Fluminense vs Bahia Ba Prediction
🔊 In the Copa do Brasil, Fluminense will host Bahia at the Maracanã for the second leg of their quarterfinal clash. The visitors secured a narrow 1-0 victory in the first leg, giving Bahia a slight edge heading into this decisive encounter. Under the guidance of Rogério Ceni, Bahia have been performing confidently both in the Cup and in Serie A, where they currently sit in fourth place. Fluminense, on the other hand, are ninth in the league and enter this match in less than ideal form, having failed to win in their last three outings. The head-to-head record between these teams is quite balanced: out of 27 matches, Fluminense have won 11, Bahia have claimed victory in 8, and 8 have ended in draws. The return leg promises to be intense, as both sides are eager to advance to the semifinals.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 28 August 2025 and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Bahia were the hosts):
- possession percentage: 50% vs 50%;
- corners: 7 vs 8;
- fouls: 9 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Fluminense and Bahia:
- 27 matches played;
- home wins - 11, away wins - 8, draws - 8;
- goals scored - 34 for Fluminense, 29 for Bahia;
- average goals in the first half - 1.15, in the second half - 1.19;
- average total goals per match - 2.33.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Fluminense Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on as part of the Serie A tournament, with Santos hosting Fluminense. The game concluded in a goalless draw, 0-0.
Here are the match stats (Fluminense vs. Santos):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corners: 1 vs 6;
- fouls: 19 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 0 vs 2.
🟢 Fluminense head into the second leg against Bahia after a three-match winless streak. In the first leg of the Copa do Brasil quarterfinals on August 29, they fell to Bahia 1-0. In the league on August 31, Fluminense were held to a 0-0 draw by Santos, and before that, on August 23, they suffered a 4-2 defeat to Bragantino. This string of results means they've gone three matches without a victory, adding pressure ahead of the decisive showdown with Bahia at the Maracanã.
Match Results: Fluminense

Bahia Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Copa do Nordeste, where Bahia hosted Confiança. The match ended in a resounding 5-0 victory.
Here are the match statistics (Bahia vs Confiança):
- possession: 75% vs 25%;
- corner kicks: 12 vs 1;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 1.
🔵 Bahia head into the second leg against Fluminense in high spirits following their confident 1-0 victory in the first leg of the Copa do Brasil quarterfinals on August 29. However, in a surprising turn of events in the league on September 1, Bahia suffered a heavy 5-1 defeat to Mirassol, dealing a significant blow to the team and their supporters. In their next two matches, Bahia managed to restore fan confidence by securing a commanding win in the Copa do Nordeste final. In the two-legged clash against Serie C side Confiança, the team showcased impressive scoring prowess, winning with an aggregate score of 9-1, underscoring their ability to dominate on home turf.
Match Results: Bahia
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 27;
- Home victories - 11, Away wins - 8, Draws - 8.
- Bahia have covered a +1.5 handicap in 7 consecutive head-to-head matches against this team.
- Bahia have covered a +1.5 handicap in 11 of their last 12 matches.
- Bahia have covered a +1.5 handicap in 5 consecutive matches (Brazil Cup).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's home team averages - 1.26 goals, away team - 1.07;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.33;
- Both teams scored: overall - 12 times; at the home team's ground - 4 times.
Statistics: Fluminense vs Bahia
- Tournament average total: 3.29 vs 2.2;
- Average goals scored: 2.57 vs 1.8;
- Average total in the first half: 1.29 vs 1.2;
- Average total in the second half: 1.29 vs 0.6;
- Fluminense: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Bahia: average total away in the tournament - 0.5;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 1.5) vs 1.9 (away - 1.4).
- Total under 2.5 goals has occurred in 8 of the last 9 head-to-head matches at the home ground.
Corners Prediction
Fluminense: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 7.43; at home - 8;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.1; at home - 3.75.
Bahia: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 7.2, away - 8.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.9; away - 4.8.
- Bahia have earned over 2.5 corners away in 7 consecutive head-to-head matches.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.34 (1.67 for the home side and 1.67 for the away side);
- Average yellow cards at the home ground - 3.09 (1.45 for the home side and 1.64 for the away side).
Fluminense: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 1.57; at home - 2.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.1; at home - 1.75.
Bahia: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 1.6, away - 2;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.8; away - 1.6.
- Total under 5.5 yellow cards has occurred in 12 of Bahia's last 13 matches.
- Total under 5.5 yellow cards has occurred in 9 of Bahia's last 10 away matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 27;
- Both teams scored overall - 12 times;
- At the home team's ground - 4 times.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The head-to-head history between Fluminense and Bahia at the Maracanã reveals a clear trend towards low-scoring encounters. In eight of their last nine matches at this venue, the total goals were under 2.5. Given Fluminense's cautious play in their current form and the crucial nature of the result for Bahia, a tight and tense match is anticipated. Our prediction: total goals under 2.5.
