Werder Bremen vs Dortmund Prediction
🔊 This is one of the few final-round fixtures where neither side has anything left to play for in terms of the standings. Werder will be eager to sign off the season in style in front of their home fans at the Weserstadion and seek revenge against Borussia Dortmund for their defeat in the reverse fixture. However, that’s easier said than done-Bremen haven’t managed a win over Dortmund in their last six head-to-head meetings. Daniel Thioune’s side have secured their Bundesliga status for next season, even though they dropped points more often than they celebrated victories throughout the campaign. Dortmund, meanwhile, once again fell short of mounting a serious title challenge to Bayern, but have comfortably maintained their status as the second force in German football. We expect an open contest here, and Dortmund certainly don’t look like a team ready to just play out the season.
Head-to-Head
📊 Borussia cruised to a comfortable win in the reverse fixture, with goals from Nico Schlotterbeck, Marcel Sabitzer, and Serhou Guirassy sealing a 3-0 result. Werder have now gone six games without a victory against Dortmund, managing just two draws and suffering four defeats. Bremen’s recent head-to-head form against Borussia remains a major concern.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Werder Bremen Team Overview
🟢 After Yukinari Sugawara was sent off early, Werder played with ten men for over 80 minutes against Hoffenheim, but ultimately fell 1-0, conceding in the first half. Despite suffering back-to-back defeats, the Bremen side have secured their Bundesliga status thanks to slip-ups from their rivals. At present, the team sit 15th in the table.
⚪ When Daniel Thioune replaced Horst Steffen as head coach in February, Werder were just a single point clear of the relegation play-off zone. Since his arrival, the team have managed to widen that gap and guarantee top-flight survival. However, a defeat on the final matchday could see this campaign go down as one of the club’s worst ever in terms of points collected.
🔗 German media and sources close to the club have noted that Daniel Thioune’s coaching staff were forced to reshuffle the backline from game to game throughout the spring due to a string of defensive injuries. Despite ongoing personnel issues, the atmosphere within the club remains calm following Bundesliga safety. The board has already spoken openly about an extensive squad overhaul this summer, while Thioune himself has underlined the need to refresh the team after a gruelling season.
Match Results: Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund Team Overview
🟡 In the previous round, Dortmund edged out Eintracht 3-2, with Samuel Inacio netting the decisive winner-his first-ever goal for Borussia. Serhou Guirassy and Nico Schlotterbeck also got on the scoresheet. That victory cemented Dortmund’s hold on second place in the table.
⚫ Niko Kovac has brought stability to Dortmund’s game, guiding them to 36 points in the first half of the season and 34 in the second. If they see off Werder, Borussia will finish the campaign on 73 points-their best tally since the 2018/19 season. The German media have highlighted how, under the Croatian manager, Borussia have become much more organized off the ball and consistently competitive against top-tier opponents.
🔗 Serhou Guirassy continues his stellar season with 16 goals to his name, but it’s Dortmund’s defenders who have truly stood out for their attacking contributions. Nico Schlotterbeck and Ramy Bensebaini have combined for 10 goals-the highest-scoring defensive duo in the Bundesliga. Julian Ryerson also deserves mention; the Norwegian has already provided 14 assists, trailing only Michael Olise in that category.
Match Results: Borussia Dortmund
Latest news
Werder Bremen
🏥 One of the main concerns remains the condition of Niklas Stark. The centre-back continues to play through chronic pain and is effectively following an individual training programme. Julian Malatini has also been ruled out for the remainder of the season. Amos Pieper and Maximilian Wöber have both struggled with fitness issues throughout the spring campaign as well.
❌ There are questions on the flanks, too. Felix Agu has been in and out of the squad due to recurring muscle injuries and ankle problems. In attack, Werder have lost a key option-Keke Topp suffered a torn ACL and has been sidelined for the rest of the season.
Borussia Dortmund
🏥 Borussia continue to grapple with personnel issues as the season draws to a close, particularly in defence and central midfield. The most significant blow remains the loss of club captain Emre Can, who suffered an ACL tear and faces a lengthy spell on the sidelines.
❌ Throughout the spring, Dortmund have repeatedly been hit by setbacks among their centre-backs. Niklas Süle has missed several fixtures due to muscle injuries, while Nico Schlotterbeck spent time recovering from a knock picked up in February. Filippo Mane and backup goalkeeper Patrick Drevés have also seen limited action this campaign.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Bastian Dankert has been appointed as the match referee in Bremen. In his last outing, the German official handed out four bookings, while his average over the past 10 fixtures stands at 2.8 cards per game. With little at stake in terms of league positions, it’s unlikely that either side will play overly aggressively. A solid pick here is under 3.5 yellow cards, a line that also held in the reverse fixture. Bookmakers currently offer odds of 1.34* for this outcome.
⚽ Goals Prediction
Given their superior quality, Borussia are expected to dictate play, but Dortmund have historically struggled to score more than twice at Weserstadion. With that in mind, the value lies in the visitors’ individual total under 2.5 goals. This bet has landed in seven of Niko Kovac’s last eight away matches. The odds for this selection are 1.48*.
🚩 Corner Kicks Prediction
Borussia generally earn more corners on average than Werder-5.3 compared to 4.6 per match. However, recent trends suggest a play on under 10.5 total corners. This bet has paid out in six of Werder’s last seven home games and in each of Borussia’s last six fixtures. Odds stand at 1.56*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
Editors’ Prediction
Borussia head to the Weserstadion looking to cement their status as the Bundesliga’s second force. Nico Kovac has almost his full squad available, and Dortmund will be eager to close out the season with a win. Werder, despite enduring a tough campaign, have achieved their main goal-securing top-flight survival for another year. The hosts are expected to play with courage and ambition in front of their home fans, but injuries and a clear gap in quality make the visitors strong favourites here. Our prediction: Borussia Dortmund to score over 1.5 goals, with a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favour of the visitors.
Betting Tips: Werder Bremen - Borussia Dortmund
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