Fluminense vs Gremio Prediction 28 January 2026
🔊 The opening round of Serie A presents a clash between two ambitious teams: Fluminense and Grêmio. Fluminense finished high last season, though they fell short of the title. Grêmio ended the campaign in the top half of the table, but their results were inconsistent. Last year, the "Tricolors of Rio" won both encounters against the "Immortal Tricolors." Since December, the visitors have appointed a new head coach, so we'll be closely monitoring either the progress or regression of the Porto Alegre club.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 03 December 2025 and ended with a score of 1-2. Here's a comparative analysis of that encounter (Grêmio were the home side):
- possession percentage: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 0;
- fouls: 13 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Fluminense and Gremio:
- 46 matches played;
- home wins - 10, away wins - 24, draws - 12;
- goals scored - 41 for Fluminense, 65 for Gremio;
- average total in the first half - 1.07, second half - 1.24;
- average total goals per match - 2.3.
Head-to-head statistics Fluminense - Gremio
Fluminense Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Carioca League, featuring Fluminense as the home side against Flamengo. The match concluded with a 2-1 victory.
Here's a breakdown of the game statistics (Fluminense vs Flamengo):
- possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corners: 5 vs 6;
- fouls: 22 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
🔴 The "Tricolors of Rio" wrapped up last season in fifth place, clinching a spot with a final-round victory over Bahia (2-0). This result secured Luis Zubeldía's side a direct berth into the group stage of the Copa Libertadores. Fluminense also reached the semifinals of the national cup but were knocked out by Vasco da Gama after a penalty shootout. In the Copa Sudamericana, they exited in the quarterfinals, falling to the eventual champions, Lanús. In the summer of 2025, Fluminense surprised everyone with their performance at the Club World Cup, advancing to the semifinals before losing to another future champion, Chelsea. This season, the Tricolors of Rio are likely setting their sights on multiple titles, or perhaps just the coveted league championship, which they haven't won since 2012.
Match Results: Fluminense
Gremio Team Overview
The last official match for the visitors took place on in the Campeonato Gaúcho, with Internacional hosting Grêmio. The match concluded with a 4-2 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Grêmio vs Internacional):
- possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 6;
- fouls: 16 vs 24;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 9.
🔵 Grêmio can't boast similar results, which is why they decided to change their head coach. The "Immortal Tricolors" finished ninth last season, prompting the management to part ways with Mano Menezes. On December 12, Luís Castro took over the reins, having previously managed the Emirati club Al-Wasl. Grêmio will once again compete in the Copa Sudamericana, from which they were eliminated in the round of 16 last season. It's unlikely that Castro is tasked with securing a Copa Libertadores spot in his first season. More realistically, his goal will be to stabilize a team whose performances fluctuated significantly from match to match last season.
Match Results: Gremio
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 46;
- Home team wins - 10, Away team wins - 24, Draws - 12.
Statistics: Fluminense vs Grêmio
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 6 vs 6;
- Losses: 3 vs 4;
- Draws: 1 vs 0.
- Fluminense have won 12 consecutive home games.
- Fluminense have won 9 consecutive home games (Serie A).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average goals scored by the home team - 0.89, by the away team - 1.41;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.3;
- Both teams have scored: all-time - 20 times; at the home team's venue - 10 times.
- Over 1.5 goals have occurred in 12 of Grêmio's last 13 away matches.
- Over 1.5 goals have occurred in 10 of Grêmio's last 11 matches (Serie A).
- Over 1.5 goals have occurred in 9 of Grêmio's last 10 away matches (Serie A).
Corners Prediction
Trends- Grêmio have registered more than 3.5 corners in 10 of their last 11 matches (Serie A).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 46;
- Both teams have scored all-time - 20 times;
- At the home team's venue - 10 times.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Fluminense are showcasing consistent home form and a solid defense, while Gremio enter this match with uncertainties under a new coach. Considering Fluminense's home game statistics-having won 12 consecutive matches at home-a bet on their victory seems promising. Playing at the Maracanã is never easy for visitors.
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Betting Tips: Fluminense - Gremio
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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