Germany vs Greece Prediction 27 September 2026
🔊 Jürgen Klopp began his tenure as Germany manager with a draw in Amsterdam, and his first home match comes against the group leaders. That position is unexpectedly held by Greece, who snatched a win in Belgrade in added time. It is Greece's first season in League A, and they have made a better start than their group rivals. That said, Greece have never beaten Germany in ten head-to-head meetings.
🔁 We regularly update this prediction. Keep an eye on the Latest News section
Head-to-Head
📊 The head-to-head record makes grim reading for the Greeks: Germany have not lost to them in ten meetings - seven wins and three draws. That said, it has not been straightforward for the Germans in recent encounters. Both sides scored in each of the last three head-to-head meetings, including the Euro 2012 quarter-final, which Germany won 4-2. The most recent meeting came in the summer of 2024 in Mönchengladbach, where Greece led at half-time through Georgios Masouras. Kai Havertz equalised in the second half, and Pascal Groß won it for Germany on the 89th minute.
Germany Team Overview
Germany's summer World Cup ended at the Round of 32, where Paraguay knocked them out on penalties - a penalty shootout defeat that was unprecedented for Germany at a World Cup. In July, Jürgen Klopp took charge of the national team, and his debut was a nervy one. In Amsterdam, Felix Nmecha put Germany ahead on 32 minutes, but Cody Gakpo rescued the Netherlands in stoppage time. The result was a draw and a third consecutive match without a win.
In truth, Germany were fortunate to take anything from that draw. The Netherlands more than doubled their expected goals tally, and Marc-André ter Stegen made nine saves. Klopp's next step comes on home soil, with tickets in Augsburg sold out. The manager called up 44 players and split them into two groups. The squad will be almost entirely changed after the Greece match: the second group will start against Serbia on 1 October in Munich.
Match Results: Germany
Greece Team Overview
Ivan Jovanović's side missed the World Cup, and they went without a win throughout 2026 until September. Things started badly in Belgrade too: Andrija Živković opened the scoring in the fourth minute with an assist from Dušan Tadić. In the second half Christos Tzolis equalised, and then in stoppage time substitute Tasos Douvikas won it. The three points put Greece top of the group on their own.
The result in Belgrade was no fluke, either. Greece dominated possession and completed 588 passes at an accuracy of almost 90 per cent. For Jovanović, who is Serbian by origin, the match on home soil carried extra significance. His side now face a packed schedule: four matches in 11 days. They will meet Germany twice - in Augsburg and then in Thessaloniki on 4 October.
Match Results: Greece
Latest news
Germany
❓ Klopp's main injury concerns are in attack. Jamal Musiala felt a problem with his thigh during the warm-up before the Amsterdam match and did not take part. Kai Havertz left the field on 30 minutes with a muscular injury. Both were sent for MRI scans, and Klopp admitted that counting on either of them for the Greece match is probably unrealistic. As a replacement for Havertz, the coach could call someone up early from the second group - either Jonathan Burkardt or Nick Woltemade. If no additional registration is made, Younes Mouaket is the most likely option to start as the central striker, as there are no other out-and-out forwards in the current squad. Competing for Musiala's place are Nadiem Amiri, who started the previous match, and Serge Gnabry. There are no suspensions.
Greece
❓ Jovanović assembled his squad without several key players. Lazaros Rota, Dimitris Giannoulis, Giannis Konstantelias and Pantelis Chatzidiakos are all missing from the camp through injury. Captain Tasos Bakasetas was not included either - he is not yet fit. After the Belgrade match, Charalampos Kostoulas received stitches on his leg, but the injury is not considered serious and the striker may be available to play. In general, Jovanović is expected to keep faith with the side that beat Serbia, though according to the Greek press, the busy schedule will make rotation unavoidable. There are no suspensions.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Predicted starting XI for Germany: ter Stegen - Treu, Tah, Schlotterbeck, Brown - Nmecha, Kimmich - Adeyemi, Amiri, Schade - Ebnoutalib.
📋 Predicted starting XI for Greece: Tzolakis - Vagiannidis, Mavropanos, Retsos, Tsimikas - Karetsas, Kourmpelis, Zafeiris, Tzolis - Kostoulas, Pavlidis.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Three or more goals have been scored in 6 of Germany's last 7 home matches. Across their last five games, the two sides combined for 18 goals. Greece show the same pattern in 7 of their last 8 meetings, and Belgrade was no exception: the Greeks came from behind against Serbia to win 2:1. The bet is Total Goals - Over 2.5.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Greece have taken more than three corners in six of their last seven Nations League matches, including five in a row. In Belgrade they had six corners to Serbia's two. Across their last ten official matches, Greece have taken 57 corners. Germany's opponents over the same period earned 41, and the Germans felt that in Amsterdam, where the Netherlands took 12 corners to their visitors' one. The pick is Greece Team Total Corners - Over 3.5.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Germany have been disciplined in the tackle: across their last ten official matches they picked up just ten yellow cards, while their opponents received 21. Greece collected 15 bookings over the same period, with their opponents receiving 18. The two most recent matches support the pattern: four yellows in Amsterdam and three in Belgrade. The bet is Total Yellow Cards - Under 4.5.
🚀 Player Stat Bet
Greece's comeback in Belgrade started with Christos Tzolis. In the first half he cut the ball back to set up Konstantinos Karetsas for a shot against the post, and just before the break he forced the Serbian goalkeeper into a save. On 74 minutes Tzolis equalised himself after a pass from Vangelis Pavlidis. In Augsburg the ball will most likely be with the Germans, and Greece will need quick attacks. Tzolis is the main threat in those. The bet is Tzolis to Score.
😱 Risky Bet
The double chance on the visitors is priced at 3.25*. Away from home, Greece have gone unbeaten in 10 of their last 11 Nations League matches. Germany, meanwhile, are without Musiala and Havertz, leaving Klopp's attacking centre uncertain. The risk is a fair one: Germany have lost just once in their last ten matches. But if you're looking for a long price, this is the place to find it. The bet is Double Chance - Greece not to lose at 3.25*.
🎯 Reliable Bet
In Greece's last 24 away matches, the combined total of goals scored by both sides has not exceeded four. The broader picture tells much the same story - 14 of their last 16. Germany, meanwhile, have scored no more than three goals in 9 of their last 10 Nations League matches. The odds are modest, but the main run has held without a single exception. The bet is Total Goals - Under 4.5 at 1.22*.
👀 If the match doesn't go to plan
Our scenario is Germany grinding out a one-goal win while Greece contribute a goal of their own. That falls apart if the Greeks sit deep in their own half and refuse to take risks. Without Havertz and Musiala, Germany may lack the sharpness to break them down, in which case the game could turn into a scrappy affair with just one or two goals. The markets would shift towards Total Goals - Under 2.5 and Both Teams to Score - No. Keep those in mind for in-play betting if the score is still level at half-time.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers
📌 Editorial Prediction
Germany have both scored and conceded in each of their last five matches. Their attack is more reliable than their defence: they have not failed to score in ten consecutive matches, and they will create chances even without Havertz and Musiala. Greece have scored in 9 of their last 10 away matches in the Nations League. The visitors can make the most of a single chance, and the German defence does give opponents those chances. We expect goals at both ends and a narrow home win. The bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 2-1.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: Germany - Greece
in last 5 away games (UEFA Nations League).
in 9 of last 10 away games (UEFA Nations League)..svg)
in 9 of last 10 games.in 10 of last 11 away games (UEFA Nations League).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
