Palmeiras vs Vasco Da Gama Prediction 23 August 2026
🔊 Both sides come into this match with clear competitive stakes: Palmeiras are top of the table and cannot afford to drop points given the pressure from those behind them, while Vasco da Gama are in the relegation zone, just three points from safety. Recent form has been poor in front of goal for both teams - particularly for the visitors, who have gone a long stretch without scoring.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 12 March 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Vasco da Gama):
- ball possession percentage: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 5;
- fouls: 6 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
📊 In official matches between Palmeiras and Vasco da Gama, the two sides have met 37 times. Palmeiras have won 19, Vasco da Gama seven, with 11 draws. Palmeiras have scored 62 goals to Vasco da Gama's 38. The average goals per half stands at 1.35, giving an overall match average of 2.7.
Head-to-head statistics Palmeiras - Vasco Da Gama
Palmeiras Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Copa Libertadores tournament (home team - Cerro Porteno, away team - Palmeiras). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here's the game statistics (Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno):
- ball possession: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 7;
- fouls: 17 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
Palmeiras are having a strong season, sitting top of the table and showing a high level of consistency. Across 23 matches, they have won 14 and lost just three. Their last five games have brought two wins, two defeats and a draw - a slight dip compared to the five-match winning run they put together earlier. Over their last ten matches, they are averaging 1.8 goals scored and just one conceded, which reflects solid defensive reliability over a sustained period.
There is, however, a noticeable drop in attacking output at home: Palmeiras have failed to score more than one goal in six consecutive home matches, pointing to some difficulty converting chances in front of their own supporters. They remain top of the league, but with rivals applying pressure, every round matters for holding that position.
Match Results: Palmeiras
Vasco da Gama Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Copa Sudamericana tournament (home team - Olimpia Asuncion, away - Vasco da Gama). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:4.
Here are the match stats (Vasco da Gama vs Olimpia Asuncion):
- ball possession: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 7;
- fouls: 9 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 9 vs 7.
Vasco da Gama are having a difficult season, sitting second from bottom and in urgent need of points to climb out of the relegation zone. They are currently three points behind safety, which makes every result matter.
Their attacking output remains low: they have averaged fewer than 1.1 goals per game over their last ten matches, and in five of their previous six they failed to score at all. The defence has been marginally more reliable than the attack, but not by enough to make a meaningful difference. That lack of consistency up front makes their chances of getting a result away against the league leaders very slim.
Match Results: Vasco da Gama
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 37;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 7; for visitors away - 4; number of draws - 7;
- Average first-half total: 1.35;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.84, while the visitors net 0.51.
First-Half Stats: Palmeiras (home) vs Vasco da Gama (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 10;
- wins: 6 (54.55%) vs 1 (10%);
- losses: 1 (9.09%) vs 4 (40%);
- draws: 4 (36.36%) vs 5 (50%);
- Average goals scored: 1.18 vs 1;
- Average goals conceded: 0.27 vs 0.7.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 2;
- losses: 1 vs 2;
- draws: 6 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 1 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.3) vs 0.6 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.3).
- Palmeiras have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 home games.
Prediction on corners
Palmeiras: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.78; at home field - 6.27;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; at home field - 6.4.
Vasco da Gama: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.32, away - 4.6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.1; away - 4.4.
- Palmeiras have taken under 6.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games (Serie A).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 37;
- both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama
- number of matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 22;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 14 vs 14;
- number of BTTS matches for Palmeiras at home - 7 (64%);
- number of BTTS matches for Vasco da Gama away - 7 (70%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Palmeiras at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Vasco da Gama away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (37/225, 16.4%);
- Palmeiras at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 2:1 (3/11, 27.3%);
- Vasco da Gama away most often play: 1:0 , 1:1 , 2:1 (2/10, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 13.85% (odds 6.5)
1:1 - 10.91% (odds 7)
2:0 - 10.07% (odds 7)
⭐️ Editor's Pick
Palmeiras have struggled in front of goal at home, failing to score more than once in any of their last six Serie A matches at the Allianz Parque. With both sides highly motivated, we're not expecting an open, high-scoring game - which is why we're backing Palmeiras Team Total - Under 1.5.
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Betting Tips: Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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