Bahia Ba vs Fluminense Prediction 5 February 2026
🔊 In the second round, we're in for an exhilarating clash between Bahia and Fluminense, two teams currently in excellent form. Bahia have been impressive on their home turf, winning all seven of their games since the start of the year. On the flip side, Fluminense are riding a four-match winning streak. This match promises to be an attacking spectacle, as both teams consistently score more than one goal per game. It's crucial to highlight the squads' conditions: both clubs head into this encounter without significant losses and are prepared to field their strongest lineups.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 07 December 2025 and ended with a 2-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that match (Fluminense were the home side):
- possession percentage: 53% vs 47%;
- corners: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 22;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Bahia and Fluminense:
- 29 matches played;
- home wins - 8, away wins - 13, draws - 8;
- goals scored - 29 for Bahia, 38 for Fluminense;
- average goals in the first half - 1.07, in the second half - 1.24;
- average total goals per match - 2.31.
Head-to-head statistics Bahia Ba - Fluminense
Bahia Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Baiano League, with Bahia hosting Porto PE. The match ended 3-1.
Here are the match statistics (Bahia vs Porto PE):
- possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corners: 9 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 13 vs 1.
🔵 Bahia have kicked off the season in formidable fashion, securing seven consecutive victories. Six of these wins came in the Baiano League, where Rogério Ceni's team comfortably leads with a nine-point cushion over Vitória. In the Serie A opener, the Tricolor traveled to São Paulo to claim their first points against Corinthians (2-1) in a come-from-behind manner. After conceding an early goal, Jean Lucas and Willian José turned the tide, sealing the victory before halftime. Bahia's winning streak at home now extends to six matches. They are eager to avenge last season's final round defeat against Fluminense in Rio de Janeiro (0-2).
Match Results: Bahia
Fluminense Team Overview
The visitors last took to the pitch on in the Carioca League, facing off against Botafogo at their home ground. Fluminense emerged victorious with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here’s how the match statistics shaped up (Fluminense vs Botafogo):
- possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
- fouls: 16 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 7 vs 0.
🔴 The "Tricolors of Rio" have played five matches in the 2026 Carioca League, sitting at the top of Group A with four wins and one loss. In the opening round of Serie A, Luis Zubeldia's team overcame Gremio at the Maracanã with a 2-1 victory. Nonato and Luciano Acosta secured the first three points for Fluminense in the league. Heading into their away fixture in Salvador, the Rio club boasts a four-match winning streak. Bahia are direct rivals with Fluminense for a top-four finish, making the clash at Fonte Nova highly competitive. Last season, Fluminense visited here twice: during the 19th round of Serie A, they played out an exciting 3-3 draw, and in the quarterfinals of the Copa do Brasil, Fluminense lost 0-1 but bounced back at home with a 2-0 win to advance to the semifinals.
Match Results: Fluminense
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head Matches:
- Total encounters - 29;
- First-half wins for the home team - 6; for the away team - 3; draws - 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.07;
- Today's home side averages 0.48 goals, while the visitors average 0.59.
Last 10 Matches (overall):
- Wins: 7 vs 3;
- Losses: 0 vs 1;
- Draws: 3 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.9 (scored - 1.5, conceded - 0.4) vs 0.6 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.2).
- Bahia have scored in the first half in 6 of their last 7 matches.
- Bahia have netted in the first half at home in 5 consecutive matches.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 29;
- Home wins - 8, Away wins - 13, Draws - 8.
Statistics: Bahia vs Fluminense
- Matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
- Wins: 1 vs 1;
- Win percentage: 100% vs 100%;
- Losses: 0 vs 0;
- Draws: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 8 vs 7;
- Losses: 1 vs 3;
- Draws: 1 vs 0.
- Fluminense have covered the +1.5 spread in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head away matches against this opponent.
- Fluminense have covered the +1.5 spread in 15 consecutive matches.
- Fluminense have covered the +1.5 spread in 8 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Fluminense have covered the +1.5 spread in 7 consecutive away matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average goals scored by home team - 1, away team - 1.31;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.31;
- Both teams scored: overall - 12 times; at home team's ground - 7 times.
- Fluminense have scored in 10 of their last 11 matches.
Corner Kicks Prediction
Bahia: Statistics
- Season: average total in tournament - 6; at home - 0;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 6.6; at home - 9.2.
Fluminense: Statistics
- Season: average total in tournament - 3, away - 0;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4; away - 4.2.
- Bahia have taken over 5.5 corners at home in 7 consecutive matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 29;
- Both teams scored overall - 12 times;
- At home team's ground - 7 times.
Statistics: Bahia vs Fluminense
- Tournament matches played: 1 vs 1;
- Matches where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 1;
- BTTS for Bahia at home - 0 (0%);
- BTTS for Fluminense away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 Matches:
- BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS for Bahia at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS for Fluminense away - 3 (60%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Based on the analysis of both teams' form, we can anticipate a high-scoring game. Considering that Bahia frequently secures home victories and boasts impressive scoring stats (netting over 1.5 goals at "Fonte Nova" in five consecutive matches), betting on over 2.5 goals seems a logical choice for this encounter. Both sides feature talented attacking players, as evidenced by last year's 3-3 draw. Additionally, this total has been achieved in 6 of the last 7 matches for the club from Salvador.
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Betting Tips: Bahia - Fluminense
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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