Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction 16 March 2025
🔊 Which team will win the League Cup? Liverpool is the clear favorite for the final. However, they were knocked out of the Champions League early this week, so it will be challenging for the Merseysiders from a psychological standpoint. On the other hand, the trophy is much more important for Newcastle. For them, the match at Wembley is likely to be the main event of the season. Therefore, we will consider different options to make the prediction optimal.
Head-to-Head
In the span of 32 head-to-head matches, Liverpool holds the advantage with 67% victories. This season, the opponents have already met twice. In the first round of the Premier League, Newcastle snatched a draw in the 90th minute of their home match (3:3). The other encounter took place in February at Anfield. On that occasion, the "Magpies" were outplayed in all aspects (0:2). Perhaps Eddie Howe simply did not reveal all his cards before the final. It is worth noting that Arne Slot's team has scored at least two goals in six consecutive head-to-head matches. Therefore, it is worth considering the bet - Liverpool total goals over 1.5.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Newcastle United Team Overview
Newcastle is one of the contenders for the top 4 in the EPL. However, recently they have been alternating between wins and losses. While the team lost to Liverpool by a two-goal margin, they conceded four unanswered goals against Manchester City. Meanwhile, victories over Nottingham Forest (4-3) and West Ham (1-0) were not entirely convincing. In the first case, the "Magpies" almost squandered a three-goal lead. It should be noted that in the League Cup, Newcastle knocked out Chelsea and Brentford. In the semifinals, they won both matches against Arsenal, scoring a total of four unanswered goals. It's worth mentioning that the team has almost no roster issues. Only Lascelles, Hall, and Botman will miss out due to injuries.
Match Results: Newcastle United
Liverpool Team Overview
There is no doubt that Liverpool will become the Premier League champion, having a double-digit lead over their rivals. It was also expected that they could compete for the trophy in the Champions League. At least the team had a series of seven wins in the league stage, losing only to PSV in the last round with a reserve lineup. However, already in the Round of 16, Liverpool could not get past PSG, losing in a penalty shootout. They played their worst match of the season in Paris, even though they won. The team was also knocked out of the FA Cup, again playing with a far from main lineup. Therefore, Arne Slot can only count on two trophies this season. It is important to win the League Cup for Mohamed Salah, who is having a phenomenal season. However, after being eliminated from the Champions League, his rating in the race for the Ballon d'Or has significantly dropped. Note that Bradley and Gomez will not play in the final, who could have taken the field since Alexander-Arnold was injured in the match against PSG. Konate's participation is also in doubt.
Match Results: Liverpool
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match is John Brooks. This season, he has officiated 17 matches across various tournaments. He has officiated Liverpool and Newcastle once each. Interestingly, these matches were among the most card-heavy, with a total of 15 warnings. On average, the referee shows 4.71 yellow cards per game.
Both teams approach the match with low trends in terms of warnings. Liverpool has not received more than two yellow cards in seven consecutive matches. Newcastle has a similar streak lasting five matches. In the League Cup final, the referee is likely to allow the teams to battle it out and will only penalize blatant roughness. Therefore, we suggest a bet on total yellow cards under 4.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Newcastle has scored in the first half of six consecutive League Cup matches. The team's strategy will likely focus on the early minutes of the match when Liverpool has not yet taken control of the ball. The "Magpies" will attack through the left flank, where the opponent will have a relatively weaker player in position. Therefore, a bet on Newcastle to score in the 1st half seems quite profitable.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Liverpool has an advantage in corners in the League Cup (6 compared to 4.3). On average, matches involving Liverpool feature 9.8 corners. Newcastle's similar statistic is even higher (11.3). Therefore, we suggest a bet on total corners over 9.5.
Editorial Prediction
The favorite for the upcoming match is Liverpool. This season, they are the best in England. However, the defeat to PSG might significantly undermine the team's confidence. Moreover, Newcastle has shown how they can rally in crucial matches, as seen against Arsenal. Therefore, it's possible that regular time might not be enough to determine the winner. In such a situation, we suggest a potential exact score of 2-2.
In any case, we expect an exciting final, especially with a player from each side being among the top-3 scorers in the EPL on the field. Each of them will likely have a moment to make a difference. However, there are other players capable of scoring as well. Therefore, as a key bet, we choose - both teams to score (Yes).
Betting Tips: Newcastle United - Liverpool
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in last 5 games (EFL Cup).
in 7 of last 8 games against Liverpool.in last 6 games (EFL Cup).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
