England vs Croatia Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 12 November 2026
🔉 England continue to chase Spain, whom they lost to in the opening round, but have since won three matches in a row, scoring 12 goals. Croatia, by contrast, have lost three straight matches and can still catch England, but only if they do not drop any points in their remaining Nations League fixtures. Any slip-up by the visitors will end their chances of finishing second, while England's points cushion allows them to take a more measured approach.
🔁 We will update this preview as new information about the teams becomes available. Check it shortly before the match so you do not miss any important changes.
Head-to-Head
📊 In 2026, England beat Croatia by wide margins twice: first 4-2 in the World Cup group stage, then 7-0 in Rijeka in the first round of the Nations League, with Bukayo Saka and Harry Kane each scoring twice. England are unbeaten in five matches, having won four in a row, and have not lost in normal time in their last eight games. At the 2018 World Cup in Russia, Croatia won after extra time. The teams have played 11 matches in total: seven wins for England, three for Croatia and one draw.
Head-to-head statistics England - Croatia
Goalscoring as a hallmark
Thomas Tuchel’s arrival as England manager raised questions and doubts for many, but his tenure cannot be called a failure. England have started scoring more and playing more actively in the final third, while retaining the defensive solidity they had under his predecessor. At the World Cup in the USA, England won a medal, beating France 6-4 in the third-place play-off.
England’s goalscoring has become the team’s hallmark. They began the Nations League with a defeat to Spain (2-3), then won three matches by a combined score of 12-0. England have scored at least twice in 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions. Harry Kane remains their main attacking figure, having scored six goals already. Anthony Gordon has three. England are second in the group with nine points, three behind Spain and six ahead of Croatia.
Match Results: England
A change of direction and adaptation under Bilić
Croatia's form in this Nations League campaign has gone backwards. They began with a 2-1 away win over Czechia. That victory was expected, as Czechia are the weakest team in the group. Croatia lost to their higher-profile opponents: 7-0 at home to England, and 4-1 away and 2-1 at home to Spain. In the home match against Spain, Croatia had been ahead and conceded the second goal only after Ivan Perišić was sent off.
After the 2026 World Cup, Croatia changed head coach, with Slaven Bilić returning to the national team. The team are still adapting to his demands, and their performances in the tournament have varied. Luka Modrić still plays for Croatia. The 40-year-old veteran has featured in every match and is an important link between the coach and the players.
Match Results: Croatia
Latest news
England
The Bellingham brothers will be reunited in the England squad for the first time during the November international break. Jude was called up as expected, while Jobe earned his place with impressive performances for Borussia Dortmund. Chelsea’s Cole Palmer has once again been left out of the squad, and Marc Guéhi will miss out through injury.
Croatia
Ivan Perišić will miss the match against England through suspension. He has scored two goals in the Nations League. Defenders Marin Pongračić and Josip Šutalo are also unavailable, but their absence is less significant.
⚽️ Goals prediction
At least three goals were scored in normal time in 6 of England's last 7 home Nations League matches. The same number of goals was scored over 90 minutes in 6 of Croatia's previous 8 away games in the competition. Total Goals - Over 2.5 at odds of 1.52* is a bet based on both teams' scoring records in the Nations League.
🚩 Corners prediction
No more than ten corners were taken in normal time in 8 of England's last 10 home matches in the Nations League. There were also no more than ten corners after 90 minutes in 6 of Croatia's last 9 away matches in the tournament. We pick Total Corners - Under 10.5 at 1.55*.
🟨 Yellow cards prediction
Croatia have received at least two yellow cards in normal time in 6 of their last 8 away Nations League matches. England's opponents have received two or more yellow cards over 90 minutes in 7 of the national team's previous 10 home matches in the competition. We’re backing Croatia Team Total Yellow Cards - Over 1.5 at 1.52*.
🚀 Player prop bet
Harry Kane is having an excellent season. He has already won the Ballon d'Or for last season, and has scored six goals in this edition of the tournament, including two against Croatia. The forward has scored in five consecutive matches in the tournament. We’re backing Kane to score at odds of 1.49*.
😱 Risky bet
England have made particularly strong starts to first halves at home: they have won the opening period in six home games. In the most recent head-to-head match, England led by four goals at half-time. England - First-Half Handicap -1.5 at 3.52* is a risky bet for the match.
🎯 Reliable bet
England have scored at least two goals in 12 of their last 13 home games and in nine of their previous 10 matches across all competitions. England Team Total Goals - Over 1.5 at 1.29* is a reliable option for this match.
👀 If the match doesn't go to plan
Croatia have motivation: only a convincing away win gives them a chance of finishing second. Any other result would leave them in third place and facing a play-off to secure a place in Division A next season. An away win for Croatia at 11.90* is a bet against the expected scenario.
*The odds are indicative and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Pick
England are the favourites and will most likely get the result they want at home, but their victory will not be as emphatic as it was in Rijeka. Croatia showed in their last match against Spain that they can play compactly, and if not for Perišić's sending-off and Merino's impressive substitute appearance, in which he scored twice, they could well have secured a positive result. England can play without pressure: they have a substantial points cushion, and even a draw, let alone a win, would keep them in the top two, so they can be more solid defensively. The bet is Croatia - Handicap +1.5 - our main pick. Predicted score: 2:1.
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Betting Tips: England - Croatia
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