Slovenia vs Switzerland Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 13 November 2026
π Switzerland head into the match in Maribor with a perfect record: four wins from four Nations League matches, a goal difference of 11:1 and the chance to secure promotion to League A early with a win or a draw. Slovenia are second with seven points and still have a theoretical chance of finishing first, but they need to beat the leaders to do so. Both sides are highly motivated, but the hostsβ absences could prove decisive.
Head-to-Head
π The teams have met four times: Switzerland have won three matches, and one has ended in a draw. The matches have averaged 2.75 goals per game, with Switzerland scoring twice on average. In the first round, Switzerland won 2-0 at home.
Head-to-head statistics Slovenia - Switzerland
Strong at home, but the squad lets them down
Slovenia are having a solid group stage: seven points after four matches, with their only defeat coming against Switzerland (1-2), and wins over North Macedonia (2-0) and Scotland (2-1). Cesarβs side rely on a compact defence and quick counter-attacks. The Slovenians traditionally play in an organised manner at home, and the move from Ljubljana to Maribor, where the atmosphere is no less fervent, gives them added support.
In attack, Slovenia look to break quickly through Matko and Vipotnik, while Zabukovnikβs and Gnezda Δerinβs discipline is important in midfield. Against Switzerland, the hosts will have to spend more time without the ball, making compactness and the ability to make the most of rare chances especially important. Slovenia showed in the first meeting that they can score against the leaders, but they were unable to hold on to their lead.
Match Results: Slovenia
Without Xhaka, but with Embolo
Switzerland came through the group without a slip-up: four wins, 11 goals scored and just one conceded. Yakin's side won 3-0 three times, and the only goal they conceded came against Slovenia in the first round of matches, though they still won 2-1. Even without Xhaka and Embolo, who missed the October matches, Switzerland scored 11 goals. Yakin entrusted the midfield to Freuler and Jashari, and they delivered.
In midfield, Freuler and Jashari provide balance, while Manzambi, Rieder and Ndoye add creativity and pace further forward. Even in their toughest group match, Yakin's side managed to impose their game: after conceding in the second minute, Switzerland quickly took control and turned the match around before half-time. In Maribor, the visitors remain favourites and can afford to control the game without forcing the issue.
Match Results: Switzerland
Latest news
Slovenia
Unavailable: JanΕΎa and Zec (suspended), Ε eΕ‘ko, Balkovec and ElΕ‘nik (injured). Vipotnik, who started the last match up front, is likely to lead the attack again.
Switzerland
Unavailable: Xhaka (calf), Muheim (muscle injury), Huber (concussion). Vargas is doubtful and will probably join the team later.
Predicted Lineups
Sloveniaβs predicted starting XI: Oblak - KarniΔnik, Brekalo, Bijol, DrkuΕ‘iΔ, UrbanΔiΔ - Matko, Zabukovnik, Gnezda Δerin, Ε turm - Vipotnik.
Switzerlandβs predicted starting XI: Kobel - Athekame, Akanji, Elvedi, Britschgi - Freuler, Jashari - Ndoye, Manzambi, Rieder - Embolo.
β½οΈ Goals prediction
At least three goals were scored in normal time in 7 of Switzerlandβs last 9 away matches in the Nations League. An even higher total was reached in three of those matches. Weβre backing Total Goals - Over 2.5 at 2.10*.
π© Corners prediction
Slovenia have taken at least four corners in 6 of their last 7 home Nations League matches, exceeding an even higher total in five of those games. Prediction - Slovenia Team Total Corners - Over 3.5 at 1.94*.
π¨ Yellow cards prediction
Slovenia have received at least two yellow cards in normal time in 10 of their last 12 home Nations League matches. In four of those matches, they received at least three bookings. Weβre backing Slovenia Team Total Yellow Cards - Over 1.5 at 1.70*.
π Player prop bet
Johan Manzambi has been Switzerlandβs standout player at the World Cup, with three goals and two assists. In the last round of the Nations League, he scored his first goal in the competition for his country, and his scoring run is likely to continue. You can back Manzambi to score at odds of 3.49*.
π± Risky bet
Slovenia scored in the second half in 3 of their 5 home Nations League matches. Switzerland scored after the break in 5 of their last 6 away matches. Both Teams to Score in the Second Half - Yes at 3.96* is a risky bet.
π― Reliable bet
Switzerland are unbeaten in five consecutive away matches and in 15 of their 16 competitive matches. Slovenia have failed to win eight of their last nine matches. Switzerland to Win or Draw at 1.16* is a reliable pick for this match.
π If the match doesn't go to plan
Slovenia have performed well at home in the Nations League, avoiding defeat in seven of their last eight home matches, although their opponents were of a lower standard. Their experience of playing at home and the support of the crowd in Maribor could make a difference. Slovenia to Win at 5.60* is a scenario that goes against the expected course of the match.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
β Editor's Pick
Switzerland are clear favourites. Yakin's side have won all four group matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding just one. Slovenia have lost Ε eΕ‘ko, JanΕΎa and Zec, and their usually solid defence now has to be reshuffled. Embolo's return gives Switzerland more firepower up front, while Xhaka, although ruled out, was not indispensable in October. Switzerland know how to win pragmatically, and even a draw would suit them, but the visitors' quality and form give them reason to aim for more. Switzerland - Handicap -1 is the main pick. Predicted score: 1:3.
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Betting Tips: Slovenia - Switzerland
in 7 of last 8 home games (UEFA Nations League).
in 8 of last 9 games.in 15 of last 16 games.in last 5 away games.
in 6 of last 7 Slovenia home games (UEFA Nations League).in 8 of last 9 Switzerland away games.in 7 of last 8 Switzerland games.in last 15 games (UEFA Nations League).Comparison of Teams Stats
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