Liechtenstein vs Lithuania Prediction 24 September 2026
🔊 Liechtenstein and Lithuania kick off their Nations League campaigns in the opening round. Lithuania begin away from home and are hoping to push for a return to League C. Liechtenstein will look to use home advantage to pick up points in their first match of the tournament. Neither side managed a single win in the 2024/25 Nations League, so the new edition gives both of them a chance to put that right.
🔁 We will update this prediction as new information about the teams becomes available. Check back just before the match to make sure you don't miss any important changes.
Lithuania have historically been a tough opponent for Liechtenstein.
📊 Liechtenstein and Lithuania last met in an official match in September 2013, when Lithuania won at home 2-0. The two sides have played six official meetings in total: Lithuania have won four, Liechtenstein have won one, and one match ended in a draw. The overall goal difference stands at 8-3 in Lithuania's favour.
Head-to-head statistics Liechtenstein - Lithuania
Liechtenstein look to shore up their defence on home soil
Liechtenstein go into the start of a new Nations League campaign having lost three of their last four matches. In June, they were beaten by Andorra and Cyprus, both by a score of 0-2. Before that, in March, they beat Tanzania (1-0) and lost to Aruba (1-4). A lack of goals remains the main problem for the hosts. They scored only two in their last four matches and failed to find the net in the last two. Against Lithuania, their priority will be to defend solidly and avoid conceding early. They will also have the advantage of playing at home in Vaduz, at the familiar Rheinpark. The Nations League gives Liechtenstein the chance to face opposition at their own level, so a purely defensive approach from the hosts should not be expected.
Match Results: Liechtenstein
Lithuania are banking on their composure and experience in head-to-head encounters
Lithuania have been fairly pragmatic in recent matches and rarely feature in high-scoring games. In 2026, they have scored three goals across four fixtures: against Moldova (2-0), Georgia (0-2), Latvia (1-1) and Estonia (0-1). They failed to score in two of those matches. Over that run, Lithuania avoided defeat only against Moldova and Latvia. They do not score freely, so against Liechtenstein a lot will depend on how quickly they can create and convert chances. That said, their superior organisation and the experience of recent head-to-head meetings give the visitors reason to expect to control the game. The head-to-head record offers Lithuania an additional point of reference. Their last meeting with Liechtenstein came in 2013 and ended in a Lithuanian victory (2-0). More than 13 years have passed since then, however, so those older results provide context rather than any direct basis for conclusions about the upcoming match.
Match Results: Lithuania
Latest news
Liechtenstein
❓ The main injury concerns are Simon Lühinger and Dennis Salanovic, both listed as doubtful due to injuries. Both are included in the extended squad and may join the team later during this series of matches.
❌ Felix Oberwaditzer has not been included in the main squad for non-sporting reasons - he has gone to study in the United States. This is not an injury but a personal decision.
✅ Willy Pizzi will join on 25 September, with Andreas Malin, Luca Beck and Gabriel Foser following on 2 October. These are the planned arrival dates.
Lithuania
❌ Dominykas Barauskаs - injured in a Lithuanian league match on 20 September and left the squad. Deividas Malžinskas has been called up in his place.
❌ Vaidas Magdušauskas - picked up an injury in his last match for Banga. Despite initially joining the squad, the midfielder was released following a medical examination.
✅ Malžinskas - called up to the national team for the first time, replacing Barauskаs.
🔁 Update - 24 September, 11:11 UTC:
- Lithuanian media are putting additional pressure on the national team head coach. Ahead of the match, Baltic Football News noted that this autumn window could be the last for Edgaras Jankauskas, whose contract expires at the end of the year. In nearly four years under Jankauskas, Lithuania have won just 18% of their matches, with the most memorable result being a 2-0 victory over Bulgaria.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Predicted starting XI - Liechtenstein: Büchel - Göppel, Meier, Malin, Hofer - Hasler, Sele, Lüchinger, Büchel - Salanovic, Saglam
📋 Predicted starting XI - Lithuania: Gertmonas - Utkus, Lasickas, Armalas, Lekiatas - Vorobjovas, Dolžnikov, Jankauskas, Gineitis - Kučys, Venckus
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Both sides come into this match with low scoring records. Liechtenstein have scored just two goals in their last four meetings, while Lithuania have managed three in their four matches in 2026. Lithuania also failed to score in their last two games. The statistical trends add to this picture: Total Goals - Under 3.5 has landed in 12 of Liechtenstein's last 14 UEFA Nations League matches and in 15 of Lithuania's last 17 away matches. These figures support a low-scoring outcome. Given the poor attacking returns of both sides and the nature of their recent matches, an open game with plenty of goals seems unlikely. Our prediction: Total Goals - Under 2.5 at odds of 1.73*.
