Zambia vs Togo Prediction 29 September 2026
🔊 Zambia come into this match on a poor run, having lost four of their last five games. Togo, by contrast, made a positive start to the tournament and sit near the top of the table. The standings put extra pressure on the hosts, who are already three points off the play-off places after the first round. The visitors, meanwhile, can strengthen their position in the upper half of the table with even a draw. A tight match is expected, with both sides needing points to achieve their respective objectives.
Head-to-Head
📊 Officially, Zambia and Togo have met only once. That match took place on 27 May 2016 at Togo's ground and ended 1-0.
Head-to-head statistics Zambia - Togo
Zambia Team Overview
Zambia are going through a difficult spell - just one win from ten matches, with seven defeats, points to a prolonged slump. In their last five games they have lost four and won just once. The attack has been inconsistent: their average of 0.5 goals scored per game over the longer run, combined with a defensive average of 1.6 goals conceded per match, makes life difficult even against less formidable opponents.
Zambia also lost their opening match of the current tournament, which has increased the pressure on them to close the gap to the play-off places.
Match Results: Zambia
Togo Team Overview
Togo have shown more balanced results: three wins and three draws against four defeats across their last ten matches, which has kept them among the group leaders. In their last five games, the visitors have won twice and picked up another positive result, showing a tendency to take points regardless of the opposition.
Their average scoring rate over this period is modest - just 0.7 goals per match - while their defensive record is fairly solid at 0.8 conceded per game. This points to a pragmatic style and an ability to control the flow of matches.
Match Results: Togo
Total Goals Prediction
Togo's last six matches have all gone under 2.5 goals, pointing to a low-scoring pattern. Zambia's last ten home matches tell a similar story: an average of 0.17 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. On top of that, Zambia have failed to score in four consecutive home matches, while Togo have not conceded away from home and have not conceded at all this season. All of this points to a low-scoring game, so the pick here is Total Goals - Under 2.5 at 1.45*.
Corner Kick Prediction
Zambia have taken fewer than 4.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 matches across the Africa Cup of Nations and qualification, which points to a clear tendency for low corner activity. This bet is supported by a long-term trend with no statistical contradictions, so Zambia Team Total Corners - Under 4.5 at odds of 2.02* looks reasonable.
Reliable Bet
Zambia have gone six consecutive home matches without defeat, which is backed up by the corresponding home trend. On top of that, Togo have shown little attacking output away from home - zero goals this season across their last 10 away matches. This makes the Zambia not to lose double chance a reliable option at odds of 1.19*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes are 0-0 (23.39%), 0-1 (21.44%) and 1-0 (14.73%). A goalless draw has the highest probability, though a narrow win for either side is also considered possible. The chances are fairly tightly distributed across these outcomes, which supports the overall low-scoring scenario.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Togo's away statistics point to problems in attack: the team have failed to score in five consecutive away matches, despite solid defensive work over the course of the season and consistent results in the standings. Zambia, on the other hand, have conceded in six consecutive home games, which in theory gives the visitors a chance to end their goalless run away from home - though the dominant trend of the season still points against Togo's attack when playing away. The editor's main prediction is Togo Team Total - Under 0.5 Goals. Predicted score: 1-0.
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Betting Tips: Zambia - Togo
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