Racing vs Progreso Prediction 22 June 2025

    🔈How will refereeing decisions affect the course and outcome of the match? We will find out all about this over the 90 minutes of the match between the teams Racing Montevideo and Progreso. The confrontation of the Primera Division tournament is scheduled for 18:00 on 22 June. As of today, bookmakers have set the following odds for wins: and .

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 30 March 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Progreso):

    • ball possession percentage: 49% vs 51%;
    • corner kicks: 11 vs 6;
    • fouls: 0 vs 0;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 2.

    📊 Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Racing Montevideo and Progreso:

    • played 12 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 8, for the away team - 4, draws - 0;
    • number of goals (home/away) - 21 against 14;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.92.

    Head-to-head statistics Racing - Progreso

    56%
    9 Wins
    13%
    2 Draws
    31%
    5 Wins
    Total games
    16
    Total Goals Avg
    2.69
    Both teams scored
    44%
    1.63
    Total average
    1.06
    Last matches
    26.09.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    26.03.26
    Primera Division
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    5
    6
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    5
    6
    29.09.25
    Primera Division
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    22.06.25
    Primera Division
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    8
    7
    0
    0
    0
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    8
    7
    0
    0
    0
    2
    30.03.25
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    1
    0
    0
    11
    6
    0
    0
    4
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    11
    6
    0
    0
    4
    3
    Empty
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    Racing Montevideo Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on 18 June 2025 as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Danubio, away team - Racing Montevideo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.

    Here's the game statistics (Racing Montevideo vs Danubio):

    • ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 7;
    • fouls: 0 vs 0;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 3.

    📊However, to understand the overall picture, let's evaluate the performance over the last ten matches. During this period, Racing Montevideo delighted their fans with 3 victories, settled for a draw in 3 matches, and lost 4 times.

    ⚽Regarding goals over a similar stretch of 10 matches, the average number of goals scored stands at 1, the average number of goals in the last 10 home performances is 1, and the average number of goals conceded is 1.1.

    Match Results: Racing Montevideo

    Last matches
    26.09.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    L
    20.09.26
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    1
    5
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    1
    5
    D
    17.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    -
    -
    8
    2
    9
    9
    2
    3
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    2
    9
    9
    2
    3
    L
    12.09.26
    Primera Division
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    -
    -
    2
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    2
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    W
    09.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    -
    -
    6
    5
    14
    5
    3
    2
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    3
    -
    -
    6
    5
    14
    5
    3
    2
    L
    Empty
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    Progreso Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 19 June 2025 as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Progreso, away - Boston River). The match ended with a score of 2:0.

    Here are the game statistics (Progreso vs Boston River):

    • ball possession: 48% vs 52%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 3.

    📊For now, let's look at the team's statistics based on the last 10 matches in the calendar. During this time, the team Progreso gifted its fans with 4 victories, played to a draw 1 times, and finished 5 games with a defeat.

    ⚽Overall, the indicators speak for themselves, but let's also assess the effectiveness during this time. The figures are as follows:

    • total number of goals - 11;
    • average goals scored - 1.1;
    • average goals conceded - 1.3.

    Match Results: Progreso

    Last matches
    26.09.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    W
    19.09.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    1
    3
    W
    16.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    12
    11
    8
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    12
    11
    8
    2
    1
    L
    13.09.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    6
    0
    -
    -
    2
    3
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    0
    -
    -
    2
    3
    L
    07.09.26
    Primera Division
    Albion
    Albion
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    3
    1
    -
    -
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    1
    -
    -
    2
    1
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    First Half Statistics: Racing Montevideo (Home) vs Progreso (Away)

    • Number of matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
    • Number of wins: 2 (22.22%) vs 2 (22.22%);
    • Number of losses: 1 (11.11%) vs 3 (33.33%);
    • Number of draws: 6 (66.67%) vs 4 (44.44%);
    • Average total goals scored: 0.33 vs 1;
    • Average total goals conceded: 0.11 vs 0.67.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 3 vs 2;
    • Number of losses: 1 vs 3;
    • Number of draws: 6 vs 5;
    • Average first half total: 0.6 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.2) vs 0.7 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.4).
    Trends
    • Racing Montevideo have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 home games.
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw (odds: 1.3)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 12;
    • home team wins - 8, away team wins - 4, draws - 0.
    Trends
    • Progreso won with a +1.5 handicap in last 5 games against Racing Montevideo (Primera Division).
    • Progreso won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 away games (Primera Division).
    • Progreso won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Progreso Handicap (+1,5) (odds: 1.28)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.75, the guests - 1.17;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.92;
    • both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 1.

    Statistics: Racing Montevideo vs Progreso

    • average total in the tournament: 1.8 vs 2.65;
    • average total goals scored: 1.05 vs 1.05;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.4 vs 0.25;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.65 vs 0.8;
    • Racing Montevideo: average total at home in the tournament -  1.11;
    • Progreso: average total away in the tournament - 1.11;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1) vs 1.1 (away - 1.5).
    Trends
    • Progreso have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 away games against Racing Montevideo.
    👉Prediction: Progreso Total goals Under (1,5) (odds: 1.29)

    Prediction on corners

    Racing Montevideo: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.3; at home field - 4;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; at home field - 4.2.

    Progreso: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.8, away - 5.22;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; away - 4.5.
    Trends
    • Over 9.5 corners in last 5 Racing Montevideo games.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (9,5) (odds: 1.92)

    Yellow Cards Bet

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.34 (1.67 for home team and 1.67 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.6 (1.6 for home team and 2 for away team).

    Racing Montevideo: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.1; at home - 2;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; at home - 2.6.

    Progreso: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.9, away - 2.89;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; away - 3.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (5,5) (odds: 2.1)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 12;
    • both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 1 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (Yes) (odds: 1.73)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Racing Montevideo scored in the 2nd half in 6 of last 7 games against Progreso (Primera Division).
    • Racing Montevideo scored in the 2nd half in last 6 home games (Primera Division).

    2nd half, Racing Montevideo will score goal
    Odds-167
    Published: 20/06/2025, 18:24

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    Betting Tips: Racing Montevideo - Progreso

    Racing Montevideo have drawn in the 1st half:
    racing-club-mdeo-in 6 of last 7 home games.
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +115
    Racing Montevideo have won:
    racing-club-mdeo-ca-progresoin last 5 home games against Progreso.
    Racing Montevideo to Win
    Bovada
    +100
    Progreso have not won:
    ca-progresoin 21 of last 23 away games (Primera Division).
    Racing Montevideo will not lose
    Everygame
    -385
    Racing Montevideo have not won:
    racing-club-mdeo-in 7 of last 8 home games.
    Progreso will not lose
    Everygame
    -132
    View more facts

    Racing - Progreso Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    5.
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    1573517-1224
    6.
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    1565414-1023
    7.
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1564516-1722
    10.
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    1545616-2217
    11.
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1536617-2715
    12.
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1536613-2014

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 0
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 13
    -2
    -5
    8 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    0
    4
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    8
    13
    Conceded
    13
    2.4
    Match goals average
    2.1
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.8
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    4
    Both teams scored
    4
    82'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    113'
    View all stats