2.20*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Pick
According to the bookmakers, the Netherlands are clear favourites for the upcoming match, and it is hard to disagree with that assessment. The Oranje have a much stronger squad, while home support will be an additional advantage. Greece certainly impressed with their results in September and October, but luck was clearly on their side in many matches. It is difficult to count on that kind of luck every time, especially against a motivated Netherlands side. Our main bet is the Netherlands to win. Predicted score: 3:1.
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Betting Tips: Netherlands - Greece
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