Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction 26 February 2025

    🔊 Will Liverpool maintain a double-digit lead over their pursuers in the Premier League? At least in the upcoming match, they are considered the favorites. However, Newcastle certainly can't be considered an easy opponent. The team lacks stability; otherwise, they would confidently be in the top-4. Nevertheless, the "Magpies" are capable of stopping Liverpool even at "Anfield." Therefore, we will consider different options to make the prediction optimal.

    Head-to-Head

    In the span of 35 head-to-head matches, Liverpool holds the advantage with a 66% win rate. However, in the first round, they couldn't defeat Newcastle at St. James' Park (3-3). The Magpies took the lead twice, but Arne Slot's team consistently equalized. In the 83rd minute, Mohamed Salah even put his team ahead. However, the final word remained with Newcastle. This is far from the first high-scoring head-to-head encounter. For instance, Liverpool regularly scores many goals at Anfield. Therefore, as a potential bet, we note total home goals over 1.5, which has hit in 9 out of the last 10 head-to-head matches in Liverpool.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    67%
    26 Wins
    18%
    7 Draws
    15%
    6 Wins
    Total games
    39
    Total Goals Avg
    3.23
    Both teams scored
    56%
    2.26
    Total average
    0.97
    1.38
    Yellow cards
    1.74
    Last matches
    31.01.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    1.74
    0.39
    7
    11
    11
    7
    1
    3
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1.74
    0.39
    7
    11
    11
    7
    1
    3
    25.08.25
    EPL
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    1
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    1.96
    0.65
    7
    1
    17
    15
    2
    3
    2
    3
    0
    1
    2
    2
    1.96
    0.65
    7
    1
    17
    15
    2
    3
    16.03.25
    EFL Cup
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    0.93
    1.81
    9
    4
    10
    14
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0.93
    1.81
    9
    4
    10
    14
    2
    1
    26.02.25
    EPL
    Liverpool FC
    Liverpool FC
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    1.54
    0.25
    4
    2
    12
    11
    0
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.54
    0.25
    4
    2
    12
    11
    0
    1
    04.12.24
    EPL
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    1.75
    1.92
    5
    6
    9
    17
    2
    5
    3
    3
    1
    0
    2
    3
    1.75
    1.92
    5
    6
    9
    17
    2
    5
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Liverpool FC Team Overview

    Liverpool hasn't looked invincible lately. For instance, they lost to PSV in the Champions League and were knocked out of the FA Cup by Plymouth. However, in both cases, the team essentially played with a reserve lineup. Yet, even with their main squad, they couldn't win their last two away matches. Liverpool allowed Everton to equalize in injury time (2-2). The match against Aston Villa in Birmingham ended with the same score. The team looked quite ambiguous in the match against Wolverhampton (2-1), where they were close to conceding a second goal as well. However, Liverpool tactically outplayed Manchester City (2-0) recently, not allowing their opponent to create any real goal-scoring chances. It's worth noting that Mohamed Salah has scored in eight consecutive matches. He leads the scoring chart by six goals. The Egyptian is rewriting Premier League records but might leave the club in the summer when his contract expires. In the upcoming match, Conor Bradley and Joe Gomez will not play due to injuries, though they are not part of the main squad.

    Match Results: Liverpool FC

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Brentford
    Brentford
    2.73
    1.34
    14
    2
    9
    9
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    2.73
    1.34
    14
    2
    9
    9
    2
    3
    D
    15.05.26
    EPL
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    1.88
    1.08
    4
    9
    12
    9
    3
    1
    4
    2
    1
    0
    3
    2
    1.88
    1.08
    4
    9
    12
    9
    3
    1
    L
    09.05.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    0.54
    0.46
    5
    2
    17
    17
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0.54
    0.46
    5
    2
    17
    17
    2
    4
    D
    03.05.26
    EPL
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    2.95
    1.13
    3
    2
    12
    11
    2
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    2.95
    1.13
    3
    2
    12
    11
    2
    2
    L
    25.04.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Crystal Palace
    Crystal Palace
    0.9
    1.43
    5
    8
    10
    10
    1
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0.9
    1.43
    5
    8
    10
    10
    1
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Newcastle United Team Overview

    Newcastle also has an elite forward - Alexander Isak. He has become the main pursuer of Salah in the top scorer race, while Haaland is injured. A queue is already forming for the Swede ahead of the next transfer window. Therefore, retaining a player of such caliber is a matter of ambition for Newcastle's owners. On paper, they are the richest in European football. However, there haven't been any big transfers at St. James' Park for a while. Perhaps qualifying for the Champions League will push them towards active moves. Especially since Newcastle is in fifth place, and recently they reduced the gap from Nottingham Forest to three points by winning the head-to-head (4:3). However, the "Magpies" left a mixed impression. In the first half, they scored four goals, but after the break, they conceded so much initiative that they almost lost the victory. It should be noted that Eddie Howe does not have serious injury problems - only Joelinton and Jamaal Lascelles are absent. Sven Botman's participation is questionable.

