Juventud LP vs Cerro Prediction 27 September 2026

Details
Key points

    🔊 Juventud de las Piedras and Cerro go into the eighth round with clear ambitions in the table: both sides are pushing for high positions and have no intention of easing up. In that context, recent form and home and away tendencies become particularly relevant. Neither team has been especially prolific during the championship, and their recent meetings have often been closely contested.

    Head-to-Head History: Dead Even with No Clear Favorite

    📊 In official meetings between Juventud de las Piedras and Cerro, 26 matches have been played. The hosts have won 8, the visitors 9, with 9 draws. Both sides have scored 39 goals each, averaging 3 goals per game.

    Head-to-head statistics Juventud LP - Cerro

    31%
    8 Wins
    35%
    9 Draws
    35%
    9 Wins
    Total games
    26
    Total Goals Avg
    3
    Both teams scored
    73%
    1.5
    Total average
    1.5
    Last matches
    25.03.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    -
    -
    6
    6
    -
    -
    4
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    6
    -
    -
    4
    3
    31.08.25
    Primera Division
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1
    -
    -
    4
    1
    -
    -
    1
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    1
    -
    -
    1
    3
    08.03.25
    Primera Division
    CA Cerro
    CA Cerro
    CA Juventud de Las Piedras
    CA Juventud de Las Piedras
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    25.08.22
    Segunda Division
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    29.05.22
    Segunda Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
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    Juventud de Las Piedras: Defense steps up, attack struggles

    Juventud de las Piedras have had an inconsistent season - in their last five matches they have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats. Over the last ten matches, though, they look stronger than their opponents: five wins against two defeats and three draws, with an average of just 0.9 goals conceded per game over that period. Their attacking output is limited overall, however: their season average is 1.21 goals scored per match, and just 1.4 per match over the last ten games. The defence has improved noticeably in recent matches, but the attacking potential remains moderate even against weaker opposition.

    Match Results: Juventud de Las Piedras

    Last matches
    20.09.26
    Primera Division
    Albion
    Albion
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    1
    2
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    1
    2
    W
    17.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    -
    -
    8
    2
    9
    9
    2
    3
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    2
    9
    9
    2
    3
    W
    13.09.26
    Primera Division
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Danubio
    Danubio
    -
    -
    5
    8
    -
    -
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    8
    -
    -
    1
    2
    D
    06.09.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    0
    5
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    0
    5
    D
    02.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    -
    -
    1
    1
    8
    14
    2
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    1
    1
    8
    14
    2
    2
    L
    Empty
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    Cerro are creating chances, but they're failing to convert them.

    Cerro have lost four of their last five matches, despite managing to win one of those games. Over their last ten matches, they have four wins, four defeats and two draws; their attack has been inconsistent - just 1.1 goals per game over that run, while their season average drops to 0.78 goals per match, the lowest in the tournament. Cerro's problems are primarily up front: even when they do create chances, their finishing leaves a lot to be desired.

    Match Results: Cerro

    Last matches
    23.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    -
    -
    4
    4
    10
    14
    2
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    4
    4
    10
    14
    2
    1
    L
    19.09.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    3
    2
    -
    -
    3
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    -
    -
    3
    1
    L
    13.09.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    6
    0
    -
    -
    2
    3
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    0
    -
    -
    2
    3
    W
    10.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Cerrito
    Cerrito
    -
    -
    5
    3
    11
    16
    4
    4
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    3
    11
    16
    4
    4
    L
    06.09.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    -
    -
    4
    9
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    9
    -
    -
    2
    2
    W
    Empty
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    Total Goals Prediction

    In 11 of the last 12 head-to-head meetings at Juventud de las Piedras' ground, at least 2 goals were scored. The hosts have averaged 1.4 goals per game in their last 10 matches, while Cerro have conceded an average of 1.44 goals per match this season. This supports a bet on Total Goals - Over 1.5 at odds of 1.34*.

    Risky Bet

    Juventud de Las Piedras have been fairly productive in front of goal recently, averaging 1.4 goals per match, while Cerro concede 2.14 goals per game away from home this season. Historically, though, Cerro have often managed to keep the scoreline respectable in head-to-head meetings. Despite the risks involved, Juventud de Las Piedras Handicap -1 is available at 2.35*.

