Penarol vs Cerro Prediction
📢Which players could become unexpected stars of the match? The answer to this question will be known at the end of the confrontation between the teams Penarol Montevideo and Cerro. The meeting as part of the Primera Division tournament is scheduled for 18:00 on 28 June. Bookmakers have already identified the favorite as the team Penarol Montevideo. The odds for the victories are as follows - against .
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 22 September 2024 and ended with a score of 0:5. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Penarol Montevideo):
- ball possession percentage: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 1;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Penarol Montevideo and Cerro:
- played 31 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 19, for the away team - 4, draws - 8;
- number of goals (home/away) - 60 against 22;
- average total goals in the match - 2.65.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Penarol Montevideo Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 22 June 2025 as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Penarol Montevideo, away team - Montevideo Wanderers). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here's the game statistics (Penarol Montevideo vs Montevideo Wanderers):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 12;
- fouls: 0 vs 0;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
📊However, to understand the overall picture, let's evaluate the performance over the last ten matches. During this period, Penarol Montevideo delighted their fans with 7 victories, settled for a draw in 2 matches, and lost 1 times.
⚽Regarding goals over a similar stretch of 10 matches, the average number of goals scored stands at 2.1, the average number of goals in the last 10 home performances is 2, and the average number of goals conceded is 0.8.
Match Results: Penarol Montevideo

Cerro Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 22 June 2025 as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Defensor Sporting, away - Cerro). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here are the match stats (Cerro vs Defensor Sporting):
- ball possession: 36% vs 64%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 8;
- fouls: 0 vs 0;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 2 vs 6.
📊For now, let's look at the team's statistics based on the last 10 matches in the calendar. During this time, the team Cerro gifted its fans with 2 victories, played to a draw 3 times, and finished 5 games with a defeat.
⚽Overall, the indicators speak for themselves, but let's also assess the effectiveness during this time. The figures are as follows:
- total number of goals - 10;
- average goals scored - 1;
- average goals conceded - 1.6.
Match Results: Cerro
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Penarol Montevideo (Home) vs Cerro (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- Number of wins: 4 (44.44%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of losses: 3 (33.33%) vs 1 (11.11%);
- Number of draws: 2 (22.22%) vs 8 (88.89%);
- Average total goals scored: 1.22 vs 0.56;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.56 vs 0.33.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 2;
- Number of losses: 1 vs 3;
- Number of draws: 4 vs 5;
- Average first half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.6).
- Penarol Montevideo scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games against Cerro (Primera Division).
- Penarol Montevideo scored in the 1st half in last 7 games (Primera Division).
- Penarol Montevideo scored in the 1st half in last 5 games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 31;
- home team wins - 19, away team wins - 4, draws - 8.
- Cerro won with a +2.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 away games against Penarol Montevideo (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.94, the guests - 0.71;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.65;
- both teams scored: overall - 17; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Penarol Montevideo vs Cerro
- average total in the tournament: 2.6 vs 2.15;
- average total goals scored: 1.55 vs 0.95;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.7 vs 0.4;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.85 vs 0.55;
- Penarol Montevideo: average total at home in the tournament - 1.56;
- Cerro: average total away in the tournament - 0.89;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.1 (home - 2) vs 1 (away - 1).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 10 of last 11 Penarol Montevideo home games against Cerro (Primera Division).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Penarol Montevideo home games (Primera Division).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 5 Penarol Montevideo home games.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Cerro games (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
- Over 7.5 corners in last 5 Penarol Montevideo home games against Cerro (Primera Division).
- Over 7.5 corners in last 8 Cerro games (Primera Division).
Yellow Cards Bet
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.1 (1.55 for home team and 1.55 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.73 (1.53 for home team and 2.2 for away team).
Penarol Montevideo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.85; at home - 1.56;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; at home - 1.33.
Cerro: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.15, away - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.2; away - 3.6.
- Over 4.5 yellow cards in 14 of last 15 Cerro games (Primera Division).
- Over 4.5 yellow cards in 7 of last 8 Cerro away games (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 31;
- both teams scored all-time - 17 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
Editorial Prediction
- Penarol Montevideo scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games against Cerro (Primera Division).
- Penarol Montevideo scored in the 1st half in last 7 games (Primera Division).
- Penarol Montevideo scored in the 1st half in last 5 games.
