Fluminense vs Bahia Ba Prediction
🔊 The upcoming clash between Fluminense and Bahia promises to be a fierce battle on the pitch, as both clubs are vying for direct qualification to the Copa Libertadores. Both teams have shown solid form this season, currently sitting in 5th and 6th place, respectively. The hosts appear slightly more confident at home, while Bahia consistently finds the back of the net in almost every match, adding an extra layer of intrigue. The focus is likely to be on attacking play and ball control from both sides.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 10 September 2025 and ended with a 2-0 victory. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Fluminense were the home side):
- possession: 61% vs 39%;
- corners: 2 vs 3;
- fouls: 16 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
- shots on target: 5 vs 1.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Fluminense and Bahia:
- 28 matches played;
- home victories - 12, away wins - 8, draws - 8;
- goals scored - 36 for Fluminense, 29 for Bahia;
- average goals in the first half - 1.11, second half - 1.21;
- average total goals per match - 2.32.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Fluminense Team Overview
The last official match took place on during the 38th round of Serie A, with Grêmio hosting Fluminense. The match concluded with a scoreline of 1-2.
Here are the match statistics (Fluminense vs Grêmio):
- possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corners: 0 vs 10;
- fouls: 10 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 7.
🔴 Fluminense are in impressive form, boasting four wins and two draws in their last six matches. Their strength lies in a solid defense, conceding just 0.6 goals on average over the past ten games. Fluminense also excel at home, with their most recent encounter against Bahia ending in favor of the "Tricolor Carioca" (2-0). The success under Luis Zubeldía is no fluke, as they often dominate opponents through tactical flexibility and a swift transition from defense to attack. Currently sitting in fifth place, their position is not yet secure. Only a victory will guarantee them direct qualification for the Copa Libertadores, as they have 61 points, while both Bahia and Botafogo have 60.
Match Results: Fluminense
Bahia Team Overview
The last official match the current visitors played was on during the 38th round of Serie A, with Bahia hosting Sport Recife. The match concluded with a 2-0 victory.
The game statistics were as follows (Bahia vs Sport Recife):
- possession percentage: 62% vs 38%;
- corners: 6 vs 2;
- fouls: 11 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 13 vs 3.
🔵 Bahia are renowned for their aggressive attacking style and consistently find the back of the net in all competitions, showcasing their scoring prowess (averaging more than one goal per game this season). Rogério Ceni's squad head into this match on a three-game unbeaten streak, having dispatched Sport Recife 2-0 in their last outing. The Tricolor continue to deliver quality football, emphasizing ball possession and swift counterattacks. However, their defense remains a vulnerability, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match. A victory at the Maracanã is crucial for Bahia to secure a direct spot in the Copa Libertadores.
Match Results: Bahia
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 28;
- First-half wins for the home team - 5; for the away team - 1; draws - 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.11;
- Today's home team averages 0.61 goals, while the visitors average 0.5.
First-half Statistics: Fluminense (home) vs Bahia (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- Wins: 10 (55.56%) vs 3 (16.67%);
- Losses: 2 (11.11%) vs 8 (44.44%);
- Draws: 6 (33.33%) vs 7 (38.89%);
- Average goals scored: 1.11 vs 1.28;
- Average goals conceded: 0.28 vs 0.83.
Last 10 Matches (overall):
- Wins: 5 vs 3;
- Losses: 2 vs 4;
- Draws: 3 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.2) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.7).
- Bahia have conceded in the first half in 9 of their last 10 away matches (Serie A).
- Bahia have conceded in the first half in 7 of their last 8 away matches.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 28;
- Home wins - 12, Away wins - 8, Draws - 8.
Statistics: Fluminense vs Bahia
- Matches played in the tournament: 37 vs 37;
- Wins: 18 vs 17;
- Win percentage: 49% vs 46%;
- Losses: 12 vs 11;
- Draws: 7 vs 9.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 6 vs 5;
- Losses: 2 vs 3;
- Draws: 2 vs 2.
- Bahia have covered a +1.5 spread in 7 of the last 8 meetings between these teams.
- Bahia have covered a +1.5 spread in 5 consecutive matches (Serie A).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's home team averages - 1.29 goals, away team - 1.04 goals;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.32;
- Both teams scored: overall - 12 times; at the home team's ground - 4 times.
Statistics: Fluminense vs Bahia
- Average total in the tournament: 2.35 vs 2.54;
- Average goals scored: 1.3 vs 1.35;
- Average total in the first half: 0.54 vs 0.57;
- Average total in the second half: 0.76 vs 0.78;
- Fluminense's average total at home in the tournament - 1.61;
- Bahia's average total away in the tournament - 0.94;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 2.2) vs 1.5 (away - 0.75).
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in Bahia's last 12 away matches consecutively.
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in Bahia's last 10 away matches (Serie A).
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in 7 of Bahia's last 8 matches (Serie A).
Corners Prediction
Fluminense: Statistics
- Season: Average total in the tournament - 4.41; at home - 5.39;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 4.1; at home - 5.
Bahia: Statistics
- Season: Average total in the tournament - 4.76, away - 4.22;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 6.5; away - 4.25.
- Fluminense have taken fewer than 6.5 corners at home in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings.
- Fluminense have taken fewer than 6.5 corners at home in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings (Serie A).
- Fluminense have taken fewer than 6.5 corners at home in 14 of their last 16 matches.
- Fluminense have taken fewer than 6.5 corners in their last 7 matches (Serie A).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 28;
- Both teams scored overall - 12 times;
- At the home team's ground - 4 times.
Statistics: Fluminense vs Bahia
- Total matches played in the tournament: 37 vs 37;
- Total matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): Fluminense - 15, Bahia - 19;
- Fluminense's BTTS at home - 7 (39%);
- Bahia's BTTS away - 10 (56%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: Fluminense - 2, Bahia - 4;
- Fluminense's BTTS at home - 1 (20%);
- Bahia's BTTS away - 2 (50%).
Exact Score Prediction
Most Frequent Results (Current Season):
- The most common scoreline in the tournament: 1-0 (52/370, 14.1%);
- Fluminense most frequently finishes at home with a score of: 1-0 (6/18, 33.3%);
- Bahia most frequently plays away with a score of: 1-1 (3/18, 16.7%).
The algorithm predicts the top-3 outcomes based on statistics and probability distribution:
1-0 - 12.74% (Odds: 6.5)
1-1 - 11.35% (Odds: 7)
2-0 - 10.47% (Odds: 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams, we anticipate a fiercely contested match with plenty of chances at both ends. Taking into account the home statistics of the "Tricolor Carioca" and despite Bahia's traditionally strong away performance, the most likely scenario is a Fluminense victory, as they have won their last 6 head-to-head matches against Bahia at the Maracanã.
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Betting Tips: Fluminense - Bahia
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