Moldova vs Kazakhstan Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 13 November 2026

📊 The teams have won one match each in their last three meetings. In March 2022, Kazakhstan won 2-1 in Chișinău, but lost 1-0 at home five days later. Their most recent meeting took place on 2 October 2026, when Moldova won 2-1 in Astana. Moldova have therefore avoided defeat in the last two meetings.

The four matches involving Moldova and Kazakhstan in the current Nations League have seen varying numbers of yellow cards, but the upcoming meeting has particular significance in the standings. Both teams still have a chance of finishing second, while the number of yellow cards in matches involving Moldova and Kazakhstan has not exceeded 4.5 per game. A higher total therefore does not look inevitable. We’ll consider Total Yellow Cards - Under 4.5.

In all four group-stage matches, both national teams saw over 1.5 goals scored. Moldova scored three goals and conceded eight, while Kazakhstan scored five and conceded seven. The previous meeting between the sides produced three goals. Given their motivation in the group and both teams’ defensive problems, a bet on Total Goals - Over 1.5 looks justified. The odds are 1.49*.

Moldova's four matches averaged 11.75 corners, while Kazakhstan's averaged 12.25. Every match in this sample had at least nine corners. The hosts should make more use of the flanks and bring Oleg Reabciuk into play, while Kazakhstan will have to look for opportunities to launch quick attacks through Samorodov and Karimov. Given that both teams need points, Total Corners - Over 8.5 is worth considering at odds of 1.48*.

Draw - odds of 2.97*. Kazakhstan are yet to win in the group, but came back from two goals down in the last round. Moldova have also been inconsistent, despite their win in Astana. The two sides are closely matched, and the cost of a mistake is high for both. If the hosts fail to make home advantage count, Kazakhstan are quite capable of taking a point away from home.

Total Goals - Over 0.5 - odds of 1.08.* Kazakhstan have scored in each of their previous four group-stage matches and conceded in every one. Moldova failed to score in their most recent match against Slovakia but conceded four goals, once again showing defensive problems. Both national teams need a win to keep their chances of improving their position in the standings alive. So even if the match starts cautiously, there are enough reasons to expect at least one goal.

Maksim Samorodov to have at least one shot on target - odds of 1.75.* The forward remains one of Kazakhstan’s most dangerous players in the final third. Against the Faroe Islands, he was involved in attacking moves and helped set up Nuraly Alip’s goal. The match against Moldova suggests the visitors will have to look for chances up front more often, giving Samorodov opportunities to finish attacks.

If Kazakhstan score first and then drop back closer to their own goal, Moldova will have to make more use of the flanks and get the ball into the penalty area more often. In that case, Moldova to score in the second half is worth considering in-play. The hosts will be forced to take risks because of their position in the standings, and the need to come from behind should increase their attacking activity after the break.

*The odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.

⭐ Editor's Pick

Moldova go into the match in a better position in the standings and have already beaten Kazakhstan in October. However, the hosts have been inconsistent, and their heavy defeat to Slovakia showed that their defence is vulnerable under significant pressure. Kazakhstan also need a win, so the visitors will not limit themselves to defending. Kazakhstan have scored and conceded in all four rounds, making two or more goals the most logical option. Final bet: Total Goals - Over 1.5. Correct score prediction: 1-1.