Progreso vs Racing Prediction 26 September 2026
🔊 In the eighth round, Progreso and Racing Montevideo meet with both sides approaching the match in contrasting form. The hosts have been poor at home, while the visitors are still in contention for top spot. The teams' form is sharply different: Progreso have won only three of their last ten matches, whereas Racing Montevideo have looked considerably more consistent throughout the season. Neither side has been particularly prolific, as reflected in their average goals-per-game figures this season.
A classic of Uruguayan football: Progreso vs Racing
📊 Across all official meetings between Progreso and Racing Montevideo, the two sides have played 15 matches. Progreso have won 4, Racing have won 9, and 2 have ended in draws. The visitors also hold the advantage in goals scored: the hosts have netted 15 times, while the visitors have scored 25. The average number of goals per match between the two sides is 2.67.
Head-to-head statistics Progreso - Racing
Why do Progreso struggle against almost every opponent?
Progreso are having a poor start to the season and currently sit tenth. In their last five matches they have won two and lost three, though their overall record across ten games is worse still - seven defeats and three wins, with no draws. They are averaging just 0.79 goals scored per game and 1.45 conceded, which points to both a weak attack and an unreliable defence. The hosts need to redeem themselves in front of their own fans and show what they are capable of.
Match Results: Progreso
Racing are banking on their defense as they battle for points
Racing Montevideo are in better form and should not be dropping points against a weaker opponent. Over their last five matches, the club have won one, lost two and drawn one; across ten matches the balance is slightly better, with four wins against three defeats and three draws. Over the course of the season, Racing Montevideo have a low average of 1.21 goals scored per game, but are considerably more reliable defensively, conceding just 0.79 goals per game. Their position in the table demands maximum focus for the remainder of the season.
Match Results: Racing Montevideo
Prediction for the 1st half
The average scoring rates for both sides over their last 10 matches are fairly low: Progreso average just 0.4 goals per home game, while Racing Montevideo average 0.67 per away game. Neither team has been particularly prolific in the first half this season either, which makes Total Goals First Half - Under 1 at 1.62* a reasonably well-supported option.
Total Goals Prediction
In 16 of their last 18 matches, Racing Montevideo have seen fewer than 2.5 goals, which points to a consistently low-scoring pattern for this side. Over the course of the season, Racing Montevideo concede very little (0.79 goals per game on average), while Progreso score just 0.92 goals per home game, which also supports the low-scoring case. There are no contradictions in the statistics or trends when it comes to goalscoring, so the most logical option appears to be Total Goals - Under 2.5 at odds of 1.57*.
Reliable Bet
Racing Montevideo have gone unbeaten in 7 of their last 8 matches, and across the season they have lost just 4 times from 28 games, winning 13 and drawing 11. Progreso, by contrast, have lost 18 of their 29 matches and won only 7. Against that backdrop, the Double Chance on Racing Montevideo not to lose at 1.18* looks a reliable option.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes are 0:1 (15.64%), 1:1 (12.27%) and 0:0 (12.05%). A narrow Racing Montevideo win is the most probable result, though the chances of a draw remain significant. The probability is fairly evenly spread across the top three.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The most likely scenario for this match is a cautious, low-intensity game with little threat to either goal: both sides are struggling to pick up points towards the end of the season, and the visitors' statistics highlight their tendency towards low-scoring matches away from home - Total Goals Under 2.5 has landed in sixteen of Racing Montevideo's last eighteen league matches, and there is also a consistent trend of the visitors' team total coming in under 1.5 goals in almost all of their away league fixtures. The table situation is forcing both teams to grind it out as they look to find their rhythm. Our prediction: Racing Montevideo Team Total - Under 1.5.
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Betting Tips: Progreso - Racing Montevideo
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
