Racing vs Progreso Prediction 29 September 2025

    ⚡️ The upcoming clash between Racing Montevideo and Progreso has piqued interest due to the erratic performances of both teams. Racing, despite securing 3 wins in their last 5 matches, suffered a defeat in their most recent outing. On the other hand, Progreso snapped their losing streak with a victory in their last game. Racing aim to solidify their position at the top of the table, while Progreso seek to avoid further decline. Read the prediction below.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams ended with a 3-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (home team - Racing Montevideo):

    • possession percentage: 48% vs 52%;
    • corners: 8 vs 7;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 4.

    📊Analytical review of previous official encounters between Racing Montevideo and Progreso:

    • 13 matches played;
    • home team victories - 9, away team wins - 4, draws - 0;
    • goals scored (home/away) - 24 to 14;
    • average total goals per match - 2.92.

    Head-to-head statistics Racing - Progreso

    56%
    9 Wins
    13%
    2 Draws
    31%
    5 Wins
    Total games
    16
    Total Goals Avg
    2.69
    Both teams scored
    44%
    1.63
    Total average
    1.06
    Last matches
    26.09.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    26.03.26
    Primera Division
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    5
    6
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    5
    6
    29.09.25
    Primera Division
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    22.06.25
    Primera Division
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    8
    7
    0
    0
    0
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    8
    7
    0
    0
    0
    2
    30.03.25
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    1
    0
    0
    11
    6
    0
    0
    4
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    11
    6
    0
    0
    4
    3
    Empty
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    Racing Montevideo Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place in the Uruguay Cup, with Racing Montevideo as the home side and Universitario Salto as the visitors. The game concluded with a 4-1 scoreline.

    The match statistics were as follows (Racing Montevideo vs Universitario Salto):

    • possession: 48% vs 52%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 8 vs 3.

    Racing Montevideo are holding steady in sixth place, showcasing consistent play this season. With 13 victories in 30 matches, the team is in good form, having secured 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 games. Accumulating more than half of the possible points in their last 10 outings, Racing remain a formidable contender in the race for the top spots. The team's average scoring rate is just over a goal per game, with goals scored and conceded being roughly equal.

    Match Results: Racing Montevideo

    Last matches
    26.09.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    L
    20.09.26
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    1
    5
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    1
    5
    D
    17.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    -
    -
    8
    2
    9
    9
    2
    3
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    2
    9
    9
    2
    3
    L
    12.09.26
    Primera Division
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    -
    -
    2
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    2
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    W
    09.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    -
    -
    6
    5
    14
    5
    3
    2
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    3
    -
    -
    6
    5
    14
    5
    3
    2
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Progreso Team Overview

    The visitors recently played their last official match in the Primera tournament, with Progreso hosting Montevideo Wanderers. The game ended with a 2-0 scoreline.

    Here's the match statistics (Progreso vs Montevideo Wanderers):

    • possession: 53% vs 47%;
    • corners: 4 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 4.

    Progreso are currently sitting in 11th place in the league, struggling with inconsistent performances and enduring a losing streak. However, their recent victory might boost the team's confidence ahead of their away fixture against the stronger Racing side. Despite their instability, Progreso have the potential to surprise their opponents with counter-attacks and resolute defending.

    Match Results: Progreso

    Last matches
    26.09.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    W
    19.09.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    1
    3
    W
    16.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    12
    11
    8
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    12
    11
    8
    2
    1
    L
    13.09.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    6
    0
    -
    -
    2
    3
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    0
    -
    -
    2
    3
    L
    07.09.26
    Primera Division
    Albion
    Albion
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    3
    1
    -
    -
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    1
    -
    -
    2
    1
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 13;
    • Home team wins - 9, away team wins - 4, draws - 0.
    👉Prediction: Racing Montevideo Handicap (0)(odds: 1.55)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Today's home side averages - 1.85 goals, visitors - 1.08;
    • Average total goals in head-to-heads - 2.92;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 5 times; at home team's ground - 1 time.

    Statistics: Racing Montevideo vs Progreso

    • Tournament average total: 2.1 vs 2.63;
    • Average goals scored: 1.07 vs 1.03;
    • First half average total: 0.4 vs 0.4;
    • Second half average total: 0.67 vs 0.63;
    • Racing Montevideo: home tournament average total - 1.07;
    • Progreso: away tournament average total - 0.87;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1) vs 1 (away - 0.5).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (2,5)(odds: 1.77)

    Corners Prediction

    Racing Montevideo: Statistics

    • Season: tournament average total - 4.77; at home - 4.36;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 5; at home - 4.

    Progreso: Statistics

    • Season: tournament average total - 5.43, away - 5.07;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 4.7; away - 4.83.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (9,5)

    Cards Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • Average yellow cards in head-to-heads - 3.08 (1.54 for the home team and 1.54 for the visitors);
    • Average yellow cards at the home ground - 3.33 (1.33 for the home team and 2 for the visitors).

    Racing Montevideo: Statistics

    • Season: tournament average total - 2.2; at home - 2.07;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.2; at home - 2.8.

    Progreso: Statistics

    • Season: tournament average total - 2.93, away - 2.67;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 3; away - 2.33.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (5,5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 13;
    • Both teams have scored overall - 5 times;
    • At the home team's ground - once.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (No)(odds: 1.95)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Evaluating the current form and motivation of both teams, we can anticipate a tense match with Racing focusing on their attacking play. Given Racing's commanding 3-0 victory in their last head-to-head and their superior position in the standings, it's reasonable to expect Racing to dominate. A wager on over 2.5 goals seems promising, considering the hosts' attacking potential and Progreso's need to take risks to improve their standing.

    Total goals Over (2,5)
    Bovada
    Place a bet+108
    Published: 26/09/2025, 19:22

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    Betting Tips: Racing Montevideo - Progreso

    Progreso have lost the 2nd half:
    racing-club-mdeo-ca-progresoin last 5 away games against Racing Montevideo (Primera Division).
    ca-progresoin 7 of last 8 away games (Primera Division).
    2nd Half Racing Montevideo to Win
    Everygame
    +135
    Racing Montevideo have won:
    racing-club-mdeo-ca-progresoin last 6 home games against Progreso.
    racing-club-mdeo-ca-progresoin last 5 home games against Progreso (Primera Division).
    Progreso have lost:
    ca-progresoin 7 of last 8 away games (Primera Division).
    Racing Montevideo to Win
    Everygame
    +100
    Racing Montevideo have not lost:
    racing-club-mdeo-ca-progresoin last 6 home games against Progreso.
    Progreso have not won:
    ca-progresoin last 8 away games (Primera Division).
    Racing Montevideo will not lose
    Everygame
    -385
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    racing-club-mdeo-ca-progresoin last 6 Racing Montevideo home games against Progreso.
    racing-club-mdeo-ca-progresoin last 5 Racing Montevideo home games against Progreso (Primera Division).
    racing-club-mdeo-in last 12 Racing Montevideo home games (Primera Division).
    racing-club-mdeo-in 10 of last 11 Racing Montevideo home games.
    in 15 of last 16 Esteban Guerra games (in the Primera Division).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -400
    View more facts

    Racing - Progreso Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    5.
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    1573517-1224
    6.
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    1565414-1023
    7.
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1564516-1722
    10.
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    1545616-2217
    11.
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1536617-2715
    12.
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1536613-2014

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 0
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 13
    -2
    -5
    8 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    0
    4
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    8
    13
    Conceded
    13
    2.4
    Match goals average
    2.1
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.8
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    4
    Both teams scored
    4
    82'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    113'
    View all stats