Turkey vs Belgium Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 12 November 2026

📊 Before October, the national teams had last met in qualifying for Euro 2012. Turkey beat Belgium at home and drew away. Their autumn meeting in Liège was very different. Belgium won 3-0, with Kevin De Bruyne scoring twice. Across 12 head-to-head matches, Turkey have three wins, five draws and four defeats.

Turkey have scored no more than one goal in seven of their last eight competitive matches. The sole exception was their win over the USA at the World Cup. In the Nations League, Belgium have kept clean sheets in two of their four matches, including against Turkey in October. The Turks did not really test goalkeeper Senne Lammens on that occasion. We do not expect more than one goal from the hosts. The bet is Turkey Team Total Goals - Under 1.5 at 1.59*.

Turkey have taken at least four corners in eight of their last nine Nations League matches. At home, the bar is even higher: five or more in six of their last seven matches. The new coach needs a result, and the hosts will have to attack in Izmir. The visitors are no obstacle to that tempo: their last seven away matches have each produced more than seven corners between the two teams. We expect Turkey to take at least four corners. Bet - Turkey Team Total Corners - Over 3.5 at 1.53*.

The visitors have received more than one yellow card in seven of their last eight Nations League matches. In October's meeting with Turkey, Belgium received four yellow cards, as did Turkey. Turkey's matches in the competition have been physical: the two teams have committed more than 23 fouls combined in five consecutive matches. The referee is Switzerland's Sandro Schärer, who is not shy about showing cards: he averages more than four yellows per match. We expect the visitors to receive at least two yellow cards in İzmir as well. The bet is Belgium Team Total Yellow Cards - Over 1.5 at 1.80*.

The standout player from the October meeting is back in the squad: Kevin De Bruyne scored twice against Turkey in Liège. Van Bommel says the midfielder is in excellent form and enjoying his football, and the goals back that up. He faces a defence that has conceded more goals than any other in the group. The bet is Kevin De Bruyne to score.

Our prediction is 1:2, and the numbers support that scoreline. Belgium have scored in eight consecutive away matches, but have not scored more than two goals in any of their last ten away Nations League matches. A goal for Turkey is realistic too: they lost both Nations League matches against Italy but scored in each. The risk is that the exact score is the narrowest bet, and Belgium won 3:0 in October. Still, we expect the visitors to win by one goal. The bet is Correct Score - 1:2 at 7.70*.

More than four goals have been scored in Belgium’s away Nations League matches only once in their last ten - in Paris in October (1-4). For Turkey, it has happened once in seven matches in this competition - in a home defeat to Italy (1-4). Our bet wins with any scoreline featuring four goals or fewer. Even a repeat of October’s 3-0 would not derail it. The bet is Total Goals - Under 4.5 at 1.23*.

The likely scenario is that Belgium score and win by one goal, while Turkey stay in the game until the end. That changes if the visitors go two goals ahead before half-time. The hosts will then have to open up, leaving more space behind the Turkish defence. If that happens, look at Belgium to win by two or more goals and the visitors to score a third in live betting.

*The odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.

📌 Editor’s Prediction

Turkey rarely lose heavily at home. In 12 of their last 14 home matches, they have not lost by more than one goal. The only exception in the Nations League was a defeat to Italy. Belgium, meanwhile, have scored no more than two goals in ten consecutive away matches in this competition. The visitors are stronger, but we do not expect a repeat of October’s heavy defeat in Liège. The bet is Turkey - Handicap +1.5. Predicted score: 1-2.