Scotland vs North Macedonia Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 13 November 2026
🔉 Scotland still have a chance of competing for promotion to League A, but they need maximum points from their two remaining matches. North Macedonia are bottom of the group: four defeats in four Nations League matches, no goals scored and relegation is almost guaranteed. For the hosts, this is an excellent opportunity to improve their position in the standings and win at home for the first time under Pocognoli.
Head-to-Head
📊 The teams have played just one match against each other. In the first round, Scotland won 2-0 away from home. Scotland had 44% possession but created far more danger: xG of 3.37 to 0.58, shots 25-9, shots on target 10-0 and corners 9-1.
Head-to-head statistics Scotland - North Macedonia
Pocognoli’s new system and problems with finishing
After a disappointing World Cup, Scotland changed direction: for the first time in 22 years, a foreign coach took charge of the national team - Belgian Sébastien Pocognoli. He is introducing a more modern style that combines pressing, possession and intense movement off the ball. Results have been modest so far: four points from four Nations League matches, with their only win coming against North Macedonia (2:0). In his first match, Scotland failed to break down Slovenia (0:0), then suffered a heavy home defeat to Switzerland (0:3). In their most recent match, they lost to Slovenia (1:2) despite leading 1:0 at half-time. To keep their promotion hopes alive, they need at least four points from their remaining two matches.
Scotland’s main problem is their efficiency in attack. They failed to score in their first two matches, extending a goal drought that had begun at the World Cup to more than 420 minutes. Scotland scored twice against North Macedonia, but needed seven goalscoring chances to do so. They registered 3.45 xG but converted it into just two goals. Across the two matches against Slovenia, they accumulated 3.66 xG, but that produced exactly one goal. Defensively, though, Scotland have looked solid under Pocognoli: two clean sheets in which their opponents managed just one shot on target.
Match Results: Scotland
A crisis of goals and points
North Macedonia are in a deep crisis. In the Nations League, they have lost all four matches by an aggregate score of 0-10: to Switzerland (0-3 and 0-3), Scotland (0-2) and Slovenia (0-2). They are winless in 12 matches, and their last victory came in September 2025, against Liechtenstein (5-0) in World Cup qualifying. Under Goce Sedloski, who took charge of the national team in January, they have not scored once. In 2026, they have scored no goals in eight matches, and their goalless run has exceeded 780 minutes.
The problem is not just finishing. North Macedonia are so toothless that they have managed just one shot on target in four Nations League rounds. Their average xG is 0.36. At the other end, the visitors concede significantly more chances, so opponents regularly score two or three goals against them. They have Atalanta’s Elif Elmas in the squad, but he cannot carry the team on his own.
Match Results: North Macedonia
Latest news
Scotland
Scott McTominay, Kieran Tierney and Che Adams have returned to the squad. Unavailable: McKenna, Welsh, McLean, Souttar and Shankland (all injured). Christie and Binks are doubtful.
North Macedonia
Unavailable: Stojchevski, Ramadani and Trapanovski (all injured). Forward Bojan Miovski has not been called up to the national team. Churlinov, Fetai, Serafimov and Despotovski have returned.
Predicted Lineups
Scotland’s predicted starting XI: Gunn - Porteous, Hendry, Tierney - Hickey, Gilmour, Ferguson, Robertson - McGinn, McTominay - Adams.
North Macedonia’s predicted starting XI: Dimitrievski - Despotovski, Serafimov, Musliu, Alioski - Gashtarov, Atanasov - Mitrovski, Bardhi, Elmas - Rastoder.
⚽️ Goals prediction
North Macedonia have conceded at least two goals in every match of the current Nations League campaign, and conceded three in their most recent away match. Scotland have yet to score that many under Pocognoli, but came very close in their first meeting with the Balkan side. Prediction - Scotland Team Total Goals - Over 2.5 at 2.10*.
🚩 Corners prediction
Scotland have not taken more than six corners in normal time in their last six home Nations League matches. In five of those matches, they took no more than three. We pick Scotland Team Total Corners - Under 6.5 at 2.30*.
🟨 Yellow cards prediction
At least four yellow cards were shown in normal time in 7 of Scotland’s last 8 home Nations League matches. Five matches in that run featured at least five bookings. We’re backing Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5 at 1.53*.
🚀 Bet on player props
John McGinn scores regularly for Scotland: he scored in the previous Nations League campaign, at the World Cup and in the current edition of the tournament. In his last match for Manchester United, he scored a goal and provided an assist. You can back McGinn to score at odds of 2.72*.
😱 Risky bet
Scotland have conceded in the second half in six consecutive home matches. If the hosts are 2-3 goals ahead, Pocognoli may rotate the squad and rest key players ahead of the trip to Switzerland. In that scenario, the visitors will have more space and chances than in the first half. North Macedonia have not scored for a long time, but they may take advantage of the reduced pressure late on. Visitors to score in the second half at 3.63* is a risky bet.
🎯 A reliable bet
At least two goals have been scored in 16 of North Macedonia’s last 18 away matches, including eight consecutive away matches in the Nations League. Total Goals - Over 1.5 at 1.23* is a reliable option for this match.
👀 If the match doesn't go to plan
North Macedonia have yet to pick up a point or score a goal in this Nations League campaign, but that run could end. Scotland have already dropped points under Pocognoli in matches where they looked the better side: they led Slovenia at half-time but lost. If the hosts fail to take their chances again, the visitors could snatch a draw. North Macedonia to Win or Draw at 4.60* is a pick against the expected run of play.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editor’s Pick
Scotland cannot afford a mistake: only a win will keep their hopes of a top-two finish and promotion alive. North Macedonia are the ideal opponents for Scotland to finally win at home under Pocognoli. The visitors are not scoring and are creating almost no chances, while their defence regularly concedes two or three goals. Scotland will dominate and create enough chances to score more than two goals. Scotland - Handicap -2 is the main pick. Predicted score: 4:1.
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Betting Tips: Scotland - North Macedonia
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