Napoli vs Roma Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 October 2026
📢 One of the matchday 8 fixtures in Serie A takes place at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, where Napoli host Roma. From the opening rounds, Roma have shown impressive consistency and are deservedly among the league leaders. Napoli, meanwhile, have left a more mixed impression so far, dropping points regularly. That said, it is in exactly these kinds of high-profile fixtures that Napoli can show their best.
Napoli hold a slight edge
📊 The head-to-head record between Napoli and Roma over recent years spans 40 matches, with a slight edge to the Neapolitan side. Napoli have won 16 times, Roma 13, and 11 matches have ended in a draw. Last season Napoli had the better of the two meetings, picking up four points. They won 1-0 away first, then drew 2-2 at home at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in the return fixture. Both matches were fairly even, so it would be difficult to talk about any serious dominance from either side.
Head-to-head statistics Napoli - Roma
Napoli are far from their best form
What is happening with Napoli? That is the question many Italian football fans are asking right now. The Neapolitans have been a genuine disappointment at the start of the new season, and after seven rounds they sit only ninth in the Serie A table with ten points. What makes it worse is that they have been regularly dropping points against far from the strongest opponents, which is completely at odds with the club's ambitions.
The slip-up in the previous round was particularly painful. Napoli travelled to Venice, who at that point were bottom of the table without a single point to their name, and somehow lost 1-0. The Partenopei dominated almost entirely and were clearly the better side, yet they could not convert that superiority into goals. In the end, it hardly matters who looked better when the result is that disappointing.
A recent win over Bodø/Glimt in the third round of the Champions League league phase was supposed to lift the mood somewhat. The Norwegian club had caused problems for a number of big names in just under two seasons in the competition, and Napoli nearly joined that list. Even at home, the Italians were far from convincing: the visitors had more of the ball (57% against 43%) and outperformed the hosts in expected goals (2.23 against 1.68 xG). Napoli did, however, make the most of their superior quality and were considerably more clinical with the chances they created, eventually winning 4-3.
Match Results: Napoli
Roma maintain a high standard
Many experts have been calling Roma the best Italian side of the new season so far, and there are good reasons for that. The Romans have not only been picking up points consistently, but also playing very good football, regularly outperforming their opponents. After seven rounds, the Wolves remain unbeaten and sit third in the Serie A table, just two points off the top. In the previous round, Roma had little trouble seeing off Genoa, winning 2-0 at home. What made it particularly impressive was that they did so with something close to a second-string side, resting a number of key players.
Roma's midweek showing in the Champions League was even more convincing. After a difficult start in Europe, they finally claimed their first win of the current campaign - and did so in emphatic fashion. At home, they dismantled Slovan Bratislava 4-0, giving their opponents no chance whatsoever. The statistics alone tell the story of how one-sided it was: Roma's expected goals figure was an extraordinary 4.04 xG, against a negligible 0.03 for Slovan. For all intents and purposes, there was only one team on the pitch.
Match Results: Roma
Latest news
Napoli
❌ Napoli have four confirmed absentees ahead of the match. Alessandro Buongiorno, Alisson Santos, Costantino Favasuli and David Neres remain sidelined with injuries. Antonio Vergara has resumed training but is still doubtful.
Roma
❌ Roma have significant injury concerns. Paulo Dybala, Manu Koné, Lorenzo Pellegrini and first-choice goalkeeper Mile Svilar remain sidelined. Muhammed Bah is also unavailable.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Gian Piero Gasperini's arrival as Roma head coach has noticeably transformed the team's play, particularly in attack. The Romans have become far more aggressive and regularly score multiple goals per match. The numbers are striking: in 13 of their last 15 matches, the Wolves have scored at least twice. Given the visitors' excellent form and Napoli's serious defensive problems, we're backing Roma Team Total - Over 1.5 Goals at odds of 2.25*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Matches between Napoli and Roma in Naples rarely pass without a flurry of set pieces. In 8 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings in Naples, there have been at least nine corners. Given Roma's attacking style and the hosts' desire to make up for a poor start to the season, we expect an active battle for the initiative. We're therefore backing Total Corners - Over 8.5 at odds of 1.95*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Napoli's matches have rarely featured a high number of bookings recently. In 9 of their last 10 fixtures, referees showed no more than three yellow cards in total. Napoli themselves have been particularly disciplined: in the current Serie A season they average just 0.9 yellow cards per match - the fewest in the division. Our pick is therefore Total Yellow Cards - Under 3.5.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The bookmakers see no clear favourite for this match, which already says a lot about Napoli's current state. Napoli have made such a poor start to the new season that even home advantage is not enough for them to be considered the stronger side. Roma, by contrast, are in excellent form: in official matches this season they have lost only to Real Madrid, 3-4, and even in that game they were leading 3-1 until the 82nd minute. Our main bet is Roma - Handicap (0). Predicted score: 1-2.
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Betting Tips: Napoli - Roma
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