Vitoria vs Bahia Ba Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 23 August 2026
🔊 Vitória have been inconsistent over recent weeks, while Bahia are unbeaten in their last five matches - though all five ended in draws, so it is stability without any upward momentum. Neither side has much at stake in the table, with no real push for key positions or a relegation battle to worry about. The main contrast between the two is that Vitória have been less reliable defensively and have conceded more goals over the course of the season.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 11 March 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Bahia):
- ball possession percentage: 63% vs 37%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 16 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 2.
📊 Vitória and Bahia have met 51 times in official matches. Vitória have won 13, Bahia 18, with 20 draws. The hosts have scored 54 goals, the visitors 63, giving an average of 2.29 goals per game.
Head-to-head statistics Vitoria - Bahia Ba
Vitoria Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie A tournament (home team - Vitoria, away team - Botafogo FR). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here's the game statistics (Vitoria vs Botafogo FR):
- ball possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 4;
- fouls: 19 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Vitória have spent the season as a mid-table side with no real stake in the standings at this stage. Their last five matches have been inconsistent - two wins and three defeats. Over their last ten games, they have five wins and four losses, with an average of exactly one goal scored per match. Defensively, they have been conceding around 1.2-1.4 goals per game, which reflects a lack of reliability at the back.
Home advantage has not been a significant factor for them: they do not score freely and tend to struggle in attack against opponents of similar quality. The absence of any table pressure means they can afford to play without taking risks, and their modest scoring numbers reflect that cautious tendency.
Match Results: Vitoria
Bahia Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie A tournament (home team - Chapecoense, away - Bahia). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:3.
Here are the match stats (Bahia vs Chapecoense):
- ball possession: 66% vs 34%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 9 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Bahia are having a solid season and sit in the upper half of the table, though they have little to play for at this stage. In 23 matches, they have won eight, drawn ten and lost just five - they concede defeat less often than most sides in the division.
Their last five matches have all ended in draws, which reflects a cautious approach and defensive reliability. Over their last ten games, Bahia are averaging just over a goal scored per match - 1.3 - and conceding at a similar rate of 1.2. Those numbers suggest a pragmatic side who frequently play out low-scoring or drawn games.
Match Results: Bahia
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Vitoria (Home) vs Bahia (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- Number of wins: 6 (54.55%) vs 5 (45.45%);
- Number of losses: 2 (18.18%) vs 4 (36.36%);
- Number of draws: 3 (27.27%) vs 2 (18.18%);
- Average total goals scored: 1.09 vs 1.36;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.45 vs 0.64.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 2 vs 3;
- Number of losses: 5 vs 2;
- Number of draws: 3 vs 5;
- Average first half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.6) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.5).
- Vitoria have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 home games against Bahia (Serie A).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.06, the guests - 1.24;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.29;
- both teams scored: overall - 30; at the home team's field - 16.
Statistics: Vitoria vs Bahia
- average total in the tournament: 2.43 vs 2.61;
- average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.39;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.39 vs 0.74;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.61 vs 0.65;
- Vitoria: average total at home in the tournament - 1.45;
- Bahia: average total away in the tournament - 1.36;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1.6) vs 1.3 (away - 1.4).
- Vitoria have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 games against Bahia.
- Vitoria have scored under 1.5 goals in last 7 games (Serie A).
Prediction on corners
Vitoria: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.26; at home field - 4.36;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; at home field - 5.6.
Bahia: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.7, away - 4.64;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.2; away - 4.8.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (37/225, 16.4%);
- Vitoria at home most often finish matches: 2:0 (4/11, 36.4%);
- Bahia away most often play: 0:1 , 1:2 (2/11, 18.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.6% (odds 6)
0:1 - 9.24% (odds 8.5)
1:0 - 8.67% (odds 8.5)
⭐️ Editor's Pick
Neither side is under serious pressure, which could make for an open and high-scoring match. At least two trends are worth factoring in: Vitória scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 Serie A meetings with Bahia, and at home they saw both teams score in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches overall. The pick is Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: Vitoria - Bahia
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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