Penarol vs Cerro Prediction

    📢Which players could become unexpected stars of the match? The answer to this question will be known at the end of the confrontation between the teams Penarol Montevideo and Cerro. The meeting as part of the Primera Division tournament is scheduled for 18:00 on 28 June. Bookmakers have already identified the favorite as the team Penarol Montevideo. The odds for the victories are as follows - against .

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 22 September 2024 and ended with a score of 0:5. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Penarol Montevideo):

    • ball possession percentage: 59% vs 41%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 1;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 3.

    📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Penarol Montevideo and Cerro:

    • played 31 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 19, for the away team - 4, draws - 8;
    • number of goals (home/away) - 60 against 22;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.65.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    62%
    21 Wins
    24%
    8 Draws
    15%
    5 Wins
    Total games
    34
    Total Goals Avg
    2.65
    Both teams scored
    53%
    1.91
    Total average
    0.74
    1.76
    Yellow cards
    2
    Last matches
    21.03.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1
    -
    -
    7
    2
    -
    -
    3
    7
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    2
    -
    -
    3
    7
    25.10.25
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    4
    6
    -
    -
    2
    7
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    -
    -
    2
    7
    28.06.25
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    7
    4
    0
    0
    2
    4
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    0
    0
    2
    4
    27.04.25
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    1
    1
    -
    -
    0
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    1
    1
    -
    -
    0
    3
    22.09.24
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    2
    0
    5
    0
    2
    0
    3
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Penarol Montevideo Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on 22 June 2025 as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Penarol Montevideo, away team - Montevideo Wanderers). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.

    Here's the game statistics (Penarol Montevideo vs Montevideo Wanderers):

    • ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 12;
    • fouls: 0 vs 0;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 2.

    📊However, to understand the overall picture, let's evaluate the performance over the last ten matches. During this period, Penarol Montevideo delighted their fans with 7 victories, settled for a draw in 2 matches, and lost 1 times.

    ⚽Regarding goals over a similar stretch of 10 matches, the average number of goals scored stands at 2.1, the average number of goals in the last 10 home performances is 2, and the average number of goals conceded is 0.8.

    Match Results: Penarol Montevideo

    Last matches
    01.06.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    3
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    3
    2
    L
    28.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Independiente Santa Fe
    Independiente Santa Fe
    1
    0.39
    9
    2
    9
    21
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.39
    9
    2
    9
    21
    2
    2
    L
    24.05.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    3
    4
    W
    22.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    0.68
    2.45
    3
    5
    5
    6
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.68
    2.45
    3
    5
    5
    6
    0
    0
    D
    16.05.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    W
    Empty
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    Cerro Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 22 June 2025 as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Defensor Sporting, away - Cerro). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.

    Here are the match stats (Cerro vs Defensor Sporting):

    • ball possession: 36% vs 64%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 8;
    • fouls: 0 vs 0;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 6.

    📊For now, let's look at the team's statistics based on the last 10 matches in the calendar. During this time, the team Cerro gifted its fans with 2 victories, played to a draw 3 times, and finished 5 games with a defeat.

    ⚽Overall, the indicators speak for themselves, but let's also assess the effectiveness during this time. The figures are as follows:

    • total number of goals - 10;
    • average goals scored - 1;
    • average goals conceded - 1.6.

    Match Results: Cerro

    Last matches
    29.05.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    1
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    1
    3
    L
    24.05.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    4
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    4
    0
    W
    16.05.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    7
    3
    -
    -
    2
    3
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    3
    -
    -
    2
    3
    L
    10.05.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    1
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    1
    3
    L
    02.05.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    -
    -
    1
    11
    -
    -
    3
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    11
    -
    -
    3
    3
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    First Half Statistics: Penarol Montevideo (Home) vs Cerro (Away)

