Lazio vs Parma Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 October 2026
📢 Can Lazio continue their impressive start to the new Serie A season? After seven rounds, the Romans are still unbeaten and rightly sit among the leaders of the table. Parma, on the other hand, have had a difficult start: the Crusaders are struggling to pick up points and currently find themselves in the relegation zone. The match takes place at the legendary Olimpico, where the hosts will look to take control from the first minute and justify their status as favourites. On the face of it, everything points in Lazio's favour - though underestimating their opponents could come back to bite them.
Parma rarely get the better of Lazio
📊 The head-to-head record between Lazio and Parma over recent years spans 32 matches, with the Romans holding a commanding advantage. The Eagles have won 20 of those meetings, while the Crusaders have come out on top just 4 times, with 8 draws. Last season Lazio also had the slightly better of it. In the first meeting they edged a tense away win (1-0), a match that was particularly feisty and produced two red cards. In the return fixture at the Olimpico, however, they unexpectedly failed to break down their opponents and had to settle for a draw (1-1).
Head-to-head statistics Lazio - Parma
Lazio impress with their efficiency
Lazio look like a completely different side after a disappointing last season. They have made a brilliant start to the new Serie A campaign, picking up 19 points from seven matches and sitting second in the table. Only Inter are above them, and solely on goal difference. Lazio are also yet to lose, even if they have not always been the better team on the pitch.
In the previous round they produced one of the biggest surprises of the season so far, thrashing Juventus 3-0 away in Turin. Beating Juventus at home is a serious achievement in itself; doing it by that margin is something very few sides manage. Yet, as in some of their earlier matches, the final scoreline was far more convincing than the actual performance. The statistics tell the story: Lazio had just 42% possession and were well behind their opponents on expected goals, 0.51 to 1.21 xG. They were, however, ruthlessly efficient with the few chances they created and solid at the back.
Match Results: Lazio Rome
Parma have yet to bounce back following their managerial change
Parma have had absolutely nothing to cheer about at the start of the new season. The club continue to struggle badly and after seven rounds sit second from bottom in the table with just four points. Even a change in the dugout has failed to produce the expected improvement. If anything, the opposite has happened: under Alberto Gilardino, the Crusaders have played two matches and lost both by the same score of 0-3.
The away defeat to the reigning Italian champions can at least be explained by the difference in class, but the home thrashing by Torino raises far more questions. Parma made a dreadful start to that game and were already two goals down by the 24th minute. That poor opening effectively derailed all of the home side's plans, leaving them to spend most of the match trying to get back into it. In terms of the actual football, though, the Crusaders did not look nearly as hopeless as the final score might suggest. Parma had 25 shots to their opponents' 9, with 8 of those on target compared to just 3 from Torino. Yet despite that clear statistical advantage, the hosts failed to score a single goal.
Match Results: Parma
Latest news
Lazio Rome
❌ Lazio have two confirmed absentees ahead of the match. Alessio Furlanetto and Albert Guðmundsson remain sidelined through injury, while Nicolò Rovella, Adam Marušić, Matteo Cancellieri and Kenneth Taylor are doubtful.
Parma
❌ Parma have four confirmed absentees. Pontus Almqvist, Nesta Elphege, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia and Lautaro Valenti remain sidelined with injuries
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Lazio have been clinical with the chances they create, scoring at least two goals in five matches in a row. Parma have serious defensive problems, conceding around two goals per game on average. In their last two matches they conceded three apiece. We are backing Lazio Team Total - Over 1.5 at 1.65*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
The gap in quality between the two sides is clear, so Lazio at home should dominate, spend long periods in the opposition half and maintain constant pressure around Parma's penalty area. Parma in these kinds of matches tend to sit back and regularly put the ball out of play. We are backing Lazio to win the corners handicap (-1.5) at 1.53*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Lazio are noticeably superior to Parma in terms of individual quality, so the visitors will likely have to work very hard to contain Lazio's attacking players. The pressure of the Olimpico crowd will be an added challenge for the Crusaders. In these conditions, Parma's players may make more mistakes, struggle to keep up with their opponents and resort to tactical fouls. Our pick is Parma to receive more yellow cards at 1.88*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
According to the bookmakers, Lazio are clear favourites for this match, and it is hard to argue with that assessment. The two sides occupy mirror positions in the Serie A table, yet they are in completely different form. The hosts should draw additional confidence from their heavy win over Juventus in the previous round. Our main bet is a Lazio win. Predicted score: 2-0.
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Betting Tips: Lazio Rome - Parma
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