Cerro vs Penarol Prediction

    🔅 The upcoming clash between Cerro and Peñarol showcases teams with contrasting ambitions and form. Cerro, currently sitting in 12th place, are eager to climb the standings as the season draws to a close. Meanwhile, Peñarol hold a strong grip on 4th place, continuing their push for the top spots. Both sides have been putting in decent performances: Cerro focus on a defensive approach, while Peñarol are known for their attacking play, often delighting fans with goals. Read on for the prediction of this encounter below.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official clash between the teams ended with a 2-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Peñarol were the hosts):

    • possession percentage: 61% vs 39%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 1.

    📊Analytical review of previous official matches between Cerro and Peñarol:

    • 32 matches played;
    • home wins - 4, away wins - 20, draws - 8;
    • goals scored (home/away) - 22 to 62;
    • average total goals per match - 2.63.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    15%
    5 Wins
    24%
    8 Draws
    62%
    21 Wins
    Total games
    34
    Total Goals Avg
    2.65
    Both teams scored
    53%
    0.74
    Total average
    1.91
    2
    Yellow cards
    1.76
    Last matches
    21.03.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1
    -
    -
    7
    2
    -
    -
    3
    7
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    2
    -
    -
    3
    7
    25.10.25
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    4
    6
    -
    -
    2
    7
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    -
    -
    2
    7
    28.06.25
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    7
    4
    0
    0
    2
    4
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    0
    0
    2
    4
    27.04.25
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    1
    1
    -
    -
    0
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    1
    1
    -
    -
    0
    3
    22.09.24
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    2
    0
    5
    0
    2
    0
    3
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Cerro Team Overview

    The team's latest official match took place in the Primera tournament, with Montevideo City as the home side and Cerro as the visitors. The match concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.

    The game statistics were as follows (Cerro vs Montevideo City):

    • possession: 45% vs 55%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 3;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 2.

    Cerro find themselves mid-table with a record that can't be described as remarkable: 11 wins against 13 losses this season. However, winning four of their last five matches indicates they are in good form. Despite this, their inconsistent play throughout the season raises concerns about the reliability of their defense, which concedes an average of 1.18 goals per match. The "Cyclones" enjoy controlling possession and launching quick counterattacks, though they sometimes lack precision in the final third.

    Match Results: Cerro

    Last matches
    29.05.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    1
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    1
    3
    L
    24.05.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    4
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    4
    0
    W
    16.05.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    7
    3
    -
    -
    2
    3
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    3
    -
    -
    2
    3
    L
    10.05.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    1
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    1
    3
    L
    02.05.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    -
    -
    1
    11
    -
    -
    3
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    11
    -
    -
    3
    3
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Penarol Montevideo Team Overview

    The visitors recently played their last official match in the Primera tournament, with Peñarol hosting Montevideo Wanderers. The match concluded with a 3-0 victory.

    Here's the match statistics (Peñarol vs Montevideo Wanderers):

    • possession: 62% vs 38%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 8 vs 0.

    Peñarol are in impressive form, riding a four-game winning streak and an unbeaten run of ten matches (8 wins, 2 draws). The team averages more than two goals per game, thanks to their aggressive play and efficient finishing. "Carboneros" consistently deliver strong performances both at home and away - their most recent clash with Cerro ended in a 2-0 victory for Peñarol. The visitors have every chance to extend their successful streak, backed by their formidable attack.

    Match Results: Penarol Montevideo

    Last matches
    01.06.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    3
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    3
    2
    L
    28.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Independiente Santa Fe
    Independiente Santa Fe
    1
    0.39
    9
    2
    9
    21
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.39
    9
    2
    9
    21
    2
    2
    L
    24.05.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    3
    4
    W
    22.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    0.68
    2.45
    3
    5
    5
    6
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.68
    2.45
    3
    5
    5
    6
    0
    0
    D
    16.05.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    First Half Statistics: Cerro (Home) vs Penarol Montevideo (Away)

    • Number of matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 15;
    • Number of wins: 5 (31.25%) vs 5 (33.33%);
    • Number of losses: 3 (18.75%) vs 3 (20%);
    • Number of draws: 8 (50%) vs 7 (46.67%);
    • Average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.07;
    • Average total goals conceded: 0.44 vs 0.47.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 4 vs 1;
    • Number of losses: 3 vs 3;
    • Number of draws: 3 vs 6;
    • Average first half total: 1.5 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.8) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.7).
    Trends
    • Cerro have lost the 1st half in 6 of last 7 home games against Penarol Montevideo (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Penarol Montevideo Win(odds: 1.8)

