Chapecoense vs Sao Paulo Prediction 23 August 2026
🔊 Both sides come into this match in difficult form, though for different reasons. Chapecoense are bottom of the table and have gone a long time without a win, with poor numbers both in results and in attack. São Paulo sit closer to mid-table, but their recent matches have been inconsistent - draws and defeats have been the pattern, with wins few and far between.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 12 March 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Sao Paulo):
- ball possession percentage: 63% vs 37%;
- corner kicks: 11 vs 6;
- fouls: 12 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 1.
📊 In official matches between Chapecoense and São Paulo, the two sides have met 15 times. Chapecoense have won four, São Paulo five, with six draws. The overall goal tally stands at 12 for Chapecoense and 18 for São Paulo. On average, 0.73 goals have been scored in the first half and 1.27 in the second, giving a match average of exactly 2.
Head-to-head statistics Chapecoense - Sao Paulo
Chapecoense Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie A tournament (home team - Chapecoense, away team - Bahia). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:3.
Here's the game statistics (Chapecoense vs Bahia):
- ball possession: 34% vs 66%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
- fouls: 16 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
Chapecoense are going through a difficult spell, with ten matches without a win. During that run they have lost seven times and drawn three, averaging less than one goal scored per game while conceding close to two. Their last five matches have brought three draws and two defeats, with no sign of improvement.
The club sit bottom of the table and are deep in the relegation zone, too far adrift of safety to have any realistic hope of escaping. At home, though, their matches tend to produce goals: the total has gone over 2.5 in each of their last five home games, which points to a vulnerable defence alongside some attacking activity.
Match Results: Chapecoense
Sao Paulo Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Copa Sudamericana tournament (home team - Sao Paulo, away - Club Bolivar). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:1.
Here are the match stats (Sao Paulo vs Club Bolivar):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
- fouls: 17 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
São Paulo have had a mid-table season and currently have nothing significant to play for. In their last five matches they have won once, drawn twice and lost twice, which reflects their inconsistency. Over their last ten matches they have won just twice, conceding at an average of 1.1 goals per game - above what you would expect from a side with higher ambitions.
Away from home they have been particularly unimpressive, without a win on the road, and there is a clear pattern of both teams scoring - São Paulo have scored and conceded in eight of their last nine league matches. The lack of any real pressure may allow them to play with a degree of freedom, but their defensive problems remain unresolved.
Match Results: Sao Paulo
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 15;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 3; number of draws - 3;
- Average first-half total: 0.73;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.33, while the visitors net 0.4.
First-Half Stats: Chapecoense (home) vs Sao Paulo (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 12;
- wins: 0 (0%) vs 2 (16.67%);
- losses: 4 (36.36%) vs 5 (41.67%);
- draws: 7 (63.64%) vs 5 (41.67%);
- Average goals scored: 2 vs 0.83;
- Average goals conceded: 1.36 vs 0.58.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 1 vs 8;
- losses: 7 vs 0;
- draws: 2 vs 2;
- Average first-half total: 1.4 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 1.2) vs 0.9 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0).
- Chapecoense have lost the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games.
- Chapecoense have lost the 1st half in last 5 games (Serie A).
Prediction on corners
Chapecoense: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.73; at home field - 4.82;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; at home field - 6.
Sao Paulo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.5, away - 5.58;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; away - 5.25.
Yellow Cards Bet
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.46 (1.73 for home team and 1.73 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4 (1.71 for home team and 2.29 for away team).
Chapecoense: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.09; at home - 1.82;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; at home - 1.
Sao Paulo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.32, away - 2.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; away - 2.5.
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in 7 of last 8 Chapecoense games (Serie A).
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in last 5 Chapecoense home games (Serie A).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 15;
- both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Chapecoense vs Sao Paulo
- number of matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 14 vs 14;
- number of BTTS matches for Chapecoense at home - 8 (73%);
- number of BTTS matches for Sao Paulo away - 8 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Chapecoense at home - 1 (25%);
- BTTS matches for Sao Paulo away - 3 (75%).
- Sao Paulo have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games (Serie A).
- Sao Paulo have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 away games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (37/226, 16.4%);
- Chapecoense at home most often finish matches: 0:4 , 1:1 , 3:3 (2/11, 18.2%);
- Sao Paulo away most often play: 1:1 , 2:1 (3/12, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.79% (odds 6)
0:1 - 9.75% (odds 6)
1:2 - 9.4% (odds 8)
⭐️ Editor's Pick
Several long-running and substantial trends point to a low-scoring output from the visitors. São Paulo have scored no more than one goal in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings with Chapecoense in Série A, and in 13 of their previous 14 away matches overall. That's why we're going with São Paulo Team Total - Under 1.5.
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Betting Tips: Chapecoense - Sao Paulo
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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