SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Augsburg Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 27 October 2026
🔊 In the Third Liga, Sonnenhof have to fight for every point, but in the DFB-Pokal they can afford to play the role of the plucky underdog. The second round brings Augsburg to Aspach - a side with greater resources and ambitions, but far from convincing form. One good evening is all the hosts need to cause a major upset. The visitors, on the other hand, will be under pressure: going out to a side from the lower reaches of the Third Liga would be a painful blow in the middle of an already difficult season.
Empty story
❌ The two sides have never met before.
Sonnenhof’s defence is falling apart
The Third Liga club have been finding the new season a difficult adjustment. After 11 matchdays, Sonnenhof sit 16th with 12 points, having won just three times. Their defensive record is particularly concerning - 25 goals conceded, with 16 of those coming in the last four matchdays. Their recent win over Preußen Münster (3-2) was their only victory in the previous seven league matches.
In the DFB-Pokal, however, Sonnenhof have managed to spring a surprise. In the first round they knocked out second-division side Arminia Bielefeld, drawing 2-2 and winning on penalties. They have also collected 10 of their 12 league points at home. That advantage may not be enough against Augsburg, but their cup run has shown they should not be written off too quickly.
Match Results: Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Augsburg are winless in their last five matches
Augsburg made a bright start to the Bundesliga season, winning 2 of their first 3 matches, but have since stalled. After seven rounds they have nine points, and following their 4-1 thrashing of Eintracht in early September they have not won since. Their most recent match, against Union, ended 1-1, despite their opponents being reduced to ten men in the first half. Augsburg were unable to take the opportunity to end their run without a win.
Their attacking output is reasonable enough - 17 goals scored, at 2.43 per game. The problem lies elsewhere: 13 goals conceded, and a clean sheet kept only in the opening round. The coaching staff have already acknowledged that the team lacks reliability and good decision-making in defence. In the first round of the Cup, Augsburg comfortably beat Energie Cottbus 2-0, and now have the chance to rebuild some confidence ahead of their next Bundesliga fixtures.
Match Results: Augsburg
Latest news
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
❌ Deli Haidini and Lorenz Ender missed the previous round through injury and will be absent again for this match.
Augsburg
🚑 Noahkai Banks, Klaus Sima Suso and Steve Mounié are unavailable through injury. Alexis Claude Maurice has partially returned to training but was not fit for the last match. Calvin Brackelmann is a doubt.
Total Goals Prediction
Sonnenhof have been involved in matches where both sides scored in seven consecutive games. Their defensive problems are plain to see: they have conceded 16 goals in their last four 3. Liga fixtures. Augsburg's situation is not much better - 13 conceded in seven Bundesliga matchdays, while the visitors have scored 17 times. Both sides make regular defensive errors but retain the ability to score themselves. Bet: Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.65*.
Safer Bet
Sonnenhof have scored at home in 21 of their last 23 matches across the past two seasons. Their scoring rate has dropped since winning promotion to the Third Division, but they have still found the net in 5 of their 6 home league matches this season, and they scored twice against Arminia in the first round of the DFB-Pokal. Augsburg are far from watertight at the back, so even a lower-division side has a reasonable chance of getting on the scoresheet. Our pick: Sonnenhof Team Total - Over 0.5 Goals at 1.57*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on the statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-2 (10.71%), 0-2 (8.48%) and 0-1 (8.17%). The 1-2 scoreline has the highest probability, but the margins between the options are small, which points to a fairly even spread of outcomes in favour of the away side.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
The DFB-Pokal has already produced one upset for Sonnenhof, but Augsburg will be a tougher proposition. The visitors have a stronger squad and a considerably more productive attack. However, the difference in quality has not been translating into convincing wins - the Bundesliga side have gone five matches without a victory and too often allow opponents to create chances.
For Sonnenhof, facing a top-flight side is a good opportunity to make amends to their supporters after a difficult recent run. The hosts are unlikely to sit deep and defend, especially given that Augsburg regularly leave openings even for less dangerous opponents. The favourites will probably get the result they need, but are unlikely to keep a clean sheet. Predicted score: 1-2. Main bet: Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: Sonnenhof Grossaspach - Augsburg
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