Penarol vs Cerro Prediction 28 June 2025

    📢Which players could become unexpected stars of the match? The answer to this question will be known at the end of the confrontation between the teams Penarol Montevideo and Cerro. The meeting as part of the Primera Division tournament is scheduled for 18:00 on 28 June. Bookmakers have already identified the favorite as the team Penarol Montevideo. The odds for the victories are as follows - against .

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 22 September 2024 and ended with a score of 0:5. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Penarol Montevideo):

    • ball possession percentage: 59% vs 41%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 1;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 3.

    📊 Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Penarol Montevideo and Cerro:

    • played 31 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 19, for the away team - 4, draws - 8;
    • number of goals (home/away) - 60 against 22;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.65.

    Head-to-head statistics Penarol - Cerro

    64%
    23 Wins
    22%
    8 Draws
    14%
    5 Wins
    Total games
    36
    Total Goals Avg
    2.61
    Both teams scored
    53%
    1.89
    Total average
    0.72
    Last matches
    19.09.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    3
    2
    -
    -
    3
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    -
    -
    3
    1
    07.06.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    0
    21.03.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1
    -
    -
    7
    2
    -
    -
    3
    7
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    2
    -
    -
    3
    7
    25.10.25
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    4
    6
    -
    -
    2
    7
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    -
    -
    2
    7
    28.06.25
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    7
    4
    0
    0
    2
    4
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    0
    0
    2
    4
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Penarol Montevideo Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on 22 June 2025 as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Penarol Montevideo, away team - Montevideo Wanderers). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.

    Here's the game statistics (Penarol Montevideo vs Montevideo Wanderers):

    • ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 12;
    • fouls: 0 vs 0;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 2.

    📊However, to understand the overall picture, let's evaluate the performance over the last ten matches. During this period, Penarol Montevideo delighted their fans with 7 victories, settled for a draw in 2 matches, and lost 1 times.

    ⚽Regarding goals over a similar stretch of 10 matches, the average number of goals scored stands at 2.1, the average number of goals in the last 10 home performances is 2, and the average number of goals conceded is 0.8.

    Match Results: Penarol Montevideo

    Last matches
    24.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Danubio
    Danubio
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    4
    2
    7
    14
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    2
    7
    14
    1
    1
    D
    19.09.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    3
    2
    -
    -
    3
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    -
    -
    3
    1
    W
    13.09.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Albion
    Albion
    -
    -
    7
    3
    -
    -
    3
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    7
    3
    -
    -
    3
    1
    W
    05.09.26
    Primera Division
    Danubio
    Danubio
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    7
    3
    -
    -
    0
    0
    0
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    -
    -
    7
    3
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    02.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Atenas de San Carlos
    Atenas de San Carlos
    1
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    0
    9
    7
    10
    3
    1
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    0
    9
    7
    10
    3
    1
    D
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    Cerro Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 22 June 2025 as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Defensor Sporting, away - Cerro). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.

    Here are the match stats (Cerro vs Defensor Sporting):

    • ball possession: 36% vs 64%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 8;
    • fouls: 0 vs 0;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 6.

    📊For now, let's look at the team's statistics based on the last 10 matches in the calendar. During this time, the team Cerro gifted its fans with 2 victories, played to a draw 3 times, and finished 5 games with a defeat.

    ⚽Overall, the indicators speak for themselves, but let's also assess the effectiveness during this time. The figures are as follows:

    • total number of goals - 10;
    • average goals scored - 1;
    • average goals conceded - 1.6.

    Match Results: Cerro

    Last matches
    23.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    -
    -
    4
    4
    10
    14
    2
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    4
    4
    10
    14
    2
    1
    L
    19.09.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    3
    2
    -
    -
    3
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    -
    -
    3
    1
    L
    13.09.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    6
    0
    -
    -
    2
    3
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    0
    -
    -
    2
    3
    W
    10.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Cerrito
    Cerrito
    -
    -
    5
    3
    11
    16
    4
    4
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    3
    11
    16
    4
    4
    L
    06.09.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    -
    -
    4
    9
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    9
    -
    -
    2
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    First Half Statistics: Penarol Montevideo (Home) vs Cerro (Away)