    Reliable Bet

    Juventud de las Piedras have scored in 12 consecutive home head-to-head matches against Cerro. This is backed up by their average of 1.4 goals per game in their recent home matches. Given such a consistent trend, the Home Team Total Goals - Over 0.5 is priced at 1.20*.

    Correct Score Prediction

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-0 (13.65%), 1-1 (12.18%) and 2-0 (9.97%). The highest probability belongs to a narrow home win. The gap between the first and second most likely outcomes is not particularly large, which reflects a moderately cautious scenario for the match.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    Head-to-head trends point to Juventud de las Piedras regularly struggling to score more than one goal against Cerro: the hosts have failed to score more than once in five consecutive matches against this particular opponent. The corners trend shows that Cerro have had fewer than 3.5 corners in 11 consecutive away matches. The home side have shown a solid defence towards the end of the season, while their attacking output has been below the level you would typically expect from the favourites in this tie. The visitors have struggled for goals away from home for almost the entire season and rarely force opponents to open up in a way that produces a high total. On that basis, we expect a tight, congested match with a lot of play through the middle. Our prediction: Cerro Team Corners - Under 3.5.
    Corners - Cerro Total Under (3,5)
    Odds-156
    Published: 25/09/2026, 09:37
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Football expert
    162
    14
    118
    294 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Juventud de Las Piedras - Cerro

    Juventud de Las Piedras have not lost:
    juventud-de-lpca-cerroin 12 of last 13 home games against Cerro.
    juventud-de-lpca-cerroin 9 of last 10 home games against Cerro (Primera Division).
    juventud-de-lpin 8 of last 9 games (Primera Division).
    juventud-de-lpin 7 of last 8 games.
    Juventud de Las Piedras will not lose
    Everygame
    -526
    Juventud de Las Piedras have conceded:
    juventud-de-lpca-cerroin 22 of last 24 games against Cerro.
    juventud-de-lpca-cerroin 18 of last 19 games against Cerro (Primera Division).
    juventud-de-lpca-cerroin 11 of last 12 home games against Cerro.
    juventud-de-lpca-cerroin 8 of last 9 home games against Cerro (Primera Division).
    Cerro have scored:
    ca-cerroin 9 of last 10 games (Primera Division).
    Cerro will score goal
    -137
    Juventud de Las Piedras have scored:
    juventud-de-lpca-cerroin last 12 home games against Cerro.
    juventud-de-lpca-cerroin last 9 home games against Cerro (Primera Division).
    juventud-de-lpca-cerroin 8 of last 9 games against Cerro.
    juventud-de-lpin 19 of last 21 games (Primera Division).
    juventud-de-lpin 14 of last 15 home games.
    juventud-de-lpin 9 of last 10 home games (Primera Division).
    Cerro have conceded:
    ca-cerroin 16 of last 17 away games.
    ca-cerroin 15 of last 16 away games (Primera Division).
    ca-cerroin 8 of last 9 games.
    Juventud de Las Piedras will score goal
    -500
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    juventud-de-lpca-cerroin 11 of last 12 Juventud de Las Piedras home games against Cerro.
    juventud-de-lpca-cerroin 8 of last 9 Juventud de Las Piedras home games against Cerro (Primera Division).
    juventud-de-lpin 7 of last 8 Juventud de Las Piedras home games (Primera Division).
    juventud-de-lpin last 6 Juventud de Las Piedras games.
    ca-cerroin 13 of last 14 Cerro away games.
    ca-cerroin 12 of last 13 Cerro away games (Primera Division).
    ca-cerroin 8 of last 9 Cerro games.
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -250
    View more facts

    Juventud LP - Cerro Table position

    Primera Division 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    12.
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    1552816-1917
    13.
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1552814-2017
    14.
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    1543817-2215
    15.
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1524912-2310
    16.
    Cerro
    Cerro
    152498-2410

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 9
    +5
    -3
    11 - Scored
    14 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    4
    3
    Draws
    2
    2
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    11
    9
    Conceded
    14
    2.3
    Match goals average
    2.5
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.4
    4
    Both teams scored
    6
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    82'
    View all stats