Denmark vs Norway Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 November 2026
π Denmark will host Norway in the sixth and final round of the Nations League group stage. The teamsβ first meeting in September ended in a Norwegian win. They will now meet at Parken Stadium in Copenhagen. Denmark head into the match after an impressive win over Portugal, while Norway beat Wales. The hosts have nine points and sit second in Group A4; the visitors have six points and are third. Both teams still have something to play for in the final round: Denmark can still finish top of the group, while Norway can move up the standings.
π We will update this prediction as new information about the teams becomes available. Check back just before the match so you do not miss any important changes.
π Norway won the first meeting
In September, the teams played out a high-scoring match that Norway won 3-2. Denmark came back from 2-0 down in that game, but conceded a third goal in the 74th minute and failed to score again.
Head-to-head statistics Denmark - Norway
Denmark: after thrashing Portugal
Denmark have taken nine points from five matches and sit second in Group A4. In their most recent match, Brian Riemerβs side unexpectedly thrashed Portugal 4-1 in Braga. The attacking players were particularly impressive: Rasmus HΓΈjlund scored twice, Pierre-Emile HΓΈjbjerg converted a penalty, and Joachim Andersen completed the scoring.
The win was an important demonstration of Denmarkβs capabilities. They were highly effective in front of goal and punished their opponentsβ defensive mistakes. Denmark will now look to extend their successful run at home. A win would also keep them in contention for first place if Portugal drop points in their match.
Match Results: Denmark
Norway: back to winning ways
Norway have taken six points from five matches. After beating Denmark in their opening match, they lost twice to Portugal and were defeated by Wales, but managed to beat the Welsh 3-1 in their most recent game. Antonio Nusa opened the scoring, Andreas Schjelderup doubled the lead, and Erling Haaland converted a late penalty. Norway again showed how dangerous their attack can be when given space.
Crucially, StΓ₯le Solbakkenβs side go into the final round on the back of a win that ended their run of poor results. They now face a tougher test away from home. Norway have already shown in the first meeting that they can beat Denmark, but repeating that result in Copenhagen will not be easy.
Match Results: Norway
Latest news
Denmark
β Joachim Andersen suffered a ligament injury, but Brian Riemer expects him to be available for the match against Norway. The centre-back was substituted in the 80th minute against Portugal, shortly after scoring Denmarkβs fourth goal. After the match, the head coach said Andersen had taken a blow to the area around the ligament, causing stiffness. According to the medical staffβs initial assessment, the injury does not appear serious. Riemer stressed that he expects Andersen to play on Tuesday, although a further examination should provide a clearer picture.
Norway
β Martin Γdegaard played against Wales after being ill overnight. Following Norway's win, StΓ₯le Solbakken said the national team captain had been vomiting throughout the night before the match. Despite feeling unwell, the midfielder played the full 90 minutes. The head coach noted that it had not been easy for him and confirmed that no other players in the squad were ill. There is currently no confirmation that Γdegaard will be unable to play against Denmark.
Predicted Lineups
π Denmarkβs predicted starting XI: Hermansen - Bah, Andersen, Provstgaard, MΓ¦hle - Hjulmand, HΓΈjbjerg - Isaksen, Damsgaard, Daramy - HΓΈjlund.
π Norwayβs predicted starting XI: Selvik - Ryerson, Ajer, Heggem, MΓΈller Wolfe - Γdegaard, Berge, Aasgaard - Bobb, Haaland, Nusa.
π¨ Yellow Cards Prediction
The match has tournament significance for both sides, so a quiet game is unlikely. Denmark will look to control possession and build attacks, while Norway may respond with intense pressing and quick transitions. In these conditions, tactical fouls in midfield become more likely. Consider Total Yellow Cards - Over 2.5. The odds are 1.48*.
β½ Goals Prediction
The first match produced five goals, and both national teams have also been involved in high-scoring games recently. Denmark scored four goals against Portugal, while Norway scored three against Wales. Both teams have strong attacking lines. That makes a bet on both teams scoring worth considering. Prediction: Both Teams to Score - Yes. Odds: 1.47*.
π© Corners Prediction
In Braga, Denmark won 7 corners to Portugal's 6. Norway had four times as many corners as Wales, 8-2. In their first-round meeting, the teams won 12 corners between them: 8 for Denmark and 4 for Norway. Therefore, the main bet of interest is Total Corners - Over 8.5. The odds are 1.62*.
π± Risky Bet
Denmark to Win and Both Teams to Score - Yes - odds of 3.70*. Norway need a win to reach the quarter-finals, so the visitors will be forced to take risks. Denmark, meanwhile, have gained a psychological advantage after their emphatic win over Portugal and may exploit the space in their opponentsβ defence. A match in which both teams score and the hosts win by a single goal looks entirely plausible.
π― Reliable Bet
Total Goals - Over 1.5 - odds of 1.15*. The goalscoring records of both national teams in the current Nations League campaign support this pick. At least three goals have been scored in each of Norway's five matches. At least two goals have been scored in four of Denmark's five matches. Given both teams' attacking potential, this is the most logical bet.
π Player Prop Bet
Rasmus HΓΈjlund to score or provide an assist - odds of 1.75*. The forward has scored five goals in five matches in the current Nations League and is Denmarkβs top scorer in the tournament. He has also registered eight shots on target from 17 attempts. After scoring twice against Portugal, HΓΈjlund remains one of the leading candidates to score or provide an assist.
π If The Match Doesn't Go To Plan
If Norway score first, a live bet on Denmark - Handicap 0 could be considered. The hosts need at least a draw to reach the quarter-finals, so they can be expected to play more actively after conceding.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
β Editor's Prediction
Denmark head into the final round in good spirits after thrashing Portugal. They scored four goals away from home and will now have the backing of the home crowd at Parken. Norway have considerable attacking potential, but their defence is a concern, having conceded in 13 consecutive competitive matches. Given the recent results and the teamsβ head-to-head record, a high-scoring game can be expected. Main prediction: Total Goals - Over 2.5. Correct score prediction: 2-1 to Denmark.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: Denmark - Norway
in 15 of last 17 home games.
in 19 of last 20 Denmark home games.in 7 of last 8 Norway games.
in 16 of last 17 home games.in last 12 games.in last 8 home games (UEFA Nations League).in last 7 games (UEFA Nations League).in last 13 games.in 13 of last 15 home games.in last 9 games.in last 7 games (UEFA Nations League).in last 6 home games (UEFA Nations League).in 9 of last 10 games.in last 5 games (UEFA Nations League).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