    • Number of matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
    • Number of wins: 4 (44.44%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Number of losses: 3 (33.33%) vs 1 (11.11%);
    • Number of draws: 2 (22.22%) vs 8 (88.89%);
    • Average total goals scored: 1.22 vs 0.56;
    • Average total goals conceded: 0.56 vs 0.33.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 5 vs 2;
    • Number of losses: 1 vs 3;
    • Number of draws: 4 vs 5;
    • Average first half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.6).
    Trends
    • Penarol Montevideo scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games against Cerro (Primera Division).
    • Penarol Montevideo scored in the 1st half in last 7 games (Primera Division).
    • Penarol Montevideo scored in the 1st half in last 5 games.
    👉Prediction: 1st half, Penarol Montevideo to score goal (odds: 1.44)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 31;
    • home team wins - 19, away team wins - 4, draws - 8.
    Trends
    • Cerro won with a +1.5 handicap in 19 of last 20 games (Primera Division).
    • Cerro won with a +1.5 handicap in last 11 away games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Cerro Handicap (+1,5) (odds: 2.1)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.94, the guests - 0.71;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.65;
    • both teams scored: overall - 17; at the home team's field - 10.

    Statistics: Penarol Montevideo vs Cerro

    • average total in the tournament: 2.6 vs 2.15;
    • average total goals scored: 1.55 vs 0.95;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.7 vs 0.4;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.85 vs 0.55;
    • Penarol Montevideo: average total at home in the tournament -  1.56;
    • Cerro: average total away in the tournament - 0.89;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 2.1 (home - 2) vs 1 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • Penarol Montevideo have not conceded in last 4 home games.
    👉Prediction: Cerro will not score goal (odds: 1.62)

    Prediction on corners

    Trends
    • Cerro have taken over 2.5 corners in last 5 away games against Penarol Montevideo (Primera Division).
    • Cerro have taken over 2.5 corners in last 13 games (Primera Division).
    • Cerro have taken over 2.5 corners in last 7 away games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Cerro Total Over (2,5) (odds: 1.73)

    Yellow Cards Bet

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.1 (1.55 for home team and 1.55 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.73 (1.53 for home team and 2.2 for away team).

    Penarol Montevideo: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.85; at home - 1.56;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; at home - 1.33.

    Cerro: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.15, away - 3;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.2; away - 3.6.
    Trends
    • Under 5.5 yellow cards in last 13 Penarol Montevideo home games.
    • Under 5.5 yellow cards in last 10 Penarol Montevideo home games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (5,5) (odds: 1.54)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 31;
    • both teams scored all-time - 17 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 10 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (No) (odds: 1.44)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Penarol Montevideo scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games against Cerro (Primera Division).
    • Penarol Montevideo scored in the 1st half in last 7 games (Primera Division).
    • Penarol Montevideo scored in the 1st half in last 5 games.

    1st half, Penarol Montevideo to score goal
    Odds-196
    Published: 26/06/2025, 18:24

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    Betting Tips: Penarol Montevideo - Cerro

    Cerro have drawn in the 1st half:
    ca-cerroin 10 of last 11 away games (Primera Division).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +165
    Penarol Montevideo have won the 2nd half:
    ca-penarolin 7 of last 8 home games.
    2nd Half Penarol Montevideo to Win
    Everygame
    -189
    Penarol Montevideo have won:
    ca-penarolin 7 of last 8 home games.
    ca-penarolin last 5 home games (Primera Division).
    Penarol Montevideo to Win
    Bovada
    -385
    Cerro have drawn in the 2nd half:
    ca-cerroin 6 of last 7 away games (Primera Division).
    2nd Half Draw
    Everygame
    +185
    View more facts

    Penarol - Cerro Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    3.
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    1593323-1530
    4.
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1583421-1727
    5.
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    1573517-1224
    11.
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1536617-2715
    12.
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1536613-2014
    13.
    Danubio
    Danubio
    1519512-1712

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    1 - Lose
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 20
    Conceded - 8
    +12
    -3
    11 - Scored
    14 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    4
    3
    Draws
    2
    1
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    20
    Scored
    11
    8
    Conceded
    14
    2.8
    Match goals average
    2.5
    2
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    0.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.4
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    45'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    82'
    View all stats