Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Prediction
🔊 After a goal-fest in Frankfurt, Borussia return to Signal Iduna Park to kick off the new year with a home fixture against Werder Bremen, who missed their last round due to weather conditions. The Black and Yellows remain unbeaten at home in the league, making them the clear favorites against the Green and Whites, who have secured just one win in eight away matches. Can Bremen pose any challenge to Dortmund? Let's dive into the prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 In the Bundesliga, Werder Bremen have defeated Dortmund only once in their last ten head-to-head encounters-a 3-2 away victory in August 2022. Last season, Bremen managed to take points from Borussia both at home (0-0) and away, coming back from a 0-2 deficit at Signal Iduna Park in a match where Nico Schlotterbeck was sent off as early as the 21st minute.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Borussia Dortmund Team Overview
🟡 The Bundesliga made a vibrant return after the winter break, with Matchday 16 featuring a thrilling encounter between Eintracht and Dortmund, where fans witnessed a six-goal spectacle (3-3). Maximilian Beyer and Felix Nmecha twice put Niko Kovac's side ahead, and while the "Black and Yellows" aimed to kick off the new year with a victory, they had to settle for a draw, salvaged in the dying moments by Carney Chukwuemeka's goal in the sixth minute of stoppage time.
⚫ As a result, Dortmund extend their unbeaten run in the league to nine matches. They lead third-placed Leipzig (who have a game in hand) and Bayer, who have accumulated 29 points, by four points. A win would maintain a comfortable gap from their rivals and continue their formal chase of Bayern, who are 11 points ahead. Notably, Dortmund's defense has conceded just 15 goals over 16 matches-only Bayern have a better record with 12. On home turf, Dortmund have allowed only four goals, the best in the league.
Match Results: Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen Team Overview
🟢 After a heavy snowfall led to the postponement of their home match against Hoffenheim in the 16th round, Werder are set to resume their season with their first official game after the winter break in Dortmund. In their last outing, the Bremen side shared the spoils with Augsburg on December 20th (0-0), generating just 0.6 xG.
⚪ The "Green-and-Whites" aim to start the new year on a stronger note and end their five-match winless streak (2 draws, 3 losses). Horst Steffen's squad enters this round in 10th place, level on 17 points with Cologne, who have played one more game. They hold a five-point cushion above the relegation zone, but Werder's away form is concerning: seven matches without a win out of eight, with their only victory coming back in the third round in Mönchengladbach (4-0). Another slip-up could significantly complicate Bremen's situation and increase the pressure on Horst Steffen.
Match Results: Werder Bremen
Latest news
Borussia Dortmund
🎙 Niko Kovač after the match against Eintracht: "The fans witnessed a great game where the momentum shifted between both teams. We should have won, considering the chances we created. However, leveling the score at the end is something to be pleased about. I saw a strong team performance, and we consistently broke down the opponent's defense. I'm very satisfied with our attack, but conceding three goals means we can't be entirely content. We need to be able to control the game and defend properly."
❌ Aaron Anselmino will miss the match due to injury. Jobe Bellingham returns after serving a two-match suspension for a red card. Ramy Bensebaini has left the Algeria national team camp, but his participation in Tuesday's upcoming game remains unlikely.
Werder Bremen
🎙 Horst Steffen on the postponement of the last match and the upcoming game: "It's pointless to speculate whether it benefited us. Other teams have now had the chance to gain points, and we face a rescheduled match and a packed schedule. In Dortmund, we aim to defend well and play as a cohesive unit. We'll need to run a lot and engage in duels. Ideally, we'll score a few goals, like Eintracht did. I expect the team to play boldly and offensively."
📝 After it was announced on Saturday that Werder's forward Victor Boniface will be sidelined for an extended period following knee surgery, the club revealed on Sunday that they have signed Jovan Milosevic on loan from Stuttgart until the end of the season. The striker recently returned from a year-long loan at Belgrade's Partizan, where he netted 19 goals and provided 5 assists in 30 matches across all competitions.
❌ In the upcoming fixture, Werder will be without Mitchell Weiser and Felix Agu. Maximilian Wöber's participation remains doubtful due to a thigh injury. Leonardo Bittencourt has resumed training after illness and is ready for the match, while Olivier Deman has recovered from a long-term injury. Victor Boniface will be out for several months following knee surgery.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
Daniel Siebert is set to officiate the match in Dortmund. Over his last 10 fixtures, the German referee averages 4.2 cautions per game. Borussia's average for yellow cards stands at 1.8 per match, while Werder's is 2.9, one of the highest in the league, alongside Augsburg. A betting option to consider is Borussia's individual total of more than 1.5 yellow cards-this has occurred in 4 of their last 5 Bundesliga games.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Niko Kovac's side has netted 29 goals after 16 rounds, with 13 of those coming at home (an average of 1.8 goals per game). Werder have conceded 28 goals, 16 of which were away (averaging two per game). Given the hosts' clear advantage, we are looking at a bet on Borussia's individual total of more than 1.5 goals.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Borussia averages 5.2 corners per match, while Werder averages 4.4 (with a game in hand). We select Borussia's individual total of fewer than 7.5 corners-this bet has come through in eight consecutive matches for the team, as well as in 8 of the last 9 head-to-head encounters between Dortmund and Bremen.
Editorial Prediction
Werder Bremen have only played one game in January-a friendly against St Pauli on January 4th in Hamburg, which ended in a goalless draw. Including this match and their last two Bundesliga fixtures, Bremen have now gone three games without scoring.
In total, Werder have played eight away matches in the Bundesliga, securing just one victory and scoring ten goals (averaging 1.25 per game). Notably, the Green-Whites have found the net in ten of their last eleven visits to Dortmund. Borussia Dortmund, on the other hand, have played seven home matches, winning five, remaining unbeaten, and keeping clean sheets in five of those games. Considering the hosts' form and nearly full-strength squad, we predict a Borussia Dortmund win with a -1 handicap, anticipating a final score of 2-0.
Betting Tips: Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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