Lazio vs Parma Prediction 28 April 2025
πAre we in for a tactical and restrained contest between Lazio and Parma in the 34th round of Serie A? Lazio have been showing inconsistent form, winning just three of their last ten matches, which reflects their mid-table position. Meanwhile, Parma, hovering near the relegation zone, are desperately fighting for every point. The hosts are known for their attacking play, but they often concede at home, while the visitors are eager to capitalize on any counter-attacking opportunities. Adding to the intrigue is Lazio's historical advantage in head-to-head encounters.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 01 December 2024 and ended with a score of 1:0. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter: Lazio Rome vs Parma
- ball possession percentage: 28% vs 72%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 10;
- fouls: 16 vs 14.
πAnalytical review of previous official matches between Lazio and Parma:
- 28 matches played;
- home wins - 19, away wins - 3, draws - 6;
- goals scored (home/away) - 47 to 21;
- average total goals per match - 2.43.
Head-to-head statistics Lazio - Parma
Lazio Rome Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie A tournament (home team - Genoa, away team - Lazio Rome). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.
Here's the game statistics (Lazio Rome vs Genoa):
- ball possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 6;
- fouls: 10 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
Lazio exhibit an intriguing style of play with a focus on attack, averaging 1.67 goals per match. However, their defensive issues remain significant, as they consistently concede goals even at home. Their recent outings have been challenging, with only three wins, four draws, and three losses. Currently sitting sixth in the Serie A standings, they have a solid chance to compete for European spots. Yet, in their last encounter with Parma, the Eagles suffered an unexpected 1-3 defeat.
Match Results: Lazio Rome
Parma Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on as part of the Serie A tournament (the hosts were Parma, and the visitors were Juventus Turin). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (Parma vs Juventus Turin):
- ball possession: 34% vs 66%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 9;
- fouls: 9 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 2.
πThe "Crusaders" are still battling to secure their spot in Serie A, currently sitting in fifteenth place. Their strategy relies on solid defense and swift counter-attacks, a style reflected in their recent form: five draws in their last ten matches, alongside two wins and three losses. The team doesn't score much, averaging only 0.9 goals per game in recent outings, but they effectively capitalize on opponents' mistakes thanks to their compact play on the pitch.
Match Results: Parma
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Lazio Rome
In the previous round, Lazio secured a convincing 2-0 victory over Genoa. Valentin Castellanos and Boulaye Dia found the net for the Rome-based side. This win lifted Marco Baroni's team to 6th place in the standings, narrowing the gap to the Champions League spots to just one point. Head coach Marco Baroni noted that the team played with maturity and showed the character needed to compete for top positions in the league. He emphasized the importance of maintaining focus in the remaining matches of the season.
As for the lineup, the team will be without Reda Belahjane, who is suspended and won't be available for the next match. Manuel Lazzari remains doubtful due to physical discomfort, while Nuno Tavares and Patric are sidelined with injuries until May and June, respectively.
Parma
Parma pulled off a surprise victory over Juventus with a 1-0 win in their last match. The only goal came from Matteo Pellegrino in the 45+1 minute. This victory snapped a streak of five consecutive draws for the team. Head coach Cristian Chivu expressed satisfaction with his team's performance and noted that defeating such a strong opponent will boost the players' confidence as they fight to maintain their place in Serie A.
It's important to highlight that the team is facing significant squad issues. Gabriel Charpentier and Mateusz Kowalski are out for the season with cruciate ligament injuries. The participation of Adrian Benedyczak, Adrian Bernabe, and Valentin Mihaila is doubtful, while Alessandro Vogliacco is sidelined until early May with a muscle injury. Yordan Osorio also remains unavailable.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- home team wins - 19, away team wins - 3, draws - 6.
Statistics: Lazio Rome vs Parma
- number of matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- number of wins: 17 vs 6;
- win percentage: 52% vs 18%;
- number of losses: 8 vs 14;
- number of draws: 8 vs 13.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 3 vs 2;
- number of losses: 3 vs 3;
- number of draws: 4 vs 5.
- Parma won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 16 games (Serie A).
- Parma won with a +1.5 handicap in last 8 away games (Serie A).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.68, the guests - 0.75;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.43;
- both teams scored: overall - 13; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: Lazio Rome vs Parma
- average total in the tournament: 2.97 vs 2.7;
- average total goals scored: 1.67 vs 1.15;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.7 vs 0.45;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.97 vs 0.7;
- Lazio Rome: average total at home in the tournament - 1.88;
- Parma: average total away in the tournament - 0.81;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.4) vs 0.9 (away - 0.4).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Lazio Rome games (Serie A).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 5 Parma away games (Serie A).
Prediction on corners
Lazio Rome: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.97; at home field - 6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.5; at home field - 9.2.
Parma: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.64, away - 5.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.7; away - 4.6.
Prediction on cards
Lazio Rome: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.09; at home - 2.06;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; at home - 2.8.
Parma: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.82, away - 1.69;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; away - 2.2.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- both teams scored all-time - 13 times;
- on the home teamβs field - 6 times.
Statistics: Lazio Rome vs Parma
- number of matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 21 vs 22;
- number of BTTS matches for Lazio Rome at home - 13 (81%);
- number of BTTS matches for Parma away - 9 (56%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Lazio Rome at home - 5 (100%);
- BTTS matches for Parma away - 2 (40%).
- Lazio Rome have scored and conceded in last 11 home games.
- Lazio Rome have scored and conceded in last 8 home games (Serie A).
Editorial Prediction
The clash between Lazio and Parma is likely to unfold at a steady pace, with a low-scoring affair on the cards. Recently in Serie A, Lazio have been playing cautiously, with under 3.5 goals occurring in seven of their last eight matches. Parma, away from home, adopt a similar approach, showing the same under-3.5-goal trend in five consecutive away games. Given these patterns, betting on under 3.5 goals seems like a well-founded prediction.No comments
Betting Tips: Lazio Rome - Parma
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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