Torino vs Monza Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 23 October 2026
📢 The eighth round of the Italian Serie A gets under way with Torino hosting Monza at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. Both sides come into this match on a short turnaround, with just four days since their previous games. That said, the two teams are in virtually the same position in that regard, so the tight schedule is unlikely to give either side a meaningful advantage. Both clubs have made a decent start to the new season, and in the previous round they each delighted their supporters with big wins while keeping clean sheets. Who can extend their winning run?
Monza have narrowed the gap in their head-to-head record
📊 The head-to-head record between Torino and Monza over recent years spans just seven matches, with a slight edge to the Turin club. The Bulls have won three, three more have ended in draws, and Monza have come out on top only once. Notably, the two sides have already met this season. In early September they faced each other in the Round of 32 of the Coppa Italia, with that match also taking place at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. Despite being the away side, Monza pulled off a surprise, winning 1-0 to knock their opponents out of the competition.
Head-to-head statistics Torino - Monza
Torino have gained momentum after a sluggish start
Torino made a poor start to the new season but have improved noticeably in recent matches. They have gone three games without defeat, picking up seven points over that run. The sequence has lifted them to tenth in the Serie A table, with ten points from seven matches.
Their previous match was particularly impressive - a 3-0 away win over Parma in which Torino were already two goals up by the 24th minute, effectively settling the contest. The final score, however, does not reflect what actually happened on the pitch. Statistically, Parma looked considerably more dangerous: 25 shots to 9, 8 shots on target to 3, and an xG of 2.03 against 1.28. Despite the positive results, the team still have certain problems that need addressing.
Match Results: Torino
Monza continue to surprise
Monza have made a fairly positive impression since returning to Serie A. The team have not only produced respectable results for a newly promoted side but have backed them up with decent football. After seven rounds they have seven points and sit 14th in the table. It is not a comfortable position, but the main objective at this stage is to stay in the top flight, and so far Monza are above the relegation zone.
Last weekend Monza produced one of the biggest surprises of the round. They hosted Cagliari and won 4-0, a result that looks all the more striking when you consider that Cagliari had conceded just three goals in their previous six rounds. That said, the scoreline was somewhat misleading. Statistically the match was almost even: 14 shots to 16 and 3 chances created to 4. Cagliari actually came out noticeably ahead on expected goals too, with 2.09 xG against Monza's 1.29. Even so, the result is hugely significant for Monza and will surely give the players a boost in confidence.
Match Results: Monza
Latest news
Torino
❌ Torino have three confirmed absentees ahead of the match. Ricardo Rodríguez, Emirhan İlkhan and Franco Israel remain sidelined through injury, while Niccolò Fortini is doubtful.
Monza
❌ Monza have more injury concerns. Jan Ziółkowski, Idrissa Touré, Matteo Pessina, Yvan Maye and Ezequiel Zeballos are ruled out. Touré has already resumed training.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Torino matches in Serie A have rarely been short of goals lately: in 8 of their last 9 league games, the Turin side both scored and conceded. Monza are no strangers to open football either, with virtually every match this season producing plenty of chances. Given the attacking potential of both sides, we're backing Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.75*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
In head-to-head meetings, Monza have not been inclined to put Torino under sustained pressure from set pieces: they won fewer than five corners in 6 of the last 7 meetings between these two sides. It's also worth noting that in the current Serie A season, Monza average 4.3 corners per game. Away at Torino, who rarely allow opponents into their penalty area, there's little reason to expect a sharp increase on that figure. We're backing Monza Team Total Corners - Under 4.5 at 1.49*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Torino have shown a notably disciplined side to their game this season, very rarely resorting to cynical fouls. The statistics back this up: in 7 of their last 8 Serie A matches, the Bulls received no more than one yellow card. They tend to avoid unnecessary bookings even when games get difficult. Our pick is Torino Team Total Yellow Cards - Under 1.5.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
According to the bookmakers, Torino go into this match as favourites. The Turin side have more experience in Serie A and will also have the backing of their home crowd. That said, Monza are currently close to matching their opponents in terms of football quality and are capable of competing for points even away from home. Both teams also tend to produce fairly high-scoring matches. This is particularly true of Monza, whose games average four goals. Our main bet is therefore Total Goals - Over 2.5. Predicted score: 2-2.
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Betting Tips: Torino - Monza
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