    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Total encounters - 32;
    • Home wins - 4, Away wins - 20, Draws - 8.
    Trends
    • Cerro have covered a +1.5 handicap in 15 of their last 16 home matches (Primera).
    👉Prediction: Cerro Handicap (+1.5) (odds: 1.72)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • The home side averages - 0.69 goals, the visitors - 1.94;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.63;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 17 times; at the home ground - 5 times.

    Statistics: Cerro vs Peñarol

    • Average tournament total: 2.09 vs 2.62;
    • Average goals scored: 0.91 vs 1.74;
    • Average first-half total: 0.48 vs 0.65;
    • Average second-half total: 0.42 vs 1.09;
    • Cerro: average home total in the tournament - 1;
    • Peñarol: average away total in the tournament - 1.47;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1) vs 2 (away - 2.2).
    Trends
    • Peñarol have scored over 1.5 goals in six consecutive matches.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (2.5) (odds: 1.54)

    Cards Prediction

    Head-to-Head

    • Average yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.68 (1.84 for the home team and 1.84 for the visitors);
    • Average yellow cards at the home ground - 3.08 (1.5 for the home team and 1.58 for the visitors).

    Cerro: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 3.21; at home - 3.13;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 3.5; at home - 3.25.

    Peñarol: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 2.06, away - 2.53;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.1; away - 2.8.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (5.5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Total encounters - 32;
    • Both teams scored overall - 17 times;
    • At the home ground - 5 times.
    Trends
    • Peñarol have both scored and conceded in six of their last seven away matches (Primera).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 2.38)

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    Taking into account the current form and statistics, Peñarol appear to be the favorites in this matchup. The team sits 4th in the standings, boasting an impressive ten-match unbeaten streak. Their aggressive playstyle is paying off, with an average of 2 goals per game. The "Carboneros" also tend to go over 1.5 total goals, underscoring their attacking potential. On the other hand, Cerro display inconsistent results with occasional wins and losses, yet at home, they rarely suffer heavy defeats and often find the net. Therefore, betting on both teams to score seems quite reasonable. A 1-2 scoreline is possible.

    Our choice
    Both Teams To Score (Yes) at odds of +138*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (24 October 2025, 10:28)

    Betting Tips: Cerro - Penarol Montevideo

    Cerro have lost the 2nd half
    ca-cerroca-penarolin 6 of last 7 home games against Penarol Montevideo (Primera Division).
    ca-cerroca-penarolin last 5 games against Penarol Montevideo (Primera Division).
    Penarol Montevideo have won the 2nd half
    ca-penarolin last 13 games.
    ca-penarolin last 9 games (Primera Division).
    2nd Half Penarol Montevideo Win
    Everygame
    -143
    Cerro have lost the 1st half
    ca-cerroca-penarolin 6 of last 7 home games against Penarol Montevideo (Primera Division).
    1st Half Penarol Montevideo Win
    Bovada
    -114
    Penarol Montevideo have won
    ca-penarolin 6 of last 7 games.
    Penarol Montevideo Win
    Bovada
    -278
    Cerro have not won
    ca-cerroca-penarolin 13 of last 14 home games against Penarol Montevideo (Primera Division).
    ca-cerroca-penarolin last 12 games against Penarol Montevideo (Primera Division).
    Penarol Montevideo have not lost
    ca-penarolin 14 of last 15 games (Primera Division).
    ca-penarolin last 13 games.
    Penarol Montevideo will not lose
    Everygame
    -1429
    View more facts

    Cerro - Penarol Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    3.
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    1593323-1530
    4.
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1583421-1727
    5.
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    1573517-1224
    11.
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1536617-2715
    12.
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1536613-2014
    13.
    Danubio
    Danubio
    1519512-1712

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 6
    Conceded - 19
    -13
    -1
    10 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    3
    2
    Draws
    3
    6
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    6
    Scored
    10
    19
    Conceded
    11
    2.5
    Match goals average
    2.1
    0.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    1
    1.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    4
    Both teams scored
    5
    150'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    90'
    View all stats