Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 27 October 2026
🔉 DFB-Pokal brings Borussia and Werder together three weeks after Bremen came from behind to draw in Dortmund, scoring twice late on. Since then Borussia have struggled to find any rhythm: a draw with Union, a defeat to Bodø/Glimt, and hard-fought wins over Sabah and Eintracht. Kovač also has one eye on the weekend trip to Bayern, while Werder arrive in Dortmund unbeaten in six matches and without fear.
Head-to-Head
📊 Across 42 meetings in total, Borussia have won 23, there have been 9 draws, and Werder have won 10. The average total is 3.5 goals per game, and that is no coincidence: both sides prefer attacking football and rarely sit back against each other. Borussia have not lost to Werder in their last eight head-to-head meetings, but three weeks ago Bremen showed they can take points from Dortmund - that 2-2 draw was secured in the final minutes, and the hosts will not have an easy ride.
Head-to-head statistics Dortmund - Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund: Possession Without End Product
Since the international break, Dortmund have looked like a side that knows what to do with the ball but has forgotten how to turn possession into shots. Only against Sabah did things go relatively smoothly; in their other matches they have either struggled until the final minutes or had to settle for goalless draws. Against Eintracht, despite territorial dominance, they managed just 1.54 xG, with the goal coming in the 80th minute.
At home, Borussia remain a serious force: four wins and a draw in their last five matches at Signal Iduna Park, with 11 goals scored and four conceded. But Kovač will almost certainly rotate - Bayern are up next and resources are stretched thin. Adeyemi is set to start in the back three in place of the suspended Bensebaini. The question is whether a rotated side will have enough cutting edge to break down an organised Werder defence.
Match Results: Borussia Dortmund
Werder: unbeaten run continues, but key players are showing signs of fatigue
Werder go into this cup match in fine form: six games unbeaten, with three wins and three draws. In their last league fixture they beat Mainz 3-2, with Füllkrug scoring twice from the penalty spot. The striker has now scored in six consecutive Bundesliga matches and has eight league goals for the season, though he admitted after the game that he was tired. Tiuné will almost certainly rest him for the cup or bring him off the bench.
Werder have been consistent in attack, scoring at least two goals in each of their last four matches. Their defence, however, has been leaking - they have conceded in seven games in a row. Away from home Werder tend to play with an open approach, which against Borussia could leave space for Dortmund on the counter. Tiuné has already said that rotation is inevitable, as not everyone is ready to play every three days.
Match Results: Werder Bremen
Latest news
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia have injury problems in attack and midfield. Karetsas is still recovering from an ankle ligament injury sustained in the match against Union. Konstatelias and Gyan are out with ligament injuries, and Lerma is also unavailable. Bensebaini is suspended following a red card in the Super Cup, and he also has a painful thigh bruise - the defender can recover at his own pace while serving his ban. Prates and Albert have muscular problems and may not make the squad.
Werder Bremen
Werder have a lengthy injury list. Deman picked up a plantar tendon problem in the match against Mainz and was substituted at half-time - his participation is in doubt. Stark, Agu, Stage, Musa, Alvero, Ndiaye and Topp are all continuing their recoveries. Njinma has returned to partial training but is not yet ready for the Cup.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
No more than three bookings were shown in 3 of Werder's previous 4 away matches and in 4 of Borussia's last 5 home games. The last three head-to-head meetings have also produced no more than three cards. The pick is Total Yellow Cards - Under 3.5.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Borussia have scored after the break in 7 of their last 8 matches. At home in the second half, they have found the net in six consecutive matches against Werder. The pick is Borussia Dortmund to Score in the 2nd Half at 1.31*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
There have been at least 11 corners in each of Werder's last 9 away matches. Borussia have earned at least six corners at home in 6 of their last 7 matches. Both sides make active use of the flanks, and the high intensity of a cup match tends to generate set-piece situations. The pick is Total Corners - Over 10.5 at 1.87*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Borussia remain favourites at home, but rotation and a congested schedule are taking their toll. Kovač has one eye on Bayern, Karetsas is not fit, and Bensebaïni is suspended. Werder are in excellent form and Füllkrug is scoring, though he may be rested. Three weeks ago Bremen already came away from Dortmund with a draw, and the scenario could repeat itself: Borussia will press forward but may lack sharpness in the final third. The main bet for this match is Werder to win with a handicap (+1.5). Predicted score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen
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