Inter vs Fiorentina Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 25 October 2026
📢 Can Fiorentina cause problems for the reigning Italian champions? In round eight of Serie A, the Viola travel to Milan, where they face Inter at the legendary Giuseppe Meazza. Fiorentina have made another poor start to the season, almost mirroring last year's pattern. The Nerazzurri, by contrast, are in confident form and sit top of the table. That said, Inter would be unwise to underestimate their visitors: the opposition have a squad of sufficient quality to spring a surprise even away from home.
🔁 This prediction is updated on match day. Keep an eye on the Latest News section.
Inter have the upper hand in head-to-head meetings
📊 The head-to-head record between Inter and Fiorentina spans 42 matches, with the Milan club holding a commanding advantage. Inter have won 25 times, while Fiorentina have come out on top on just 8 occasions, with 9 draws. Last season the two sides met twice in Serie A, with the Milanese edging the head-to-head. At home at the Giuseppe Meazza, Inter gave Fiorentina no chance, winning 3-0, while away from home they were unable to see out a victory, drawing 1-1 despite taking the lead as early as the first minute.
Head-to-head statistics Inter - Fiorentina
Inter keep winning even when they're not at their best
Inter have made a confident start to their title defence, even if the quality of their performances has been far from ideal. The Nerazzurri make defensive errors in almost every match and concede regularly, yet that has not stopped them picking up points consistently. After seven rounds, the Milanese side have 19 points from a possible 21 and lead the Serie A table. Last weekend Inter claimed another win, beating Bologna away from home 3-1. The match began badly for them - the hosts opened the scoring on the tenth minute, forcing Inter to come from behind. But the reigning Italian champions recovered quickly and, through sheer class, turned the game around.
Inter's recent victory over Shakhtar in the third round of the Champions League league phase should give them further confidence. After two defeats at the start of that stage, Inter found themselves in a difficult position, making it highly undesirable to drop points at home to the Ukrainian club. Even as clear favourites, though, the Nerazzurri struggled for a long time to break down their opponents' defence. To make matters worse, on 68 minutes Inter were reduced to ten men. Nevertheless, they managed to score even at ten against eleven and snatched the win 1-0.
Match Results: Inter Milano
Fiorentina have once again struggled to pick up points
Fiorentina are at the wrong end of the Serie A table and continue to disappoint their supporters. After seven rounds, the Viola have just four points and sit 18th, in the relegation zone. Even a change of head coach has not managed to fundamentally turn things around. The team did show signs of improvement at first, but the positive effect was short-lived. Fiorentina have started dropping points regularly again, gradually slipping back into their old problems.
In the previous round they suffered another defeat, losing at home to Como 1-3. In terms of the actual play, the hosts did not look nearly as bad as the scoreline suggests. The two sides had roughly equal possession, and Fiorentina actually out-shot their opponents (19-16). The expected goals figure was also slightly higher for the hosts (1.92 xG against 1.81). Even so, the Florence side were unable to get a positive result.
Match Results: Fiorentina
Latest news
Inter Milano
❌ Inter have five confirmed absentees ahead of the match. Benjamin Pavard, John Stones, Curtis Jones and Lautaro Martínez remain sidelined with injuries. Lautaro's absence is a particularly significant blow to Inter's attack.
Fiorentina
❌ Fiorentina have one confirmed absence: Fabiano Parisi continues to recover from a cruciate ligament rupture. The availability of Luca Ranieri and Arthur Atta remains in doubt.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Inter predicted starting XI: J. Martínez - Carlos Augusto, Akanji, Bastoni - Diouf, Barella, Çalhanoğlu, Zieliński, Dimarco - Thuram, F. Esposito.
📋 Fiorentina predicted starting XI: De Gea - Jiménez, Drăgușin, Pongračić, Viery - Fagioli, Ndour - Mastantuono, Gonçalves, Njié - Pellegrino.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
As we have already noted, Inter have one of the strongest attacking lines in Serie A, but defensively the reigning Italian champions are far from solid. In 6 of their last 7 matches, the Nerazzurri have scored and conceded. The only exception was their recent meeting with Shakhtar, in which the Milanese managed to keep a clean sheet even after going down to ten men. Fiorentina, for all their difficulties, score regularly, so we are backing Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.71*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Three corners in 90 minutes is a fairly modest threshold for Fiorentina, even accounting for the trip to the reigning Italian champions. In their last ten matches, the Viola have taken at least three corners in every single game. Despite their poor results, the team regularly create chances and look to be active going forward. Our pick is Fiorentina Team Total Corners - Over 2.5 at 1.58*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Inter try to play in a disciplined manner, but they rarely get through a match without any bookings: they received at least one yellow card in 9 of their last 10 matches. Fiorentina, who are desperately in need of points, will surely look to make their presence felt in duels, which means the hosts will have to stop quick counter-attacks with fouls from time to time. We are backing Inter Team Total Yellow Cards - Over 1 at 1.43*.
🚀 Player Stat Bet
Carlos Augusto tends to fly under the radar for Italian football fans, which is somewhat surprising. Despite playing as a defender, the Brazilian has been very productive: in five Serie A matches he has two goals and two assists, and in the Champions League he has contributed in both matches he has played. It is therefore tempting to back Carlos Augusto to Score at 7.20*.
😱 Risky Bet
Backing high-scoring matches involving Inter is gradually becoming a habit: the Nerazzurri are no strangers to goal-fests. The team attack brilliantly but continue to have regular defensive lapses. Those who enjoy a risk can back Total Goals - Over 4.5 at 3.60*.
🎯 Reliable Bet
Inter rarely suffer defeat against Fiorentina: they have gone unbeaten in 18 of their last 20 head-to-head meetings. The hosts are currently in good form, while their opponents are struggling in the relegation zone and finding it hard to pick up points. For those who prefer a safer option, we suggest backing Inter Not to Lose at 1.11*.
👀 If the Match Goes Against the Script
Despite the conditions pointing towards a high-scoring contest, the opposite scenario cannot be ruled out. Fiorentina may opt for an extremely cautious approach, setting up a compact defence and focusing on containing Inter's attacks. The Nerazzurri themselves are also capable of playing in a far more pragmatic manner, particularly if they again face unforeseen circumstances - such as another red card. The alternative bet is At Least One Team Fails to Score at 2.20*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The bookmakers make Inter clear favourites, and it's hard to argue with that. But an easy ride for the hosts seems unlikely: their play is still far from its best, and the energy-sapping Champions League match - in which they also had to finish with ten men - will surely take its toll on freshness. Fiorentina also need to find a way out of their current slump, so the visitors won't simply sit back and defend. In the end, we're going with Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 3-2.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: Inter Milano - Fiorentina
in 6 of last 7 home games against Fiorentina (Serie A).in 6 of last 7 home games..svg)
in 7 of last 8 home games (Serie A).in 6 of last 7 games (Serie A).in 18 of last 20 games against Fiorentina.in 16 of last 18 games against Fiorentina (Serie A).in 10 of last 11 home games against Fiorentina.in 9 of last 10 home games against Fiorentina (Serie A).in 32 of last 33 games (Serie A).in 19 of last 21 games.in last 16 home games (Serie A).in 12 of last 13 home games.
in 32 of last 33 games (Serie A).in last 21 games.in last 20 home games.in last 16 home games (Serie A).in 9 of last 10 games.in last 7 games (Serie A).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
