Fiorentina vs Inter Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 22 March 2026
📢 What to expect from the clash between Fiorentina and Inter at the Artemio Franchi? The 30th round of Serie A concludes with a match between two teams experiencing vastly different seasons. The Nerazzurri are pushing to reclaim the championship title, while the Viola are struggling and fighting for survival. Both teams are in desperate need of points, promising a heated encounter.
Head-to-Head
📊 Recent head-to-head history between Fiorentina and Inter Milan heavily favors the Milan club: out of 41 encounters, the hosts have claimed victory eight times, with another eight matches ending in a draw, while the visitors have emerged victorious 25 times. In the first round of the current season, the Milan side convincingly defeated their opponents at home with a 3-0 victory.
Head-to-head statistics Fiorentina - Inter
Fiorentina Team Overview
🟣 Fiorentina have looked much more confident compared to the start of the season, securing six victories in their last nine matches across all competitions. Last weekend, the Viola convincingly defeated Cremonese away (4-1), a direct rival in the battle for survival, although the scoreline perhaps flattered their performance. This win lifted Fiorentina to 16th place, extending their gap from the relegation zone to three points, providing some breathing room.
⚪ Following the Cremonese match, the team traveled to Poland for the second leg against Raków Częstochowa in the UEFA Europa Conference League Round of 16. Despite conceding first and seeing the aggregate score level at 2-2 at one point, the Viola remained composed and turned the game around in the final 30 minutes. Ultimately, Fiorentina not only advanced with a 4-2 aggregate score but also claimed victory in the individual match (2-1).
Match Results: Fiorentina
Inter Milano Team Overview
🔵 Inter have been struggling lately, managing just two wins in their last seven matches. All three of their games in March ended without a victory for the Nerazzurri. Last weekend, the Milan side couldn't overcome Atalanta at home, finishing 1-1. Atalanta themselves have been off their usual pace, and Inter didn't appear significantly stronger to claim all three points.
⚫ Despite this challenging period, Inter still hold onto the top spot. After 29 rounds, they have accumulated 68 points, maintaining an eight-point lead over their nearest rival. This is largely due to their title challengers also experiencing inconsistency and frequently dropping points.
Match Results: Inter Milano
Latest news
Fiorentina
📣 After their 2-1 victory over Rakow, Fiorentina's head coach Paolo Vanoli remarked: "In the first half, the heavy pitch slowed us down; we were late to second balls and moved forward too sluggishly. But everything changed after the break: this team now knows how to respond correctly in such situations."
🚫 The team faces some squad issues: Niccolò Fortini (muscle injury) and Manor Solomon (hip injury) are doubtful, while Luca Lezzerini (hip injury) and Tariq Lamptey (knee injury) are definitely out.
Inter Milano
📣 Ahead of the clash with Fiorentina, Inter's head coach Cristian Chivu stated, "Football always comes with pressure. The season is long, and anything can happen, so we're focused solely on our path and continue to improve... Marcus Thuram, like the entire team, has the potential to play even better, and he knows it. Right now, every match feels like a final for us, and the responsibility is on everyone."
🚫 The visitors also face some lineup challenges: Lautaro Martinez is doubtful due to a calf injury, while Henrikh Mkhitaryan is definitely out with a hamstring injury. Additionally, head coach Cristian Chivu will miss the match due to suspension.
⚽️ Goal Predictions
Fiorentina's recent matches have been high-scoring affairs, with the over 2.5 goals bet hitting in 12 of their last 14 games. Notably, at least three goals have been scored in 5 of the last 6 head-to-head encounters between these teams, making this wager a strong candidate for success once again.
🚩 Corner Predictions
Inter are the undisputed leaders in Serie A when it comes to earning corners, averaging 6.8 per match. Additionally, Inter have taken more than 4.5 corners in 12 of their last 14 meetings with Fiorentina, and the upcoming game is unlikely to break this pattern.
🚀 Player Stats Bet
Albert Gudmundsson shone at Genoa during the 2022-2024 seasons, consistently contributing to goals. Fiorentina took notice and signed him, but injuries have hampered his full potential. Nevertheless, in his last three matches, he's delivered strong performances with a tally of 2 goals and 2 assists. In the second leg against Raków (2-1), he even managed an assist despite coming on in the 90+1st minute. Given Inter's defensive issues, a bet on Albert Gudmundsson to score at odds of 4.20* seems like an intriguing option.
😱 Risky Bet
Considering the disparity in class between the opponents, it's likely that Inter will dominate possession. Under such circumstances, Fiorentina might resort to breaking up Inter's attacks at any cost, including yellow cards. The "Viola" are among the leaders in cautions this season, averaging around 2.2 per match. Therefore, risk-takers might consider a bet on Fiorentina to win on yellow cards with a handicap (-1.5) at odds of 4.20*.
👀 If the Match Doesn't Go as Planned
As mentioned earlier, recent clashes between Fiorentina and Inter have been quite high-scoring. However, there's a chance that the upcoming game could unfold differently. Aware of the class difference, Fiorentina might opt for a cautious approach, focusing heavily on defense. In such a scenario, the option of under 2.5 goals starts to look more reasonable.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Editors' Prediction
According to the bookmakers, Inter are the clear favorites in the upcoming clash, and it's hard to argue with that assessment. Yes, the team has recently slowed down, and Fiorentina have shown noticeable improvement, yet the "Viola" still struggle against stronger opponents. Moreover, the "Nerazzurri" have proven to be a particularly challenging adversary for the Florentines-Fiorentina have lost at home in five of their last six head-to-head encounters with Inter. Therefore, our main bet is on an Inter victory. We anticipate a high-scoring game, with the visitors winning 3-2.
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Betting Tips: Fiorentina - Inter Milano
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