    • Number of matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
    • Number of wins: 4 (44.44%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Number of losses: 3 (33.33%) vs 1 (11.11%);
    • Number of draws: 2 (22.22%) vs 8 (88.89%);
    • Average total goals scored: 1.22 vs 0.56;
    • Average total goals conceded: 0.56 vs 0.33.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 5 vs 2;
    • Number of losses: 1 vs 3;
    • Number of draws: 4 vs 5;
    • Average first half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.6).
    Trends
    • Penarol Montevideo scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games against Cerro (Primera Division).
    • Penarol Montevideo scored in the 1st half in last 7 games (Primera Division).
    • Penarol Montevideo scored in the 1st half in last 5 games.
    👉Prediction: 1st half, Penarol Montevideo to score goal (odds: 1.44)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 31;
    • home team wins - 19, away team wins - 4, draws - 8.
    Trends
    • Cerro won with a +2.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 away games against Penarol Montevideo (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Cerro Handicap (+2.5) (odds: 1.43)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.94, the guests - 0.71;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.65;
    • both teams scored: overall - 17; at the home team's field - 10.

    Statistics: Penarol Montevideo vs Cerro

    • average total in the tournament: 2.6 vs 2.15;
    • average total goals scored: 1.55 vs 0.95;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.7 vs 0.4;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.85 vs 0.55;
    • Penarol Montevideo: average total at home in the tournament -  1.56;
    • Cerro: average total away in the tournament - 0.89;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 2.1 (home - 2) vs 1 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • Under 3.5 goals scored in 10 of last 11 Penarol Montevideo home games against Cerro (Primera Division).
    • Under 3.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Penarol Montevideo home games (Primera Division).
    • Under 3.5 goals scored in last 5 Penarol Montevideo home games.
    • Under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Cerro games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (3.5) (odds: 1.44)

    Prediction on corners

    Trends
    • Over 7.5 corners in last 5 Penarol Montevideo home games against Cerro (Primera Division).
    • Over 7.5 corners in last 8 Cerro games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (7.5) (odds: 1.35)

    Yellow Cards Bet

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.1 (1.55 for home team and 1.55 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.73 (1.53 for home team and 2.2 for away team).

    Penarol Montevideo: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.85; at home - 1.56;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; at home - 1.33.

    Cerro: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.15, away - 3;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.2; away - 3.6.
    Trends
    • Over 4.5 yellow cards in 14 of last 15 Cerro games (Primera Division).
    • Over 4.5 yellow cards in 7 of last 8 Cerro away games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Over (4.5) (odds: 1.65)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 31;
    • both teams scored all-time - 17 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 10 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 1.44)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Penarol Montevideo scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games against Cerro (Primera Division).
    • Penarol Montevideo scored in the 1st half in last 7 games (Primera Division).
    • Penarol Montevideo scored in the 1st half in last 5 games.

    Our choice
    1st half, Penarol Montevideo to score goal at odds of -196*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (26 June 2025, 18:24)

    Betting Tips: Penarol Montevideo - Cerro

    Cerro have drawn in the 1st half
    ca-cerroin 10 of last 11 away games (Primera Division).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +165
    Penarol Montevideo have won the 2nd half
    ca-penarolin 7 of last 8 home games.
    2nd Half Penarol Montevideo Win
    Everygame
    -189
    Penarol Montevideo have won
    ca-penarolin 7 of last 8 home games.
    ca-penarolin last 5 home games (Primera Division).
    Penarol Montevideo Win
    Bovada
    -385
    Cerro have drawn in the 2nd half
    ca-cerroin 6 of last 7 away games (Primera Division).
    2nd Half Draw
    Everygame
    +185
    View more facts

    Penarol - Cerro Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    3.
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    1593323-1530
    4.
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1583421-1727
    5.
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    1573517-1224
    11.
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1536617-2715
    12.
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1536613-2014
    13.
    Danubio
    Danubio
    1519512-1712

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 10
    Conceded - 11
    -1
    -13
    6 - Scored
    19 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    2
    3
    Draws
    2
    4
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    10
    Scored
    6
    11
    Conceded
    19
    2.1
    Match goals average
    2.5
    1
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.6
    1.1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.9
    5
    Both teams scored
    4
    90'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    150'
    View all stats