Penarol vs Cerro Prediction
🔥 In the upcoming match, Peñarol host Cerro. Both teams have shown varied results in their recent outings. Peñarol display strong performances at home, frequently scoring over 1.5 goals, as evidenced by their recent results. Meanwhile, Cerro struggle for consistency, still searching for their form after a string of disappointing performances. Read the prediction for this clash below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a 2-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (home team - Cerro):
- possession percentage: 33% vs 67%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 7.
📊Analytical review of previous official matches between Peñarol and Cerro:
- a total of 33 matches played;
- home victories - 20, away victories - 5, draws - 8;
- goals scored (home/away) - 62 to 24;
- average total goals per match - 2.61.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Penarol Montevideo Team Overview
The most recent official match took place in the Primera tournament, with Albion hosting Penarol. The match concluded with a 0-1 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Penarol vs Albion):
- possession percentage: 67% vs 33%;
- corners: 8 vs 3;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
Peñarol are on a roll right now: the team have won 4 of their last 5 matches, with one ending in a draw. Their attacking line is particularly effective at home, consistently scoring over 1.5 goals in nearly every match. In their last ten encounters, they average 1.2 goals per game, highlighting their strong offensive form and tactical flexibility.
Match Results: Penarol Montevideo

Cerro Team Overview
The visiting team played their last official match in the Primera tournament against Cerro. The match concluded with a 0-1 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Cerro vs Progreso):
- Possession: 45% vs 55%;
- Corners: 2 vs 5;
- Yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 4.
Cerro are going through a tough stretch, with only one win in their last ten games and four consecutive defeats in their last five outings, highlighting issues in defense and a lack of finishing in attack. The team struggles both at home and away, conceding roughly one goal per match.
Match Results: Cerro
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 33;
- home team wins - 20, away team wins - 5, draws - 8.
- Penarol Montevideo have won in 15 of last 17 home games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 1.88, the guests - 0.73;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.61;
- both teams scored: overall - 17; at the home team's field - 10.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 19 Penarol Montevideo games against Cerro (Primera Division).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 10 Penarol Montevideo home games against Cerro (Primera Division).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Penarol Montevideo home games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 33;
- both teams scored all-time - 17 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
- Penarol Montevideo have scored and conceded in last 5 home games (Primera Division).
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Considering the current form of the teams and statistical trends, the most likely outcome is under 2.5 goals. Although Peñarol often scores more than 1.5 goals at home, their overall scoring rate falls below the average in the Primera against defensively solid teams like Cerro. Taking into account the visitors' trend of low totals and their weak attack, betting on the under seems like a reasonable prediction.