Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 13 November 2026
🔉 This is Azerbaijan's final group match, and a win would make them tournament winners and allow them to start next season in League C. Liechtenstein can no longer finish first, but will try to put up a fight at home. The visitors have more at stake, but they were unable to break down the hosts' defence in their first meeting.
Head-to-Head
📊 The first meeting in Baku ended in a goalless draw, but Azerbaijan had a huge advantage in play: xG of 2.33 to 0.19, shots 25-4, shots on target 5-0 and corners 6-0. Liechtenstein held on thanks to compact defending and goalkeeper Büchel, but repeating that result will be more difficult.
Head-to-head statistics Liechtenstein - Azerbaijan
Goalless run and squad absences
In the current Nations League campaign, the hosts have played two matches: they lost at home to Lithuania (0:2) and earned a goalless draw away to Azerbaijan in Baku (0:0). In friendlies, Konrad Fünfstück’s side lost to Malta (0:2) and Gibraltar (0:2). Their main problem is in attack: Liechtenstein have failed to score in six consecutive matches. At home, they have conceded in 19 of their last 20 games, making a clean sheet almost impossible.
Fünfstück has set about bringing younger players into the squad, but has lost key players at a crucial moment. Captain Nicolas Hasler suffered an injury while playing for Vaduz and will not be available for the national team. His absence weakens an already limited defence. In attack, Liechtenstein still rely on counter-attacks and set pieces, but without Hasler and several other players, their chances of scoring are even slimmer.
Match Results: Liechtenstein
Unbeaten, but struggling to finish chances
Azerbaijan lead the group with five points after three rounds: a 1-1 draw with Lithuania, a goalless draw with Liechtenstein (0-0) and a 1-0 win over Lithuania. Aykhan Abbasov’s side are still unbeaten, but have scored just two goals. In their first match against Liechtenstein, Azerbaijan had 75% possession and took 25 shots but failed to score. Against Lithuania, Azerbaijan showed they can get a result without dominating possession: 38% possession, 13 shots, seven on target, and a goal from Khaybullayev after a pass from Bayramov.
Twenty-seven players have been named in the November squad. Captain Emin Mahmudov is playing his final matches for the national team - he will retire after the friendly against Andorra. Mahir Emreli of Raków and Musa Gurbanli of Qarabağ are available in attack. There is one absence: 18-year-old Lorenzo Mezzotero, who has already made an appearance for Sampdoria, is injured. Otherwise, Abbasov can count on a settled squad that will surely improve after the break thanks to their motivation and fresh substitutes.
Match Results: Azerbaijan
Latest news
Liechtenstein
Unavailable: captain Nicolas Hasler, Jonas Weissenhofer, Kenny Kindle, Dennis Salanović and Simon Lüchinger (all injured), and Lars Traber and Philipp Gassner (personal reasons). Manuel Mikus has been called up in place of Hasler.
Azerbaijan
Unavailable: Lorenzo Mezzotero (injury). The other key players are available.
Predicted Lineups
Liechtenstein’s predicted starting XI: Büchel - Beck, Hofer, Malin, Schlegel, Göppel - Sele, Büchel, A. Hasler - Luque-Notaro, Lo Russo.
Azerbaijan’s predicted starting XI: Balayev - Dashdamirov, Huseynov, R. Mammadov - Mutallimov, Khaybullayev, Isayev, Abbasov - Bayramov, Emreli, O. Mammadov.
⚽️ Goals prediction
Liechtenstein have conceded after the break in 5 of their last 6 home games. Azerbaijan may improve in the second half thanks to their motivation and substitutions, when the hosts tire and lose concentration. We pick Azerbaijan to score in the second half at 1.41*.
🚩 Corner kicks prediction
There were no more than eight corners in six of Liechtenstein's last seven home matches in the Nations League. The hosts rarely force attacks down the flanks, while Azerbaijan play pragmatically away from home and do not seek to win a large number of set pieces. We back Total Corners - Under 8.5 at 2.09*.
🟨 Yellow cards prediction
Estonian referee Kristo Tohver has officiated four international matches this season, averaging 4.75 yellow cards and 23 fouls per game. His strict refereeing style and the importance of the match for the visitors point to a high number of bookings. Five cards were shown in the first head-to-head meeting. Total Yellow Cards - Over 4.5 at 1.69* is a bet supported by the referee’s statistics and the intensity of the contest.
🚀 Player prop bet
Mahir Emreli is in good form: he scored for Raków in both of their last two Polish league matches in November. The Azerbaijan forward can make the most of rare chances, especially if the visitors push forward more often after the break. Emreli to score is priced at 2.15*.
😱 Risky bet
Liechtenstein have failed to score in six matches, but Azerbaijan have conceded before half-time in seven consecutive away games. If the hosts can pull off one quick attacking move, they may end their run. Liechtenstein to Score in the First Half at 5.20* is a risky bet.
🎯 Reliable bet
Liechtenstein have conceded at home in 19 of their last 20 matches. In the first head-to-head meeting, Azerbaijan had 25 shots and recorded an xG of 2.33, but failed to score. The visitors now have more motivation, while the hosts’ defence is weakened. Azerbaijan to score at 1.08* is a reliable option for this match.
👀 If the match doesn't go to plan
Azerbaijan are favourites, but they have failed to win seven of their last eight away matches in the Nations League. The hosts know how to shut up shop and have already shown that in Baku. Liechtenstein to Win or Draw at 3.90* goes against the expected outcome, but is not without logic.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Azerbaijan go into the decisive match with a clear incentive: a win would see them top the group and earn promotion to League C. Liechtenstein have lost captain Hasler and several regular starters, while their goalless run has reached six matches. In the first meeting, the visitors could not break down the hosts' defence, but they now have more space because of their opponents' squad problems. Azerbaijan know how to win pragmatically, and their attack can capitalise on Liechtenstein's fatigue in the second half. Total Goals - Over 2.5 is the main pick. Predicted score: 1:2.
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Betting Tips: Liechtenstein - Azerbaijan
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