Northern Ireland vs Ukraine Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 14 November 2026

📊 Northern Ireland are a difficult opponent for Ukraine: the Ukrainians have won just one of their last five meetings - a friendly in 2021 (1-0). The Northern Irish won 2-0 at Euro 2016 and thrashed Ukraine 3-0 in the Slovak city of Trnava in October. Ukraine had more possession and took seven corners to Northern Ireland’s one in that match, but only their opponents scored. Defender Ciaron Brown scored twice - his first goals for the national team in his 33rd appearance - while Isaac Price headed in the third.

📋 Northern Ireland’s predicted starting XI: Pierce Charles - Brown, McConville, Atcheson - Devenny, Galbraith, Shea Charles, Hume - Price, Kelly - Donley.

📋 Ukraine’s predicted starting XI: Trubin - Mykhavko, Sarapiy, Zabarnyi, Mykolenko - Nazaryna, Ocheretko - Sudakov, Nazarenko, Krasnopir - Yaremchuk.

At home, Northern Ireland have kept five consecutive clean sheets in the Nations League. The visitors, meanwhile, have struggled to score. Ukraine have not scored more than one goal in any of their last five matches in the competition. They have scored just once in the last three rounds, with Roman Yaremchuk equalising against Hungary. Ukraine’s other goal in this edition was scored by Danylo Sikan in September. Matvii Ponomarenko, who started against Hungary, is out injured. We expect the visitors to leave Belfast empty-handed. Bet - Ukraine to score no goals at 2.40*.

Ukraine have taken fewer than five corners in five consecutive away Nations League matches. In September, they managed just two corners across two away games. Northern Ireland do not give opponents much room to manoeuvre in Belfast: Georgia won four corners there in October, while Hungary won two. We expect Ukraine to fall short of a fifth corner. Bet - Ukraine Team Total Corners - Under 4.5 at 1.58*.

In Northern Ireland's last seven competitive matches, referees showed at least four yellow cards on six occasions. The same was true in half of Ukraine's last eight matches. Northern Ireland's opponents committed 13 or more fouls in 7 of their 8 recent Nations League matches. Ukraine committed 15 fouls and received three yellow cards in their head-to-head meeting in October. A referee has not yet been appointed for the match. The risk lies with the referee: a lenient official could show only three cards. Still, we expect a fourth yellow card. Bet - Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5 at 1.65*.

Isaac Price, who started all four rounds, has already scored against Ukraine - in October's emphatic Nations League win. He was entrusted with the penalty against Georgia, but the goalkeeper saved his shot and the match ended goalless. We expect Price to make amends for that miss in Belfast. Bet - Price to Score.

Northern Ireland have scored more than one goal in just one of their last eight matches. At home in this Nations League campaign, the hosts have not scored at all. Ukraine, meanwhile, have failed to score in either of their two matches against Northern Ireland. The risk is that Northern Ireland scored three times against this very opponent in October. Even so, we expect a low-scoring match: no more than one goal for the hosts and none for the visitors. Bet - Ukraine to Score - No and Northern Ireland Team Total Goals - Under 1.5.

Northern Ireland have taken at least three corners in eight consecutive home matches. Our bet wins if the hosts take at least three. Even in the two goalless draws in Belfast in this competition, they reached that mark: three corners against Hungary and eight against Georgia. The bet is Northern Ireland Team Total Corners - Over 2.5 at 1.20*.

A likely scenario is that Northern Ireland play defensively and win by one goal, while Ukraine fail to score. Everything changes if the visitors score first. Northern Ireland will then have to open up, giving Ukraine space behind the defenders. If that happens, consider both teams to score and three or more goals in live betting. These markets are worth keeping in mind if Ukraine take the lead.

*The odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.

📌 Editor's Pick

There have been more than two goals in just one of Northern Ireland's last ten home matches. In this Nations League campaign, the hosts have not conceded at Windsor Park, but they have not scored either. Ukraine have rarely managed to score: two goals in four rounds. We expect Northern Ireland's third home match of the tournament to feature no more than two goals as well. The bet is Total Goals - Under 2.5. Predicted score: 1:0.