Penarol vs Cerro Prediction

    🔥 In the upcoming match, Peñarol host Cerro. Both teams have shown varied results in their recent outings. Peñarol display strong performances at home, frequently scoring over 1.5 goals, as evidenced by their recent results. Meanwhile, Cerro struggle for consistency, still searching for their form after a string of disappointing performances. Read the prediction for this clash below.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams ended with a 2-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (home team - Cerro):

    • possession percentage: 33% vs 67%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 6;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 7.

    📊Analytical review of previous official matches between Peñarol and Cerro:

    • a total of 33 matches played;
    • home victories - 20, away victories - 5, draws - 8;
    • goals scored (home/away) - 62 to 24;
    • average total goals per match - 2.61.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    62%
    21 Wins
    24%
    8 Draws
    15%
    5 Wins
    Total games
    34
    Total Goals Avg
    2.65
    Both teams scored
    53%
    1.91
    Total average
    0.74
    1.76
    Yellow cards
    2
    Last matches
    21.03.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1
    -
    -
    7
    2
    -
    -
    3
    7
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    2
    -
    -
    3
    7
    25.10.25
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    4
    6
    -
    -
    2
    7
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    -
    -
    2
    7
    28.06.25
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    7
    4
    0
    0
    2
    4
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    0
    0
    2
    4
    27.04.25
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    1
    1
    -
    -
    0
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    1
    1
    -
    -
    0
    3
    22.09.24
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    2
    0
    5
    0
    2
    0
    3
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    2
    Empty
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    Penarol Montevideo Team Overview

    The most recent official match took place in the Primera tournament, with Albion hosting Penarol. The match concluded with a 0-1 scoreline.

    Here are the game statistics (Penarol vs Albion):

    • possession percentage: 67% vs 33%;
    • corners: 8 vs 3;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 3.

    Peñarol are on a roll right now: the team have won 4 of their last 5 matches, with one ending in a draw. Their attacking line is particularly effective at home, consistently scoring over 1.5 goals in nearly every match. In their last ten encounters, they average 1.2 goals per game, highlighting their strong offensive form and tactical flexibility.

    Match Results: Penarol Montevideo

    Last matches
    01.06.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    3
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    3
    2
    L
    28.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Independiente Santa Fe
    Independiente Santa Fe
    1
    0.39
    9
    2
    9
    21
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.39
    9
    2
    9
    21
    2
    2
    L
    24.05.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    3
    4
    W
    22.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    0.68
    2.45
    3
    5
    5
    6
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.68
    2.45
    3
    5
    5
    6
    0
    0
    D
    16.05.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    W
    Empty
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    Cerro Team Overview

    The visiting team played their last official match in the Primera tournament against Cerro. The match concluded with a 0-1 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Cerro vs Progreso):

    • Possession: 45% vs 55%;
    • Corners: 2 vs 5;
    • Yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
    • Shots on target: 4 vs 4.

    Cerro are going through a tough stretch, with only one win in their last ten games and four consecutive defeats in their last five outings, highlighting issues in defense and a lack of finishing in attack. The team struggles both at home and away, conceding roughly one goal per match.

    Match Results: Cerro

    Last matches
    29.05.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    1
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    1
    3
    L
    24.05.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    4
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    4
    0
    W
    16.05.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    7
    3
    -
    -
    2
    3
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    3
    -
    -
    2
    3
    L
    10.05.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    1
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    1
    3
    L
    02.05.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    -
    -
    1
    11
    -
    -
    3
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    11
    -
    -
    3
    3
    L
    Empty
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 33;
    • home team wins - 20, away team wins - 5, draws - 8.
    Trends
    • Penarol Montevideo have won in 15 of last 17 home games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Penarol Montevideo Win(odds: 1.41)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • the home team scores on average - 1.88, the guests - 0.73;
    • average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.61;
    • both teams scored: overall - 17; at the home team's field - 10.
    Trends
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in last 19 Penarol Montevideo games against Cerro (Primera Division).
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in last 10 Penarol Montevideo home games against Cerro (Primera Division).
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Penarol Montevideo home games.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (1.5)(odds: 1.36)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 33;
    • both teams scored all-time - 17 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 10 times.
    Trends
    • Penarol Montevideo have scored and conceded in last 5 home games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 2.7)

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    Considering the current form of the teams and statistical trends, the most likely outcome is under 2.5 goals. Although Peñarol often scores more than 1.5 goals at home, their overall scoring rate falls below the average in the Primera against defensively solid teams like Cerro. Taking into account the visitors' trend of low totals and their weak attack, betting on the under seems like a reasonable prediction.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2.5) at odds of -167*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (20 March 2026, 12:35)

    Betting Tips: Penarol Montevideo - Cerro

    Penarol Montevideo have won the 2nd half
    ca-penarolin 16 of last 17 home games (Primera Division).
    ca-penarolin 15 of last 17 home games.
    2nd Half Penarol Montevideo Win
    Everygame
    -175
    Penarol Montevideo have won
    ca-penarolin 15 of last 17 home games (Primera Division).
    Penarol Montevideo Win
    Bovada
    -400
    Cerro have drawn in the 1st half
    ca-cerroin 8 of last 9 games.
    ca-cerroin 7 of last 8 games (Primera Division).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +135
    Penarol Montevideo have not lost
    ca-penarolca-cerroin 12 of last 13 games against Cerro (Primera Division).
    ca-penarolca-cerroin last 6 home games against Cerro (Primera Division).
    ca-penarolin last 21 home games.
    ca-penarolin last 17 home games (Primera Division).
    ca-penarolin 9 of last 10 games.
    Cerro have not won
    ca-cerroin 15 of last 17 away games (Primera Division).
    ca-cerroin last 9 games.
    ca-cerroin last 8 games (Primera Division).
    Penarol Montevideo will not lose
    Everygame
    -2500
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 10
    Conceded - 11
    -1
    -13
    6 - Scored
    19 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    2
    3
    Draws
    2
    4
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    10
    Scored
    6
    11
    Conceded
    19
    2.1
    Match goals average
    2.5
    1
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.6
    1.1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.9
    5
    Both teams scored
    4
    90'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    150'
    View all stats