Serbia vs Germany Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 13 November 2026
π’ In the fifth round of League A of the UEFA Nations League, two national teams that have so far fallen well short of expectations will meet. Serbia have struggled badly in the group stage, losing four matches in a row. Germany cannot boast much better results either: despite being one of the group favourites, they sit only third in the table and risk missing out on the play-offs. The upcoming match at the Rajko MitiΔ Stadium is therefore particularly important for both teams.
π This prediction is updated on match day. Keep an eye on the Latest News section.
Germany won the last meeting
π Serbia and Germany have met only twice in recent years, with their head-to-head record currently level: each side has won once. However, in the first round of the current Nations League campaign, Germany beat Serbia convincingly (2:0), showing a clear advantage in play. Germany had an incredible 32 shots to Serbiaβs just 1, barely allowing the visitors into their half of the pitch.
Head-to-head statistics Serbia - Germany

Serbia struggle in the Nations League
In the previous Nations League campaign, Serbia only just managed to stay in League A, but their chances of repeating that success are now rapidly fading. They have failed to pick up a single point in four matches and unsurprisingly sit bottom of the group. A top-two finish is already out of reach, while reaching the play-offs would require them to make up a five-point deficit. With only two matches left in the group stage, Serbia must beat Germany: any other result would effectively end their hopes of avoiding direct relegation.
Serbia were again left without a point in the previous round, losing 2-1 away to the Netherlands. As in their three preceding matches, the margin of defeat was narrow, but the scoreline did not entirely reflect what happened on the pitch. The Dutch were clearly superior, threatened the visitorsβ goal far more often and controlled the game. Serbia managed to put up a fight and even scored, but could do no more.
Match Results: Serbia

Germany struggle to find form
Five points from four rounds are clearly not the result Germany fans had hoped for before the Nations League began. Initially considered among the contenders for the trophy, Germany are currently only third and risk ending up in the play-offs to retain their place in League A. The situation is not critical yet, though: they are just three points behind the top two, so a strong showing in this round of fixtures could radically change their position. To do that, however, they need not only to pick up points but also to improve their performances considerably.
It is particularly concerning that Germany's only win came against Serbia, the group's main outsiders. They have dropped points in every other match, even when they were clearly the better side. Their previous match against Greece (0:0) was a case in point: Germany controlled proceedings, dictated the play and had 21 shots to the hosts' 5. Yet they still could not break down Greece's organised defence. Their problems converting chances are becoming increasingly apparent: Germany have scored just three goals in four rounds.
Match Results: Germany
Latest news
Serbia
β DuΕ‘an VlahoviΔ is absent from the national team for personal reasons, while Strahinja PavloviΔ will miss the match due to a kidney injury. Filip KostiΔ is also unavailable through injury. Additionally, SaΕ‘a LukiΔ and Nemanja MaksimoviΔ are suspended for the match against Germany.
Germany
β Jamal Musiala, Serge Gnabry, Assan OuΓ©draogo and Angelo Stiller were left out of the November squad due to injuries. Waldemar Anton was also forced to withdraw after the squad was announced.
Predicted Lineups
π Predicted starting XI for Serbia: V. MilinkoviΔ-SaviΔ - NedeljkoviΔ, Gudelj, BabiΔ, ErakoviΔ, SukaΔev - SamardΕΎiΔ, S. MilinkoviΔ-SaviΔ, Ε½ivkoviΔ - CvetkoviΔ, MitroviΔ.
π Predicted starting XI for Germany: Ter Stegen - Treu, Tah, Schlotterbeck, Brown - Nmecha, Kimmich - El Mala, Wirtz, Karl - Havertz.
Total Goals Prediction
A goal fest is unlikely in the upcoming match. Serbia have long been known for low-scoring football: fewer than four goals have been scored in each of their last 12 Nations League matches. Germany have not shone in attack either, and the two sides have scored just six goals between them across four rounds. Given those figures, the most logical bet is Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.85*.
Corners Prediction
Serbia are rarely involved in Nations League matches with a high number of corners. There have been fewer than 11 corners in 8 of the national team's last 9 matches in the competition. Given both sides' problems with organising attacks, you can back Total Corners - Under 10.5 at odds of 1.49*.
Yellow Cards Prediction
Germany will almost certainly have more possession and dictate the terms, forcing Serbia to defend for long periods and stop dangerous attacks with fouls. In their first meeting, Germany drew three yellow cards from Serbia, while receiving none themselves. Given the difference in playing level and the expected pattern of the match, a similar scenario could unfold again. Our bet is Serbia to receive more yellow cards than Germany at odds of 1.55*.
Player Prop Bet
Kai Havertz has been performing well up front for Arsenal, but he has yet to show what he can do in the current Nations League campaign. The German was injured in the first half of the opening match against the Netherlands and missed all of the national team's subsequent matches. Now the forward needs to make up for lost time, especially as Serbia's defence is far from flawless. Our pick is Kai Havertz to score at odds of 1.80*.
High-Risk Bet
Germany have scored two of their three goals in the current Nations League campaign before half-time. Moreover, their attacking activity often drops off after the break for some reason. So those willing to take a risk can bet on Germany not to score in the second half at odds of 3.50*.
Safer Bet
Germany rarely taste defeat away from home: they have avoided defeat in 15 of their last 16 competitive away matches. Despite their unconvincing performances in the current Nations League campaign, Germany have played reliably and pragmatically, while Serbia, with no points and in a difficult psychological state, are unlikely to end that run. For those who prefer safer options, a bet on Germany to Win or Draw at odds of 1.09* is worth considering.
If the Match Takes a Different Turn
Although the main scenario points to a low-scoring game, the opposite outcome cannot be ruled out. If Germany manage to score in the opening minutes, Serbia will have to abandon their cautious approach and commit more players forward. This will give the visitors more space for quick attacks, while the hosts could also capitalise on mistakes by the German defence. Our alternative bet is therefore Total Goals - Over 3.5 at odds of 2.10*.
*The odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
β Editorβs Prediction
Bookmakers consider Germany the clear favourites for the upcoming match, which is understandable given Serbiaβs poor results in this Nations League campaign. However, the visitors should not expect an easy game. Germany themselves have been far from their best in their autumn matches, with their finishing particularly disappointing. What is more, Germany have scored fewer than three goals in nine consecutive competitive away matches. Therefore, our main bet is Germany Team Total Goals - Under 2.5. Predicted score: 0:2.