    Match Results: Newcastle United

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    EPL
    Fulham
    Fulham
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    1.73
    0.35
    6
    6
    13
    6
    2
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.73
    0.35
    6
    6
    13
    6
    2
    2
    L
    17.05.26
    EPL
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    West Ham United
    West Ham United
    1.5
    1.42
    9
    1
    8
    11
    1
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1.5
    1.42
    9
    1
    8
    11
    1
    3
    W
    10.05.26
    EPL
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    1.52
    1.32
    2
    1
    16
    11
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.52
    1.32
    2
    1
    16
    11
    2
    0
    D
    02.05.26
    EPL
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    2.3
    1.46
    2
    10
    10
    12
    3
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    2.3
    1.46
    2
    10
    10
    12
    3
    3
    W
    25.04.26
    EPL
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    0.85
    0.82
    7
    2
    13
    10
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.85
    0.82
    7
    2
    13
    10
    2
    2
    L
    Empty
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    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The main referee for the match is Chris Kavanagh, who has officiated 17 Premier League matches this season. In three of those, he awarded penalties, and in four, he resorted to sending players off. During this period, the referee averages four yellow cards per game.

    This season, Liverpool has the advantage in yellow cards (2.2 compared to 1.9). However, in five matches at Anfield, there were no more than four warnings in total. Considering the referee's statistics, we suggest a bet on total yellow cards under 4.5.

    ⚽️ Prediction on Goals

    Lately, Liverpool has not been very reliable in defense. They have even surpassed Arsenal in the number of goals conceded. The team has failed to keep a clean sheet in five consecutive home matches. Meanwhile, Arne Slot's team has scored in 23 consecutive rounds. Therefore, we suggest a bet on - both teams to score (Yes).

    🚩 Prediction on Corners

    This season, Liverpool has the advantage in corners (6.4 compared to 5.8). On average, matches involving Liverpool have 10.5 corners, while Newcastle's matches have an even higher average (11.2). In the head-to-head match of the first round, the opponents collectively delivered 11 corner kicks. In this situation, it is worth considering a bet on total corners over 10.

    Editor's Prediction

    The favorite for the upcoming match is Liverpool. Recently, they looked extremely convincing against Manchester City, who have become a key rival in recent years. Newcastle, on the other hand, plays inconsistently even throughout the 90 minutes. Therefore, we note a potential exact score of 3:2.

    We have no doubt that Liverpool will score 2-3 goals against this Newcastle side. On the other hand, the hosts have not kept a clean sheet for a long time. It's unlikely to expect this in the match against the "Magpies". In the last two head-to-head matches, six goals were scored in each game. Therefore, we expect the upcoming match to be high-scoring as well, and as a key bet, we suggest a total goals over 3.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (3) at odds of -149*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (25 February 2025, 08:48)

    Betting Tips: Liverpool FC - Newcastle United

    Newcastle United have lost the 2nd half:
    liverpool-fc-1newcastle-unitedin 6 of last 7 away games against Liverpool FC (Premier League).
    2nd Half Liverpool FC Win
    Everygame
    -167
    Newcastle United have won:
    newcastle-unitedin 6 of last 7 away games.
    Newcastle United Win
    Everygame
    +650
    Liverpool FC have won:
    liverpool-fc-1newcastle-unitedin 6 of last 7 games against Newcastle United (Premier League).
    liverpool-fc-1in last 5 home games.
    Liverpool FC Win
    MyBookie
    -200
    Newcastle United have not lost:
    newcastle-unitedin 6 of last 7 away games.
    Newcastle United will not lose
    Everygame
    +215
    View more facts

    Liverpool - Newcastle Table position

    Premier League 24/25
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    38259486-4184
    2.
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    382014469-3474
    3.
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    38218972-4471
    4.
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    38209964-4369
    5.
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    382061268-4766
    6.
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    381991058-5166

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 19
    -6
    -6
    13 - Scored
    19 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    3
    2
    Draws
    1
    5
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    13
    19
    Conceded
    19
    3.2
    Match goals average
    3.2
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    1.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.9
    6
    Both teams scored
    7
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats