Cagliari vs Bologna Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 October 2026
📢 How will the clash between Cagliari and Bologna play out in matchday 8 of Serie A? Both sides have started the new season in a way few expected. The biggest surprise is that the two teams have effectively swapped roles. Bologna, who in recent years have been seen as regular contenders for European football, find themselves unexpectedly in the lower half of the table, while Cagliari are producing results that put them in contention at the top end. The fact that the match takes place at the Unipol Domus only adds to the intrigue.
Bologna maintain their edge over Cagliari
📊 The head-to-head record between Cagliari and Bologna over recent years spans 38 matches, with the visitors holding a slight edge. Bologna have won 17 times, while Cagliari have come out on top on 12 occasions, with 9 draws. Last season the two sides met twice in Serie A, and Cagliari failed to score in either fixture: the home defeat was particularly painful, ending 0-3, while the second meeting finished goalless (0-0).
Head-to-head statistics Cagliari - Bologna
Cagliari stumble after a strong start
Cagliari have been producing some remarkable results at the start of the new Serie A season. After seven rounds, the islanders have collected 13 points and sit seventh in the table. Not long ago they were in the top four, but a defeat in their last match dropped them a few places. For a club that many had tipped for a relegation battle before the season began, even that position represents a considerable achievement.
Their most recent performance is one Cagliari supporters will want to forget, though. Last weekend the islanders travelled to Monza and suffered a heavy 4-0 defeat. What makes it particularly surprising is that over the previous six rounds the team had conceded just three goals in total. Defensive problems had been visible before that, however - Fabio Pisacane's side regularly allowed opponents to create dangerous chances, but good fortune at the back kept the goals against tally low for a long time. Against Monza that luck ran out: the hosts scored four goals from just 1.29 xG. On the balance of play, Cagliari arguably did not deserve to lose by that margin.
Match Results: Cagliari Calcio
Bologna struggle at the start of the season
Bologna have been a real disappointment at the start of the new Serie A season. Wins have been hard to come by, and dropping points regularly has only made things worse. After seven rounds they have just five points and sit 15th in the table, which is nowhere near where the club would want to be.
In the previous round Bologna suffered another defeat, losing at home to the reigning Italian champions 1-3. Things actually started promisingly enough for the hosts: they opened the scoring on the tenth minute and gave their supporters reason to dream of an upset. But they couldn't hold on - Inter gradually took control and turned the match around. The defeat was entirely deserved: the Milanese side were clearly superior across the key statistical measures, leading 17-11 in shots, 7-3 in chances created, and 2.82 to 0.99 in xG.
Match Results: Bologna
Latest news
Cagliari Calcio
❌ Cagliari have two confirmed absentees ahead of the match. Mattia Felici and Riyad Idrissi remain sidelined with ACL injuries, while Yael Trepy is doubtful due to a muscle problem.
Bologna
❌ Bologna have three confirmed absentees. Emil Holm and Riccardo Orsolini remain sidelined, while Roberto Piccoli suffered a thigh injury in the previous round and will also miss the match.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Conceding four goals against Monza looks more like an unfortunate blip than a pattern. Before that, Cagliari had let in just three goals across six Serie A rounds, showing a solid defensive record. Bologna, meanwhile, are far from their best and are struggling to create chances, so the hosts don't need to overhaul their defensive approach - they just need to play the way they were before that setback. Our bet is Bologna Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.55*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Cagliari are fairly active at home and earn corners on a regular basis: in 6 of their last 7 home Serie A matches, the islanders have won at least four corners. Given the home advantage and that consistent statistical trend, we expect the hosts to rack up enough corners. Our bet is Cagliari Team Total - Over 3.5 Corners at odds of 1.50*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Matches involving Cagliari rarely feature a high number of bookings. In 12 of their last 14 Serie A fixtures, the islanders' games have seen no more than three yellow cards in total. We expect the upcoming match against Bologna to follow the same pattern, and our bet is Total - Under 3.5 Yellow Cards.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The bookmakers have Bologna as favourites for this match. We strongly disagree with that assessment. A look at both sides' recent results is enough to cast doubt on the visitors' supposed superiority. Cagliari have caused serious problems for even more high-profile opponents, while Bologna are going through a prolonged slump and are finding it very hard to pick up points. On top of that, Cagliari are playing at home, where they will surely be looking to make amends for that painful defeat to Monza. Our main bet is therefore Cagliari not to lose. Predicted score: 1-0.
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Betting Tips: Cagliari Calcio - Bologna
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