Lithuania vs Liechtenstein Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 16 November 2026
🔉 Lithuania and Liechtenstein meet in a match for second place in the group. A draw, a win or even a defeat by no more than two goals would be enough for Lithuania. Liechtenstein need a win by at least three goals to overtake their opponents. Both sides have maximum motivation in the Nations League, but their objectives differ: the hosts only need to avoid a heavy defeat, while the visitors must stage a comeback in the race for a play-off spot.
Head-to-Head
📊 The teams have met three times in international competition, with Lithuania winning all three matches. They won 2-0 on each occasion.
Head-to-head statistics Lithuania - Liechtenstein
A draw would do, but a home win is the aim
Lithuania go into the final round in second place with four points. Mindaugas Čepas’s side have played three group matches: they beat Liechtenstein away (2:0), drew at home with Azerbaijan (1:1) and lost in Baku (0:1). Lithuania can no longer finish higher than second - Azerbaijan have secured first place - but second place brings a promotion play-off spot for League C, so there is plenty at stake for the hosts.
Lithuania have yet to win at home in this Nations League campaign: their only home match ended in a draw with Azerbaijan. In September, they played one friendly, beating Andorra convincingly (3:0), while the win over Liechtenstein (2:0) came in the Nations League. The standings are straightforward: a draw, a win or even a one-goal defeat will leave Lithuania in second place. A defeat by three goals or more could drop them to third. However, Lithuania will be without their main striker: Armandas Kučys is suspended, limiting the hosts’ attacking options.
Match Results: Lithuania
Goal drought and the need for a miracle in Kaunas
Liechtenstein go into the match in a prolonged slump: they have gone seven matches without a win, while their goalless run has reached seven games - their last goal came in March 2026. In the Nations League, Konrad Fünfstück’s side lost to Lithuania (0:2) and Azerbaijan (0:1), and drew away to Azerbaijan (0:0) - their only point in the group. Third place is already guaranteed, but defeat in Kaunas would confirm a disappointing finish.
The visitors still have something to play for: a win by three goals would allow Liechtenstein to overtake Lithuania and move into second place, which brings a place in the play-offs. To do that, they need not only to end their goalless run but to win by a clear margin. Defensive absences make the task harder - captain Nicolas Hasler and defender Lars Traber will not be available. Fünfstück is counting on a compact defence and set pieces, but that will not be easy against Lithuania, who will look to end the group stage with a home win.
Match Results: Liechtenstein
Latest news
Lithuania
Armandas Kučys will miss the match through suspension - the forward was only available for the friendly against Suriname. Goalkeeper Edvinas Gertmonas and defender Edgaras Utkus remain sidelined through injury. Gratas Sirgėdas and Edgaras Dubickas have returned to the squad after a spell away.
Liechtenstein
Captain Nicolas Hasler will miss the match with a muscle injury. Defender Lars Traber and midfielder Jonas Weissenhofer are also unavailable. Philipp Gassner and Jakob Lorenz are absent due to work commitments, while Ferhat Sagram has left the squad for personal reasons. Defender Manuel Mikus has been called up to replace Hasler.
Predicted Lineups
Lithuania’s predicted starting XI: Voitinovičius - Tutyškinas, Kažukolovas, Armalas - Lasickas, Gineitis, Šluta, Baltrūnas - Dolžnikov, Jankauskas - Dubickas.
Liechtenstein’s predicted starting XI: B. Büchel - Majer, Hofer, Schlegel, Göppel - A. Hasler, Sele, M. Büchel, Zünd - Lo Russo, Luque-Notaro.
⚽️ Goals prediction
At least two goals have been scored in eight of Lithuania’s last nine matches and in 12 of Liechtenstein’s last 14 away matches. Neither team has been particularly solid defensively of late, and their position in the standings forces the visitors to push forward. We’re backing Total Goals - Over 1.5 at 1.23*.
🚩 Corners prediction
The match promises to be intense: Lithuania will press, while Liechtenstein will look for chances on the counter-attack. Both teams make frequent use of the flanks, which leads to set pieces. Total Corners - Over 7.5 is a bet based on the expected intensity of the match.
🟨 Yellow cards prediction
The importance of the match to both sides should bring more challenges and fouls. Liechtenstein will try to end their run and commit more players forward, which will increase the number of fouls. Prediction - Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5.
🚀 Player prop bet
Arturas Dolzhnikov has already scored once in this Nations League campaign. The midfielder is in good form and will be one of the home side's main attacking threats. Prediction - Dolzhnikov to score at odds of 2.69*.
😱 Risky bet
Lithuania have conceded in nine consecutive home games and conceded in the first half in 7 of their previous 8 Nations League home matches. Liechtenstein desperately need goals and may push forward from the opening minutes. A risky bet for the match is Liechtenstein to score in the first half at 7.10*.
🎯 A reliable bet
Liechtenstein have lost 15 of their last 17 away games and have failed to win 12 of their previous 14 matches in all competitions. Lithuania are considerably stronger at home and are motivated to finish the group stage in second place. Lithuania to win at 1.13* is a reliable pick for this match.
👀 If the match doesn't go to plan
Liechtenstein have gone seven matches without a win and have not scored since March, but the visitors are especially motivated to end that run now. The bet against the main scenario is Liechtenstein to Win or Draw at 6.85*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
In the last match, Liechtenstein goalkeeper Benjamin Büchel made 10 saves against Azerbaijan. Repeating that feat so soon will be extremely difficult, especially against a motivated Lithuania side who will look to finish the group stage with a convincing home win. The hosts know a draw would be enough, but a win would guarantee second place and a place in the play-offs regardless of other results. Liechtenstein, meanwhile, have to commit plenty of players forward, which will open up space for Lithuania to counter-attack. The main bet is Lithuania Team Total Goals - Over 2.5. Predicted score: 3:1.
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Betting Tips: Lithuania - Liechtenstein
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