Gremio vs Fluminense Prediction 3 December 2025
🔊 Grêmio are set to host Fluminense in the 37th round of Serie A. Currently sitting in 10th place, Grêmio aim to solidify their mid-table position, while Fluminense are in the hunt for a top-5 finish to secure direct qualification to the Copa Libertadores group stage. The hosts have been inconsistent, alternating between wins and losses, but they benefit from strong home support. Conversely, the visitors have been impressive on the road, boasting a solid defense and a high points-percentage.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 03 August 2025 and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match's statistics (Fluminense were the home side):
- possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 1 vs 0.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Grêmio and Fluminense:
- 45 matches played;
- home team victories - 24, away team victories - 9, draws - 12;
- goals scored - 64 for Grêmio, 39 for Fluminense;
- average total goals in the first half - 1.07, in the second half - 1.22;
- average total goals per match - 2.29.
Head-to-head statistics Gremio - Fluminense
Gremio Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on during the 36th round of Serie A, with Grêmio hosting Palmeiras. The game concluded with a 3-2 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Grêmio vs Palmeiras):
- possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 9 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 10 vs 6.
🔵 Gremio currently sit in 10th place with 46 points, yet Mano Menezes' side isn't entirely safe from relegation, as they hold just a five-point cushion above 17th place. The "Immortal Tricolor" secured a crucial home victory against one of the title contenders, Palmeiras, disrupting the "Green and White's" plans with a 3-2 win. The best Gremio can aim for in their remaining matches against Fluminense and Sport Recife is eighth place. However, their main focus is on securing a top-13 finish to qualify for the Copa Sudamericana. In the first round, Gremio narrowly lost to Fluminense at the Maracana (0-1), which adds extra motivation to claim points on their home turf.
Match Results: Gremio
Fluminense Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on during the 36th round of Serie A (Fluminense as the home team, São Paulo as the visitors). The match ended with a scoreline of 6-0.
Here are the game statistics (Fluminense vs São Paulo):
- possession percentage: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 8 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 11 vs 1.
🔴 Fluminense currently sit in sixth place and have gone five matches unbeaten. Leo Subeldía's side delivered a stunning performance last round, thrashing São Paulo at the Maracanã with a 6-0 victory. Prior to that, they navigated a series of tough encounters against all the Serie A leaders: defeating Mirassol (1-0) and Flamengo (2-1), while also securing draws with Cruzeiro (0-0) and Palmeiras (0-0). The "Tricolor Carioca" have amassed 58 points and will aim to extend their unbeaten streak in the remaining fixtures against Grêmio and Bahia, striving to secure maximum points. They hope that fifth-placed Botafogo will slip up, allowing Fluminense to break into the top five, which grants direct entry into the Copa Libertadores group stage.
Match Results: Fluminense
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 45;
- Home victories - 24, Away wins - 9, Draws - 12.
Statistics: Gremio vs Fluminense
- Matches played in the tournament: 36 vs 36;
- Wins: 12 vs 17;
- Win percentage: 33% vs 47%;
- Losses: 14 vs 12;
- Draws: 10 vs 7.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 4 vs 6;
- Losses: 5 vs 2;
- Draws: 1 vs 2.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's home side averages - 1.42 goals, visitors - 0.87;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.29;
- Both teams scored: overall - 19 times; at home ground - 9 times.
Statistics: Gremio vs Fluminense
- Average total in the tournament: 2.5 vs 2.33;
- Average goals scored: 1.17 vs 1.28;
- Average total in the first half: 0.53 vs 0.53;
- Average total in the second half: 0.64 vs 0.75;
- Gremio's average home total in the tournament - 1.28;
- Fluminense's average away total in the tournament - 0.94;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 2) vs 1.2 (away - 0).
- Gremio have scored in 13 of their last 14 head-to-head meetings with this team.
- Gremio have scored in 11 of their last 12 head-to-head Serie A meetings with this team.
- Gremio have scored at home in 8 of their last 9 head-to-head meetings with this team.
Corners Prediction
Gremio: Statistics
- Season: Average total in the tournament - 3.86; at home - 4;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 4.6; at home - 5.
Fluminense: Statistics
- Season: Average total in the tournament - 4.53, away - 3.67;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 4.9; away - 4.
- Gremio have delivered over 4.5 corners at home in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head Serie A meetings with this team.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.52 (1.76 for the home side and 1.76 for visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at home ground - 3.82 (1.59 for the home side and 2.23 for visitors).
Gremio: Statistics
- Season: Average total in the tournament - 2.86; at home - 2.67;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 3.1; at home - 2.8.
Fluminense: Statistics
- Season: Average total in the tournament - 2.14, away - 2.28;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 2.4; away - 1.75.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 45;
- Both teams scored overall - 19 times;
- At the home ground - 9 times.
Statistics: Gremio vs Fluminense
- Total matches played in the tournament: 36 vs 36;
- Total BTTS matches in the season: Gremio - 20, Fluminense - 14;
- Gremio's BTTS at home - 9 (50%);
- Fluminense's BTTS away - 7 (39%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: Gremio - 4, Fluminense - 1;
- Gremio's BTTS at home - 2 (40%);
- Fluminense's BTTS away - 0 (0%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
These two clubs approach their head-to-head clash with fundamentally different objectives but an equal hunger for points. Grêmio find themselves teetering on the edge of comfort: sitting in 10th place with just a five-point cushion above the relegation zone. Their home ground is their last stronghold: it's where they must seize every opportunity to solidify their position. Their victory over Palmeiras showed they can shift into high gear against strong opponents. However, consistency remains elusive as wins alternate with losses.
Fluminense, on the other hand, are in fine form. Occupying sixth place and riding a five-match unbeaten streak, they carry solid momentum. Particularly impressive was their recent performance, showcasing maturity against top-tier opponents. Their goal is clear: break into the top five and secure a spot in the Copa Libertadores.
The history between these teams adds intrigue: in the first round, Fluminense narrowly edged out Grêmio (1-0). The visitors are slight favorites, but underestimating the hosts would be unwise. The "Tricolor Carioca" defense is reliable, yet they often temper their attacking flair on the road-scoring less than 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 away matches. Furthermore, in 16 of the last 17 head-to-head encounters, Fluminense have also failed to surpass the 1.5 goal mark away from home. We anticipate a tense match with fierce competition and restrained scoring from the visitors. Our prediction: Fluminense's individual total under 1.5 goals.
No comments
Betting Tips: Gremio - Fluminense
in last 5 home games against Fluminense.
in 7 of last 8 games (Serie A).in 8 of last 9 games against Fluminense (Serie A).in 11 of last 12 away games (Serie A).in 10 of last 11 away games.in 16 of last 17 away games against Gremio.in 9 of last 10 away games.in last 5 away games (Serie A).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
