Racing vs Progreso Prediction 26 March 2026
⚡️ Racing Montevideo and Progreso are gearing up for another clash that promises to be intriguing. The hosts are in confident form, having won four of their last five matches. They top the league standings, highlighting their ambitions for the current season. Progreso, on the other hand, sit at the bottom of the table and are fighting for survival. Read the prediction for their duel below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended in a 0-0 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (home team - Racing Montevideo):
- possession: 67% vs 33%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3.
📊Analytical review of previous official matches between Racing Montevideo and Progreso:
- 14 matches played;
- home team victories - 9, away team wins - 4, draws - 1;
- goals scored (home/away) - 24 to 14;
- average total goals per match - 2.71.
Head-to-head statistics Racing - Progreso
Racing Montevideo Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place in the Primera tournament, with Racing Montevideo playing host to Liverpool Montevideo. The match concluded with a 1-0 victory.
The game statistics are as follows (Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo):
- possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corners: 5 vs 0;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
Racing Montevideo are in excellent form, having won four of their last five matches, including a streak of three consecutive victories. They average two goals per game, highlighting their strong attacking prowess. Their consistency both at home and away has them confidently sitting at the top of the standings.
Match Results: Racing Montevideo
Progreso Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match in the Primera tournament (home team - Progreso, visitors - Boston River). The match concluded with a score of 0-1.
Here are the game statistics (Progreso vs Boston River):
- possession percentage: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 1;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 2.
Progreso continue their fight to escape the relegation zone, having secured just one victory in their last five matches. Their defense remains vulnerable, conceding over one goal per game on average. Meanwhile, they show some progress in attack, but it's not enough to achieve consistently strong results.
Match Results: Progreso
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Racing Montevideo (Home) vs Progreso (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
- Number of wins: 1 (33.33%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of losses: 1 (33.33%) vs 1 (33.33%);
- Number of draws: 1 (33.33%) vs 2 (66.67%);
- Average total goals scored: 1.33 vs 1;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.67 vs 0.67.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 1 vs 3;
- Number of losses: 2 vs 3;
- Number of draws: 7 vs 4;
- Average first half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.6).
- Racing Montevideo have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 14;
- home team wins - 9, away team wins - 4, draws - 1.
Statistics: Racing Montevideo vs Progreso
- matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- wins: 4 vs 1;
- win percentage: 67% vs 14%;
- losses: 1 vs 4;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 4;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
- Racing Montevideo have won in 6 of last 7 home games against Progreso.
- Racing Montevideo have won in last 5 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.71, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.71;
- both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Racing Montevideo vs Progreso
- average total in the tournament: 3 vs 2.29;
- average total goals scored: 2 vs 0.71;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.67 vs 0.29;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.33 vs 0.43;
- Racing Montevideo: average total at home in the tournament - 2.33;
- Progreso: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 2) vs 0.9 (away - 1).
- Progreso have scored under 1.5 goals in last 7 away games against Racing Montevideo.
- Progreso have scored under 1.5 goals in 14 of last 15 away games (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 14;
- both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Racing Montevideo vs Progreso
- number of matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 2;
- number of BTTS matches for Racing Montevideo at home - 1 (33%);
- number of BTTS matches for Progreso away - 1 (33%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Racing Montevideo at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Progreso away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (13/49, 26.5%);
- Racing Montevideo at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 2:4 , 4:0 (1/3, 33.3%);
- Progreso away most often play: 0:1 , 2:0 , 2:2 (1/3, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.37% (odds 6.5)
1:0 - 11.67% (odds 6)
2:0 - 9.63% (odds 7.5)
- Racing Montevideo won 1:0 in last 3 games (Primera Division).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form and trend, a bet on Racing's victory seems the most well-founded. Historically, they have dominated Progreso on home turf and continue to impress with their performances at home. Despite a recent draw between these teams, the likelihood of the hosts solidifying their lead with another home win is high, as they have excelled both offensively and defensively this season. A 1-0 scoreline is possible.
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Betting Tips: Racing Montevideo - Progreso
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