🚩 Corner Kick Prediction
Lithuania are not a side that regularly generates a high volume of corners through sustained pressure. In attack they tend to operate pragmatically, and even when in possession they do not always work their way into positions that produce a large number of crosses or blocked shots. Against stronger opponents, Lithuania are also frequently forced to play without prolonged territorial dominance. The statistics back this up: Lithuania have won fewer than 6.5 corners in 49 of their last 50 matches, and away from home that trend has held for 24 consecutive matches. A closer look at their recent games also shows a limited corner count for the Lithuanians. Given Lithuania's style of play and their consistent away trend, there is little reason to expect the visitors to rack up a high number of corners. The pick is Lithuania Team Total - Under 6.5 Corners at 1.67*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Recent meetings between Liechtenstein and Lithuania have been fairly feisty: the two previous matches between the sides produced 7 and 8 yellow cards respectively. Lithuania's most recent match also provides a strong argument for the over: in the game against Estonia on 9 June, the referee showed 14 yellow cards, 10 of which went to Lithuanian players. That disciplinary pattern could well continue in Vaduz. Lithuania tend to get involved in a high number of physical duels, and for Liechtenstein a match against an opponent of comparable level will carry significant importance. In an evenly contested game, the volume of fouls and stoppages can quickly push the card count up. Taking into account the recent head-to-head meetings and Lithuania's latest statistics, four or more yellow cards looks a reasonable expectation. The bet is Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5 at odds of 1.65*.
🚀 Player Stats Bet
Žalgiris forward Armandas Kučys remains one of Lithuania's main attacking options. In 2026, Kučys has already scored against Latvia. Against Liechtenstein, the striker should have opportunities to get on the scoresheet. Lithuania are expected to have more time on the ball, and Kučys will be one of the primary targets for passes into the box. Our prediction: Kučys to score.
😱 Risky bet
Liechtenstein to score looks the riskier option given the team's problems in front of goal. They have scored just two goals in their last four matches and failed to score in each of their last two. Lithuania, meanwhile, have conceded four goals in four matches in 2026. The visitors' defence is not impenetrable, so if Liechtenstein's attacks click, they are capable of taking their chances and scoring at least once. However, the bet remains risky: the hosts' low scoring rate and two consecutive goalless matches mean their scoring cannot be considered the most likely outcome. The bet is Liechtenstein to Score: Yes at 2.64*.
🎯 Reliable Bet
Liechtenstein rarely win matches, but they do avoid heavy defeats fairly often. In UEFA Nations League play, their handicap (+2.5) has come in for 14 matches in a row. At home in the competition, the same run stands at 7 consecutive matches. That fits well with the nature of this fixture. Liechtenstein are not a high-scoring side, and Lithuania have scored just three goals in four matches in 2026. In that kind of game, it will matter for the hosts to stay compact and not let the opposition build a comfortable lead. Given Liechtenstein's consistent trend, the positive handicap looks a more reliable option than a bet on the result. Bet: Liechtenstein Handicap +2.5 at 1.26*.
👀 If the match doesn't go to script
Neither side is particularly prolific, so the opening stages could be cautious. Liechtenstein rarely threaten before the break in particular: according to available statistics, the team have averaged 0 goals scored in the first half of home matches, with the first-half total standing at just 0.67 goals. Lithuania have also struggled for goals in 2026, scoring three times in four matches and going into half-time without scoring in two of those games. For Liechtenstein, avoiding a quick goal and keeping the game within a single incident is especially important. If both teams start cautiously and take their time looking for openings, the first half could well end goalless. Our pick: 1st Half Total Goals - Under 0.5 at odds of 2.90*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Lithuania come into this match with a stronger head-to-head record and have not lost to Liechtenstein in two official meetings. That said, the visitors' own form is not particularly impressive either: in four matches in 2026 they have won twice (one of those on penalties) and lost twice. Liechtenstein have traditionally struggled both in attack and defensively, so the most likely scenario may be a cautious game with few clear chances. Predicted score: 0-2. Editor's prediction: Total Goals - Under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Liechtenstein - Lithuania
in last 6 games (UEFA Nations League).
in 18 of last 19 home games.in 10 of last 11 games.
in last 5 games.in 7 of last 8 games.
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