Cerro vs Penarol Prediction
💥 Matchday four of the Torneo Intermedio, Group A, brings us an intriguing clash between Cerro and Peñarol. The hosts, currently seventh with three points, will be looking to challenge one of the group’s frontrunners. Peñarol, sitting second on six points, are eager to keep their upward momentum going. This head-to-head promises plenty of intensity, with both sides battling for crucial points in the standings. Read our prediction for the match below.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official clash between these teams ended 3-1. Here’s a comparative breakdown from that match (with Peñarol playing at home):
- possession: 66% vs 34%;
- corners: 7 vs 2;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 7.
📊Analytical review of previous official encounters between Cerro and Peñarol:
- They have played 34 matches;
- The hosts have claimed 5 wins, while the visitors have secured 21 victories, with 8 draws between them;
- Total goals scored (home/away): 25 for Cerro, 65 for Peñarol;
- The average total goals per game stands at 2.65.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Cerro Team Overview
Their most recent official fixture took place in the Primera, with Cerro Largo hosting Cerro. The match ended in a 2-0 victory for the home side.
Here’s a breakdown of the key statistics (Cerro vs Cerro Largo):
- Possession: 37% vs 63%;
- Corners: 1 vs 5;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 5.
Cerro are going through a tough spell, struggling both in attack and defence. Over their last ten matches, they have managed just two wins while suffering six defeats. On average, Cerro score less than a goal per game (0.6) and concede nearly two per match. These numbers directly impact their position in the standings. Things aren’t getting any better at home, where they consistently struggle to find the back of the net. The under 2.5 goals trend has now held firm across 15 consecutive home fixtures.
Match Results: Cerro
Penarol Montevideo Team Overview
The visitors played their most recent official match in the Primera tournament, facing off against Peñarol away from home. Central Español came away with a 1-0 victory.
The key match stats (Peñarol vs Central Español) were as follows:
- Possession: 57% vs 43%;
- Corners: 6 vs 3;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 2.
Peñarol are in fine form at the moment. The team is playing with growing confidence, and it’s showing in their results. Over their last ten matches, they’ve picked up three wins, suffered four defeats, and drawn three times. On average, they’re scoring a goal per game, while their defence has been solid-conceding just 1.1 goals per match. Their away performances have been particularly impressive: five wins in their last six games on the road underline just how well-drilled and ambitious this squad is as they push for top honours.
Match Results: Penarol Montevideo
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Cerro (Home) vs Penarol Montevideo (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 6;
- Number of wins: 1 (12.5%) vs 2 (33.33%);
- Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (16.67%);
- Number of draws: 7 (87.5%) vs 3 (50%);
- Average total goals scored: 0.38 vs 0.67;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.13 vs 0.17.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 1 vs 3;
- Number of losses: 5 vs 3;
- Number of draws: 4 vs 4;
- Average first half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.8) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.6).
- Cerro have drawn in the 1st half in 10 of last 11 home games (Primera Division).
Match Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head record:
- Matches played - 34;
- Home wins - 5, Away wins - 21, Draws - 8.
Stats: Cerro vs Peñarol
- Games in the competition: 15 vs 15;
- Wins: 3 vs 9;
- Win percentage: 19% vs 53%;
- Losses: 10 vs 5;
- Draws: 3 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- Wins: 2 vs 3;
- Losses: 6 vs 4;
- Draws: 2 vs 3.
- Peñarol have claimed victory in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures (Primera).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average total goals):
- Home side - 0.74, Away side - 1.91;
- Overall head-to-head average - 2.65;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 18 times; at Cerro’s ground - 5 times.
Average total goals stats: Cerro vs Peñarol
- In the competition: 2.13 vs 2.41;
- Goals scored: 0.5 vs 1.41;
- First half: 0.25 vs 0.59;
- Second half: 0.25 vs 0.82;
- Cerro at home in the competition - 0.63;
- Peñarol away in the competition - 1.67;
- Last 10 matches: 0.6 (home - 0.75) vs 1 (away - 1.2).
- The over 1.5 goals market has landed in the last 20 head-to-head meetings in the Primera.
- The over 1.5 goals market has landed in the last 9 head-to-head clashes at Cerro’s ground (Primera).
- The over 1.5 goals market has hit in 7 of Peñarol’s last 8 away games.
Corner Kicks Prediction
Cerro: Stats
- This season: average corners per match - 3.19; at home - 3;
- Last 10 games: average corners - 3.3; at home - 3.25.
Peñarol: Stats
- This season: average corners per match - 4.76; away - 3.67;
- Last 10 games: average corners - 4.2; away - 3.6.
- Peñarol have registered under 6.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head away encounters (Primera).
- Peñarol have finished under 6.5 corners in 11 of their last 12 matches.
- Peñarol have seen under 6.5 corners in seven straight Primera games.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- Matches played - 34;
- Both teams have scored all-time - 18 times;
- At Cerro’s ground - on five occasions.
Stats: Cerro vs Peñarol
- Games played in the competition: 15 vs 15;
- Matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 5 vs 9;
- Cerro BTTS at home - 2 (25%);
- Peñarol BTTS away - 1 (17%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS games: 4 vs 5;
- Cerro BTTS at home - 1 (25%);
- Peñarol BTTS away - 2 (40%).
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent results (current season):
- The most common scoreline in the competition: 0-1 (21/136, 15.4%);
- Cerro at home most often finish with: 0-1, 1-0 (3/8, 37.5%);
- Peñarol’s most frequent away result: 0-2 (3/6, 50%).
Based on statistical analysis and probability distribution, the algorithm projects the top three likely outcomes:
0-1 - 18.81% (odds: 5)
0-0 - 11.87% (odds: 16.5)
0-2 - 11.02% (odds: 5.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Recent weeks have painted a clear picture: Cerro are struggling, and it shows in their performances. The team finds it difficult to create scoring opportunities and often come up short even against mid-table sides. Their defensive issues are particularly glaring at home, where Cerro consistently concede more than one goal per game, highlighting problems with their defensive organization. In stark contrast, Peñarol are trending in the opposite direction. They make the most of their chances on the road and look solid at the back, especially when facing teams with limited attacking threat. This disparity in form and results is hard to ignore. Backing an away win looks like a well-founded prediction. A 0-2 scoreline is on the cards.
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Will this prediction come true?
Betting Tips: Cerro - Penarol Montevideo
in 6 of last 7 games against Penarol Montevideo (Primera Division).
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
