Suriname vs Martinique Prediction 28 September 2026
📢 One of the most interesting matches of the second round of the CONCACAF Nations League A takes place in Paramaribo, where Suriname host Martinique. The two sides have made very different starts to the tournament: the hosts picked up three points, while the visitors began with a defeat. Suriname will look to build on that and strengthen their position, while Martinique need to turn things around as quickly as possible - which only adds to the intrigue of this meeting.
Suriname have had the upper hand in recent head-to-head encounters.
📊 Suriname and Martinique have met fairly regularly in recent years: since 2024 the two sides have played three times. Two of those matches took place in March 2025 as part of the Gold Cup qualifying campaign. In that two-legged tie, Suriname came out on top, winning both games 1-0.
Head-to-head statistics Suriname - Martinique
Suriname have already demonstrated their ability to deliver results right from the start.
Suriname came very close to a historic place at the 2026 World Cup, but fell at the semi-final stage of the intercontinental play-offs, losing to Bolivia 2-1. The team have now turned their attention to the Nations League, where they are hoping to progress from their group.
They made a positive start to the tournament. In the opening round, Suriname won away at Honduras (3-2), though the match itself was not as one-sided as the scoreline might suggest. The hosts had 65% possession and had 13 shots to Suriname's 10, yet the xG figures were almost identical - 1.17 for Honduras against 1.16 for Suriname. In a fairly even contest, Suriname made better use of their chances and took all three points, which should give them added confidence heading into the upcoming match.
Match Results: Suriname
Martinique are still struggling to find consistency in their results.
Martinique's results have been considerably worse: the team have not won since 2024, and they began the new Nations League campaign with a defeat as well. Away to El Salvador, they lost 3-1, and effectively fell apart at the start - by the 29th minute it was already 3-0. Martinique did pull one back after that and were fairly active for the rest of the match, finishing with 16 shots to El Salvador's 9 and 52% possession. However, El Salvador were the sharper side regardless - 2.14 to 1.36 in xG, and that is with Martinique having taken a penalty.
Match Results: Martinique
Total Goals Prediction
In 6 of their last 7 home matches, Suriname have seen under 2.5 goals, which supports the relevant trend. In addition, across their last 10 home matches, Suriname average 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Similarly, Martinique have averaged just 0.6 goals scored per game in their last 10 away matches. All of this points to low scoring from both sides in these conditions, so the pick is Total Goals - Under 2.5 at 1.7*.
Reliable Bet
Suriname have scored in seven consecutive matches, which points to a consistent trend. Even accounting for a relatively modest home scoring record, that run suggests they will find the net again. We're backing Suriname to Score: Yes at 1.17*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
The bookmakers consider Suriname clear favourites for this match, and it is hard to argue with that assessment. The hosts are the stronger side, come into the game on the back of a positive first-round result, and have the added benefit of home advantage. Our pick is therefore a Suriname win. Expected score: 2-0.
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Betting Tips: Suriname - Martinique
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