San Marino vs Belarus Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 12 November 2026
🔊 San Marino host Belarus in the fifth round of Nations League Group C1. The visitors remain in contention for second place and a spot in the promotion play-offs, while the hosts have yet to pick up a point. The teams met in October at a neutral venue in Hungary, where Belarus won by a wide margin. San Marino now hope to make the most of home support, but the gap in quality remains significant.
🔁 We will update this preview as new information about the teams becomes available. Check it again just before the match so you do not miss any important changes.
Belarus have won every head-to-head meeting
📊 In September 2018, Belarus won 5-0 at home. The most recent meeting took place on 3 October 2026 in the current Nations League campaign and ended in a 4-0 defeat for San Marino. The hosts have therefore yet to score against Belarus in either of their two meetings.
Head-to-head statistics San Marino - Belarus
San Marino: poor defence and no points
San Marino are bottom of Group C1, with no points after four rounds. They have suffered four consecutive defeats: against Finland (0-7), Albania (0-3 and 1-2) and Belarus (0-4). Their goal difference is 1-16. In their most recent match against Albania, Roberto Cevoli's side looked more organised and managed to score, but still could not avoid defeat.
San Marino struggle to move from defence to attack. They rarely keep possession and create few dangerous chances, while their defensive line makes mistakes under sustained pressure from opponents. In their first match against Belarus, San Marino kept a clean sheet until half-time but then lost by four goals. At home, the hosts will try to play more compactly and prevent the visitors from getting into shooting positions quickly. However, to pick up points, they will need to improve significantly in both penalty areas.
Match Results: San Marino
Belarus: the battle for promotion
Belarus are second in Group C1 with seven points. Viktor Goncharenko's side began the campaign with a defeat to Albania (0-2), then drew with Finland (0-0) and recorded two consecutive wins - over San Marino (4-0) and Finland (1-0) in Budapest. Their goal difference is 5:2. Belarus have not scored many goals throughout the group stage, but have compensated with organised defending: they have not conceded a goal in their last three matches.
The win over Finland was particularly important for Goncharenko's side, as it allowed them to move ahead of a direct rival on tiebreakers and consolidate second place. Belarus now need to make the most of their match against the group's bottom side to maintain their advantage before the final round, when they will face Albania again at a neutral venue. The visitors have the edge over their opponents in individual ability and team organisation. However, they must avoid repeating the mistakes of their opening match against Albania, when a lack of attacking threat left them unable to take any points.
Match Results: Belarus
Latest news
San Marino
❌ Defender Michele Cevoli has been left out of the national squad due to injury, while forward Nicolas Giacopetti will miss the match after accumulating too many yellow cards.
Belarus
❌ Two Belarus forwards, Artem Shumanskiy and German Barkovskiy, will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Predicted Lineups
📋 San Marino predicted starting XI: Colombo - Fabbri, Pasolini, Rossi, Giocondi - Meloni, Della Balda, Capicchioni, Zannoni - Salicioni, Nanni.
📋 Belarus predicted starting XI: Lapoukhov - Kalinin, Volkov, Gomanov, Pechenin - Bocherov, Selyava - Kovalev, Ebong, Kontsevoy - Melnichenko.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
In the first four group matches, San Marino’s games averaged 4.25 yellow cards, while Belarus’s games saw around six bookings. The Belarusian side themselves received an average of 3.25 yellow cards per match. They regularly engage in challenges and do not shy away from tactical fouls. Given these figures, Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5 is worth considering.
⚽ Goals Prediction
San Marino have conceded 16 goals in four rounds, including ten in two home matches. Belarus scored four goals against them in October, and the gap between the teams’ defensive organisation remains significant. The visitors will look to consolidate their position in the group and should have no shortage of motivation. Given the hosts’ weak defence, consider Total Goals - Over 2.5. The odds are 1.63*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
In their first four group matches, San Marino averaged 2.5 corners per game, while their opponents won around 6.5 against them. Belarus averaged 2.75 corners of their own, with their opponents averaging 5.5. The combined statistics point to a moderately high number of corners. Despite the visitors’ likely territorial advantage, I suggest considering Belarus Team Total Corners - Under 7.5 at odds of 1.67*.
🚀 Risky Bet
Correct Score 0:3 - odds of 5.25*. Belarus have a stronger squad and beat San Marino by four goals in October. The hosts have conceded 16 goals in four matches, while their attacking options remain extremely limited. If the visitors score early, the difference in player quality could lead to two more goals.
🎯 A Reliable Bet
San Marino to Score - No - odds of 1.43*. The hosts failed to score in their two home matches in the current Nations League, losing to Finland and Albania. Belarus have not conceded in their last three group matches. Given San Marino’s poor scoring record and Belarus’s solid defence, this option looks reasonably well-founded.
🚀 Player Prop Bet
Trofim Melnichenko to Score - Goal - odds 1.75*. The suspensions of German Barkovskiy and Artem Shumanskiy significantly reduce Viktor Goncharenko’s attacking options. Melnichenko has already featured in three matches in the current Nations League campaign and could start as a centre-forward. Against San Marino’s defence, he will have a chance to make an impact in the final stages of attacks.
👀 If The Match Doesn't Go To Plan
If Belarus fail to open the scoring before half-time but continue to control the game and create chances, Belarus Team Total Goals - Over 1.5 in the second half could be considered as a live bet. San Marino struggle to withstand sustained pressure, so the visitors may have further chances to score as the hosts tire.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Belarus go into the match on the back of two consecutive wins and remain in contention for a place in the promotion play-offs for League B. San Marino have lost all four group-stage matches, conceding 16 goals and scoring just once. In their previous head-to-head meeting, Belarus scored four goals, and now have a chance to repeat that result against the same opponents. I expect the visitors to threaten the goal more often and help take the match past the two-goal mark. Final bet: Total Goals - Over 2.5. Correct score prediction: 0-3.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: San Marino - Belarus
in 7 of last 8 games..svg)
in last 7 games.in last 4 home games.in last 11 games.in last 6 home games.
in 8 of last 9 away games (UEFA Nations League).in last 7 away games.Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
